Europa League Betting: Valencia vs. Basel

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, April 8, 2014 6:58 PM GMT

It's going to take something more than special for Valencia to overcome their huge deficit from the first leg. They'll have the home support behind them, but can they climb out of the hole and advance on to the Europa League semi-finals?

Odds Overview
The Goats were incredibly disappointing in the first leg, but they'll come in favored to the tune of -185 or so for the rematch on their own pitch. You can side with Basel at a price in the +500 to +600 range, while a draw (which would have the Swiss side go through) is trading at just above +300.

 
Valencia
There's no other way of putting it: times are rough for Valencia right now. 

Ever since a great 2-1 win over Villarreal, the Goats have fallen off the pace, having to failed to win in four straight matches across all competitions. They've drawn with Almeria and Real Valladolid, lost at home to Getafe and were also taught a lesson in the first leg versus Basel.

Against Vallodolid, who are currently in 17th in La Liga, Valencia lacked the killer instinct in front of goal. Playing without Jonas, who leads the side with nine league goals, clearly had an effect on the side's attacking prowess.

Goals are obviously of the utmost importance against Basel. The Goats have to come out with a relentless intensity right from kickoff, and an early goal could go a long way for the home team's aspirations of making the full comeback.

As for Valencia's home form, they've proven to be quite solid, at least in the league. They have eight wins, three draws and five losses through 16 matches, while scoring 31 times and allowing in 21 goals themselves.

Europa League Betting: Sevilla vs. Porto

Basel
It was a great display from the Basel in the first leg.

A first half brace from Matias Delgado and then a late stoppage time goal out of Valentin Stocker have given the Swiss outfit a massive advantage heading into the return tie in Spain. 

FCB, in addition to their European journey, has been in a tussle with Grasshoppers in the Super League. Right now only one point separates the two teams, with Basel's recent 0-0 home draw against FC Thun certainly not helping their cause.

Delgado was the hero in the first leg against Valencia, but we also need to point out how valuable the likes of Valentin Stocker, Fabian Frei, Taulant Xhaka and of course goalkeeper Yann Sommer have been to the squad's success both domestically and in Europe.

Unfortunately, leading goalscorer Marco Streller (10 goals) is still out injured with a groin injury. Who will step up and make the difference in his place?

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":262415, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Europa League Pick
Put simply, everything pretty much has to go perfectly for the Goats to reach the semi-finals. In no way, shape or form, however, do we expect another showing from Valencia like we saw in the first leg. 

In fact, while we highly doubt they'll be able to fully reverse the deficit, we do think they'll win the return trip, making them the best bet with our soccer picks for Thursday. They've got plenty of quality players, especially forward, that could cause the Swiss side a lot of problems.

Valencia hasn't had trouble scoring goals when playing at home (31 in 16 league fixtures) and we reckon they'll be making Basel sweat. Side with the Goats to win by two or more goals.

Pick: Valencia 2 Basel 0 

Aggregate: Valencia 2 Basel 3