Euro 2016: France A Solid Pick To Secure A Win This Friday

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, June 7, 2016 2:00 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jun. 7, 2016 2:00 PM GMT

Paul Pogba and the hosts possibly a bit nervous with this being the Euro 2016 opener and La Tricolori capable of the upset here despite never having beaten France in a meaningful competition.

Odds Overview—Friday, June 10, 2016
France vs. Romania [Saturday, June 4—20:00] (ESPN, ESPN Deportes, WatchESPN (US), ITV 1 (UK); 3 p.m. EDT/12 p.m. PDT): Tournament host France faces Romania in Group A play in the 2016 UEFA European Championship (2016 EURO) opener from historic Stade de France in Saint-Denis on Friday night. The highest Futures Book odds on France four days out (Monday night) from the quadrennial tourney lidlifter were 3/1 were at a couple of sportsbooks including British operator Ladbrokes while the best odds one could find on longshots Romania were at 260/1 at 888sport.

Soccer Oddsmakers have made France heavy -321 favorites with Romania priced at +1,206 and a Draw at +391 (Bookmaker) with the Total (Goals) here is set at 2½ with the Under juiced at -124 (Bookmaker). The First Half odds see France as -115 favorites, Romania at +600 and a Half-time Draw at +145 (Heritage) with the First Half Total set at 1, Under -120 (Heritage). Some Props wagers for this Euro 2016 game: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ +200, ‘No’ -175 (Bet365); Draw No Bet: France -2.000, Romania +750 (Bet365); Correct Score: France 2-0 +450 (Bet365), France 1-0 +480 (Marathon), 0-0 9/1 (Betfair), Romania 1-0 25/1 (BetVictor); and, To Win To Nil: France -150, Romania +1,800 (Bet365).

 

Romania
Romania (260/1, 888sport, Unibet, 32Red) and 66-year-old Head Coach Anghel Iordanescu qualified for Euro 2016 despite a 428-minute scoreless Streak but La Tricolori (The Tricolour) were actually one of four undefeated teams in Qualifying. Romania (11/1 to win Group A, Ladbrokes) is led by 26-year-old Center Back and Captain Vlad Chiriche? (Napoli) and talented AMF Nicolae Stanciu (Steaua Bucharest, 10/1 Anytime Goalscorer, Bet365) but with just one Win to date in four UEFA Euro Championship appearances, La Tricolori will need to keep playing lockdown Defense—Romania allowed 2 goals in 10 games—behind Goalkeeper Ciprian Tataru?anu (Fiorentina) but this sudden change in the level of competition could be very sobering for Bogdan Stancu (Gençlerbirligi, Turkish Süper Lig, 5/1, Romania’s Top Goalscorer in Euro 2016, bet365) and Romania. UEFA.com has a projected Staring XI for Romania (4-2-3-1) of GK Tataru?anu; Sapunaru, Chiriche?, Grigore, Ra?; Pintili, Hoban; Popa, Stanciu, Stancu; Andone.

Gabriel Torje may play in Popa’s spot while Florin Andone (+750 Anytime Goalscorer, Bet365) and Claudiu-Andrei Ke?erü (+700 Anytime Goalscorer, Paddy Power) will battle to start up top in the Romanian tactical formation. Recent matches haven’t looked good for Romania, allowing 4 goals to Ukraine in a Friendly while 5 of the 10 goals La Tricolori scored in Qualifying were scored by players who didn’t even make Iordanescu’s final cut. So finding goals could be a problem for underdog Romania, especially here playing in the 2016 Euro opener on France’s Home soil with Hugo Lloris likely in goal for Les Bleus although at least Ke?erü, Stanciu, Stancu, Torje, Florin Andone and even gritty Captain and CB Chiriche? give La Tricolori some solid scoring options. But it’s very possible here that Romania may experience “The Blues” for real it can’t find a way to manufacture enough quality shots and not let France totally end up dominating the Time of Possession in Saint-Etienne. The first goal here—if there is indeed one—will be mammoth, especially if Romania scores it.

 

France
France (+320 to win Euro 2016, Ladbrokes, NetBet) and new 47-year-old Head Coach Didier Deschamps automatically qualified for this tournament as its Baguette-bearing hosts and Les Bleus—making its 7th straight appearance in this kickfest—will be going for their third European Championship here after winning it as hosts in 1984 and again in 2000. France (-275 to win Group A, Paddy Power) will be without the services of prolific Striker Karim Benzema (Real Madrid) who was left out after being charged with conspiracy to Blackmail—naughty, naughty, Monsieur Gato—so guys like Antoine Griezmann (14/1 to be Player of the Tournament, Bet365), Paul Pogba (Juventus) and the up-and-coming winger Anthony Martial (Manchester United, +170 Anytime Goalscorer, Betfair) will have to provide Offense and be fairly accurate with their shots.

