Newcastle United heads to Goodison Park to face Everton in this Week 29 EPL fixture which has seen 30 goals and Overs in the last 8 meetings. Can we expect another goal-fest here on Sunday, even with Cissé suspended? Let’s examine.
Everton vs. Newcastle United, Sunday 16:00 (NBC Sports Live Extra, (USA); 12 p.m. ET/9 a.m. PT): Goodison Park in Liverpool is the site of this Week 29 English Premier League fixture on Sunday between visiting and 11th-place Newcastle United (9-8-12, 32 GF-43 GA) and host and 14th-place Everton (5-10-12, 33 GF-41 GA) in game between clubs destined to finish in the middle of the league table at season’s end. No Relegation likely, but no UEFA European soccer tournaments next season probably for either the Magpies or the Toffees, and maybe tougher on Everton which begins its Knockout Stage Round of 16 series with Ukraine’s most popular team, Dynamo Kiev, on Thursday here at Goodison Park in Leg 1 of their 2-leg UEFA Europa League series. If interested, here is our Sportsbook Review betting preview for that Thursday Europa League match between Everton and Dynamo Kiev. Here on Sunday, oddsmakers have made host Everton -125 favorites with Newcastle United listed as healthy +350 underdogs on the take-back and the Draw priced at +250 (bet365) in the extremely popular Three-Way (Winner) marketplace. The Total Goals in this match is set at 2½ with Under at -125 and the Over priced at -110 (Sky Bet). The Both Teams To Score Soccer Odds here have the Yes priced at -125 with the No set at +110 (Totesport). Two random proposition wagers for this game: First Corner: Everton -150, Newcastle United +110, No Corners +5000 (50/1) (Spreadex); and, Correct Score: 0-0, +1000 (10/1) (Coral).
Newcastle United FC
Newcastle United (3-4-7 Away, 13 GF-25 GA) enters this game without the services of star Senegalese striker Papiss Cissé (11 goals), who has been suspended for 7 games for his part in The Great Spitting Incident of 2015 with Manchester United’s Jonny Evans. Without Cissé’s offensive brilliance here, the Toon will hope their only other player with more than 4 goals this English Premier League season, Ayoze Pérez (5 goals; Anytime Goalscorer +300, Betfred), can help generate some offense, along with guys like Emmanuel Rivière (+275), Adam Armstrong (+350), Yoan Gouffran (2 goals, +400), Rémy Cabella (+450), Moussa Sissoko (2 goals, +350), Sammy Ameobi (2 goals, +500) and Mehdi Abeid (+700).
In their last game, the Geordies had a really good outing at home at St. James’ Park, but fell victim to a really late Ashley Young goal in a 1-0 loss to Manchester United last Wednesday, a cruel fate for Magpies GK Tim Krul who played a splendid match. Here against Everton, expect new Newcastle United Manager John Carver to have a similar approach to the last game against the Red Devils, but it will be interesting to see how the new skipper, as well as this Newcastle United team as a whole, performs without Cissé out there. Without him, this team would likely be in the bottom 5 or 6 clubs in the table right about now, and would likely be worrying about potential Relegation. Because of Cissé—as well as Krul—the Toon will most likely be playing in England’s top flight of football again next season. Nothing small.
While Newcastle United will be hamstrung by the absence of striker Cissé, Everton (3-7-3 Home, 19 GF-18 GA) and Manager Roberto Martínez will have to deal with the effects of playing on just 2 days (Friday, Saturday) rest after facing Dynamo Kiev on Thursday here at Goodison Park in Leg 1 of their aforementioned UEFA Europa League series.The Toffees will call on its talented, but somewhat underperforming attack force—at least in league play this season—which includes Romelu Lukaku (+125 Anytime Goalscorer, Sky Bet), Arouna Koné (+150), Kevin Mirallas (+150), Steve Naismith (+175), Ross Barkley (+240), Christian Atsu (+350), Leighton Baines (+450) and Steven Pienaar (+450). Of note, the last three players—Atsu, Baines and Pienaar—were all nursing injuries (hip, knee, illness, respectively), heading into Thursday’s Europa League clash with Dynamo Kiev, as were Aiden McGeady (knee; +275) and Bryan Oviedo (hamstring).
In their last two Premier League games (before Thursday’s Europa League Leg 1), Everton lost 2-0 both at Arsenal (March 1) and Stoke City (March 4) in a span of 4 days, scoring 0 goals and earning 0 points—the same exact tally as you The Reader and I, The Writer. We can hang. At least with the Toffees that week we can.
Best Betting Approaches and Trends
In this series in English Premier League play, Everton is an almost dead-even 62-34-63 (232 GF-239 GA) against Newcastle United and 43-16-20 (153 GF-95 GA) against the Magpies here at home at Goodison Park. When these two met in Week 19 at St. James’ Park, Newcastle United won, 3-2—the same scoreline as when these two met here in Liverpool last season, only with the host Toon winning, 3-2, which is something worth considering when making your Soccer Picks.
With Everton worn down and playing on 2 days rest, and Newcastle United without stud Papiss Cissé, the normal 2½ seems worth picking on here in a Value sense, as the number (and vigorish) are almost exactly the same as they would be if Everton wasn’t playing a Europa League match on Thursday and if Cissé were available and in for the Magpies. Martínez may also employ some different starters if his usual starting XI is tired or banged up from the Dynamo Kiev game, also theoretically good for the Under, right Bubba???
Not in this case—maybe—where an overpowering trend has emerged over the L8 meetings with the Over a perfect 8-0 and an average of 3.75 goals being scored per game (30 total) in that span (3-2, 3-0, 3-2, 2-1, 2-2, 3-1, 2-1, 2-1). And, in only 1 of those L8 meetings between these two sides—last season when Everton and GK Tim Howard registered a clean sheet against Newcastle United at St. James’ in Week 29 (3-0)—has one of the two teams not scored, a very noteworthy thing for the Both Teams To Score (Yes) bettors. And with the Toon playing better under Carver, the Draw seems to have some definite value here in what could evolve into a Sunday Scorefest, with only 1 of the L8 meetings between these two clubs being determined by more than 1 goal—that aforementioned Everton shutout at Newcastle United two games ago. Cheerio.
Prediction: Everton 2 Newcastle United 2
EPL PICKS: Over 2½ -117 (BetVictor), Draw +275 (ToteSport, Betfred), Both Teams To Score ‘Yes’ -110 (William Hill)