Euro Cup 2016: Betting Preview For Croatia vs Portugal

Stuart Woodrow

Thursday, June 23, 2016 7:00 PM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 23, 2016 7:00 PM UTC

Croatia have been an entertaining side but at this competition they really do seem to have a good combination of all the things that are needed to win this soccer pick.

Like most sides there are weaknesses but with Croatia you’re looking at the defence and the goalkeeper and both have been solid in their 3 games so far. With just 3 goals conceded.

It’s the other end of the pitch where the problems have been. All but one of Croatia’s 5 goals have come midfield and their only forward to get on the scoresheet is Nikola Kalinic who Blackburn Rovers fans may remember from an uninspiring time at their club. Mario Mandzukic was the player most people expected to solve that goalscoring problem but so far it hasn’t worked out for him.

You could have said the same about Portugal’s talisman Cristiano Ronaldo up until that last group game where he finally got off the mark (having missed a penalty in the previous game). Portuguese fans will be hopeful that his brace against Hungary will be the start of something special. They’re going to need to up their game though as they haven’t been good enough up until now and Croatia are significantly better than anyone they’ve faced up until now.

Luka Modric is expected to be fit for this game and he’ll be looking to link up again with Rakitic in what will be a formidable midfield unit. That midfield has been great so far and has produced some of the best interplay in the competition. It’s also created some great chances and Spain felt the force of that creativity in the last game. Portugal may feel the need to reintroduce Danilo in a holding midfield role for this game just to create a bit more shape and solidity.

I’m partial to a Croatian win in this one and I think the soccer odds offer pretty decent value for each side right now. The 90 minute draw option is the least attractive right now as the odds are now as low as 2.87, way below what we normally see on that market. That’s ok with me, I’m happy to be backing a Croatia win at odds of 2.69 with Pinnacle and other sportsbooks. I’d have been prepared to go lower frankly, 2.4 would have been ok with me and as the market evolves I wouldn’t be surprised to see these odds drop.

If you’re a Portugal fan and think they can get back on track to knock Croatia out, then you can get 3.2 with bet365.

One final thought. If, like me, you think we’ll see some goals in this game, check out the over 2.5 goals market. At 2.91 with Pinnacle there is some value for a soccer pick in there.

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Free Soccer Pick:  Croatia at 2.69
Best Line Offered:  at Pinnacle

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