Wings & Cambage to Break Fever with Offensive Explosion

Monday, July 30, 2018 5:24 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 30, 2018 5:24 PM UTC

The Dallas Wings could play their 10th consecutive "over" on the road when they visit the lowly Fever on Thursday. Let's check out that matchup and a couple of others on this week's WNBA schedule. 

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Sports Betting Forums">WNBA: Week 11 Lookahead</a></h2><p dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><em>Note: Odds on these games had not been released at press time.<br />Check SBR's <a href="" title="Live WNBA Odds">WNBA odds board</a> for live odds updates. </em></p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Dallas Wings at Indiana Fever (Thursday, 7 p.m. ET)</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Free WNBA Picks: Wings Minus Points and 'Over'</h2><p dir="ltr">Liz Cambage (22.1 ppg) and the upstart Wings (16-9-0 ATS) head north to Naptown to face to the scuffling Fever (9-17-0 ATS) in a meeting between teams with the league's best and worst ATS records at the All-Star break (the <a href="">WNBA All-Star Game</a> was won on Saturday by Team Parker, 119-112; Team Delle Donne -3, 241).</p><p dir="ltr">When these two met earlier this season, Indiana (2-10 ATS at home) defeated the Fever at Bankers Life Fieldhouse 89-83 as former Notre Dame star Skylar Diggins-Smith (35/12/6) returned to the Hoosier State and had a monster game (DAL -6½, 167½) on June 8. Dallas crushed the Fever 90-63 in Dallas in the last meeting on July 5 (DAL -10, 167).</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">Over W9 straight DAL road games.</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">IND L6 straight ATS at home.</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">Road teams 86-66-1 ATS WNBA first half (56.58%).</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">Road favorites 29-21-0 ATS first half (58%).</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">Looking at the totals and relevant trends, we see that <a href="" title="WNBA Odds">the last nine Dallas road games have resulted in "overs,"</a> so expecting the prolific scoring combination of Cambage and Diggins-Smith (18.1 ppg) to help the Wings eclipse the 100-point mark in Indianapolis with players like Karima Christmas-Kelly, Allisha Gray, Glory Johnson, Kayla Thornton and Azura Stevens to all score in double-digits as their fight to stay in the Western Conference pack means beating up on the poor Fever in this spot. <strong>Predicted final score:</strong> Wings 102, Fever 73.</p><p><img height="281" src="" width="624" /></p><p> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Chicago Sky at Atlanta Dream (Friday, 7 p.m. ET)</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Free WNBA Pick: Dream Minus Points</h2><p dir="ltr">These two Eastern Conference teams have met twice already, both times in Chicago, with the Dream rolling to an easy 81-63 victory on May 23 (ATL -1, 162½) and Chicago winning 93-80 on June 27 (CHI -2, 157½) when Allie Quigley was healthy and back in the team’s starting 5. With Atlanta having W8 SU and ATS into the break and this last regular-season meeting being at McCamish Pavilion in Atlanta, expect Angel McCoughtry and the Dream to be favorites in the 4- to 7-point range here with a total around 160.</p><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">ATL W8 straight ATS into All-Star Game.</p> </li></ul><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">ATL played 5 straight "unders" into All-Star Game.</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">Home teams 66-86-1 ATS into All-Star Game (43.42%).</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">With All-Star Renee Montgomery, should-be All-Star Tiffany Hayes (17.2 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.7 apg) and Atlanta on such a roll and Chicago getting blown out in the majority of its July road games (DAL 108-85 CHI, LV 84-80 CHI, WASH 88-72 CHI, NYL 107-84 CHI, PHX 87-CHI 101), <a href="" title="Free Sports Picks">expecting the Dream to win by 8 or more in this spot makes sense</a>, but this is the WNBA and this is basketball and teams only care about winning outright and not covering a point spread, no matter what the U.S. Supreme Court ruled earlier this year. <strong>Predicted final score:</strong> Dream 84, Sky 74.</p><p><img height="275" src="" width="624" /></p><p> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Washington Mystics at Dallas Wings (Sunday, 4 p.m. ET)</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Free WNBA Pick: Wings-Mystics 'Over'</h2><p dir="ltr">Backing the Wings at home again seems like a good idea in this spot with the number probably between (Dallas minus) 5 to 8 points and the hosts in a spot where they look like they should win by double digits, motivated by their recent success and the reality that games from now on will carry more weight — the regular eeason ends Aug. 19 — than those preceding.</p><p dir="ltr"><img height="469" src="" width="624" /></p><p dir="ltr">On the road, Washington (7-4-1 ATS) has been pretty good this season, but this seems like a tough spot with the Wings having won by 9 points (90-81) in the first meeting on July 19 in suburban Dallas (DAL -5, 178).</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">DAL has scored 100+ points in 3 of L6 home (108, 101, 104).</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">DAL has averaged 97.7 ppg L6 at home (into week).</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">Here, with All-Star captain Elena Delle Donne and Washington 1-3-1 ATS their L5 on the road and the Wings a profitabale 9-4 ATS at the College Park Center in Arlington into this week ahead, it seems backing the hosts is wise with the logjam of quality teams in the Western Conference and the thoughts of being so close to the .500 mark with the season into the 2nd half fueling an efficient performance from the Wings (17-8 O/U), who shot 43.9% (22-66) from the field in the first meeting (7-18 on 3’s) with the Mystics just 38.3% from the field (31-81) and losing by 9 despite taking 15 more shots than the hosts. <a href="">This will not do</a>.</p><p dir="ltr">Until the Wings (87.9 ppg, #1 WNBA) start playing some "unders" and Cambage is scoring less than 23 points a game (23, 53, 35, 23, 25 and 11 points, 8 rebounds in All-Star Game) and Diggins-Smith (17/8/8 in All-Star Game) isn’t on lockdown mode, expect the plethora of points to continue in coming games. <strong>Predicted final score:</strong> Wings 96, Mystics 85.</p><p><img height="199" src="" width="624" /></p>
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