Europa League Betting: Napoli vs. Porto

Mike Richardson

Wednesday, March 19, 2014 12:35 PM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 19, 2014 12:35 PM UTC

Napoli playing Porto might not be the most epic sighting of Europa League clashes but your Humble Handicapper doesn't care because it's just another excuse for him to win some money.

First things first, let's have a look at the soccer odds on Napoli and Porto winning the Europa league. It's a pretty tight thing as Porto run as high as 12/1 and as low as 9/1 while Napoli lie between 10/1 to 12/1. Looking at the basics for this game isn't a great deal of difference either as Napoli are 21/22 for the win, the draw is at 13/5 and Porto coming out on top is at 14/5. It's a little bit more interesting when you consider the odds on the two sides, to qualify. Porto qualifying is at 8/13 while Napoli qualifying 5/4.

Enough with the bigger picture odds….WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

Your Humble Handicapper is throwing his vast intellect right at this close call and will be able to provide you with some top soccer picks. Both of these sides have enjoyed a chequered run of late each winning two drawing two and losing one from their last five. However in three of their last four games Napoli have seen a winner for the home side. Also quite tellingly Porto have seen a home victory in their last three games.

You might consider goalscoring to be the decisive factor in this match and you should know that in their last five games Porto have scored 10 goals, although they have scored just one in their last two games while Napoli have scored six goals from their last five, but only found the back of the net more than once on one occasion, and that was a 3-1 victory over Swansea City.

Your Humble Handicapper has done his sums and predicts victory for the visitors in this one.

The last two times that these sides have met of late, once in the league and once as a club friendly back in August 2013 ,we've seen a Porto come out on top. Also I think it is going to be a close game as neither of these sides look particularly prolific in front of goal so I feel confident in recommending that you back a draw on the 45 before a Porto victory on the 90.

There are some tasty odds as the bookies like Napoli winning both halves before anything else at 9/4 but you have to like the 8/1 for the game drawn the 45 and Porto taking the game on the 90. Interesting to note that the shortest correct score odds for the first half are on a 0-0 draw at 19/10, closely followed by either Napoli or Porto winning 1-0 at 11/4 and 11/2 respectively, before we get to a 1-1 draw at 8/1. Back the draw for the 45 but I still think Porto will be on top come the final whistle.

Prediction: 2-1 to Porto at best soccer odds of 13/1 with Bette Victor.

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