UEFA.com has a projected Staring XI for France (4-3-3) of GK Lloris; Sagna, Rami, Koscielny, Évra; Pogba, Sissoko, Matuidi; Griezmann, Giroud, Payet. N'Golo Kanté (SM Caen) and Martial could also feature heavily for France and Deschamps which won this Tournament as host in 1984. And with players like the electric Pogba (10/1 to be Player of the Tournament, Bet365), Atlético Madrid stud Griezmann, Paris Saint-Germain’s oft-underrated Matuidi (4/1 Anytime Goalscorer, Paddy Power), André-Pierre Christian Gignac (Tigres UANL, Liga MX, +170 Anytime Goalscorer, Ladbrokes) and catlike GK Hugo Lloris (Tottenham Hotspur), Deschamps has a fairly deep Roster which will be a very tough out in this monthlong tournament and France (-275 to win Group A, SkyBet) could very well end up repeating as Host-Champions France—it also won the 1998 World Cup—like it did back in 1984 when a movie ticket was just $2.50—and there were no damn Cellphones in the Theaters—and a gallon of gas would run you around $1.10. So, back to your regularly scheduled, expensive, frenetic 2016 programming, brother. Enjoying the constant interaction and being amused to death?

 

Series History, Conclusions and Opening Match Picks
France is 7-5-3 lifetime (19 GF-15 GA) in all competitions overall against Romania, a testament to how hard La Tricolori—a nickname France also actually uses along with like a trillion other teams with three flipping colors—the more highly thought of Les Blues throughout the decades. Four of the L5 meetings between these two have resulted in Draws (but those are Old News now) and France is 1-1-0 (1 GF-0 GA) in EURO play lifetime against Romania and 2-2-0 in EURO Qualifiers (5 GF-1 GA). The most recent (2010/11) two meetings came in a Euro Qualifier series and saw a 0-0 Draw in Romania and a 2-0 France win in the French leg...and that’s probably closer to the type of game we will see here: Les Bleus getting that valuable first goal and then working to preserve the victory and maybe some valuable Energy for down the line in this Euro 2016.

Like most national teams around the globe, much has changed in the L5-6 years for these two sides and only in Friendlies has Romania (Current Form: DWDDLW) ever defeated France (Current Form: WLWWWW), so with this tourney-opening match Friday on their sacred French soil, expect a cautious approach in the 1st Half from the hosts, which were actually blasted by Romania by a 6-3 score the first time these two ever met—in a match that accounted for a robust 9 of the total 34 goals ever scored between these two teams (26.5%)—in a Friendly way, way, way, way, way back in 1932 when a movie ticket (in the US) was 23¢ and a gallon of gas for that newfangled invention called the Automobile was 10¢.

With France having never lost a competitive match to Romania—which played to a 1-1 Draw with the French at this Site in Saint-Denis back in a 2009 FIFA World Cup qualifier—backing the hosts in this special spot seems fairly logical as surely either Griezmann, Pogba, Matuidi, Kante (+750 Anytime Goalscorer, 888sport) or maybe Olivier Giroud (Arsenal, +130 Anytime Goalscorer, 188Bet) will find a way to put the ole’ sheepskin bladder in the back of the net first to appease the French homeboys. If Ukraine could pop four on this side in a recent Friendly, and without a serious competitive win yet over France (#17 in FIFA Rankings) in 84 years, logic says to back the hosts and Defensive France here over Romania (#22 in FIFA Rankings) using the Three-Way market line to start a Parlay (with Switzerland -155/Croatia +115/Germany -210, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) as well as with straight bets on the Under (2½ -115, Marathon) and in the Props in the To Win To Nil market at a (low) current price of -137 (BetVictor) as France GK Lloris should be tested seriously around five times but still get the Clean Sheet. The Weather Forecast (TWC) for Saint-Denis on Friday night calls for Cloudy Conditions, a Low of 76° (Fahrenheit) with mild 5 mph Winds and around 61% Humidity, so a nice day to start Euro 2016 if the Sun can outshine the Clouds for most of the 90-minute match.

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Free Soccer Pick: France -300, Under 2.5 (-115), France To WIn To Nil -137
Best Line Offered: at William Hill
Predicted Final Score: France 2 Romania 0
EURO 2016 Group Futures: France -275 To Win Group A (at PaddyPower), Germany -250 To Win Group C (at Bet365), Portugal -110 To Win Group F (at William Hill).

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