EPL Week 38: Leicester City vs. QPR Free Soccer Pick

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, May 20, 2015 6:29 PM GMT

With absolutely nothing at stake, and the Foxes winless against the Super Hoops since 1986/1987, is there any way to approach and have a soccer pick on this game?

Odds Overview
Leicester City vs. QPR, Sunday 15:00 (NBC Sports Live Extra, (US); 10 a.m. ET/7 a.m. PT): Fourteenth-place Leicester City (10-8-19, 41 GF-54 GA) plays host to poor 20th-place Queens Park Rangers (8-16-23, 41 GF-68 GA) at King Power Stadium in Leicester on Championship Sunday in a Championship Sunday fixture with absolutely no meaning whatsoever with the first-year Foxes (38 points)—who are 1 point away from Stress and Fear heading into this season finale—nor QPR which is going, going, gone from the Premier League and headed to the Championship, although the R’s did ink Manager Chris Ramsey to a new 3-year deal today (Tuesday) despite the club’s relegation. Soccer Premier League soccer odds makers have made hosts Leicester City -187 favorites here in this match with visitors QPR steep +500 underdogs and the Draw priced at +320 (bet365). The Total Goals in this game has been set at 2½ Over -175 (Under +135, bet365) with the Both Teams To Score Prop having the ‘Yes’ priced at -166 and ‘No’ at +125 (William Hill). A couple of Props wagers for this fixture on Sunday at Filbert Way: Correct Score: 0-0 +1400, 1-1 +750, 2-2 +1400; Leicester City 1-0 +900, Leicester City 2-0 +850, Leicester City 3-0 +1200, Leicester City 2-1 +800, Leicester City 3-1 +1100, Leicester City 4-1 +200, Leicester City 3-2, +2200; QPR 1-0 +2000, QPR 2-0 +400, QPR +2000 (bet365); and, Draw No Bet: Leicester City -500, QPR +333 (bet365).

 

Queens Park Rangers FC
Queens Park Rangers (2-1-15 Away, 18 GF-44 GA) has been all Charlie Austin (17 goals, Anytime Goalscorer +150, bet365) so far this season, with 25-year-old Dutch MF Leroy Fer (6 goals)—who suffered a Medial Collateral Ligament injury against Sunderland mid-season and was sidelined for a great portion of the season—the club’s second-leading scorer, some 11 goals below Austin with Bobby Zamora (3 goals, +350), Eduardo Vargas (3 goals), Matthew Phillips (3 goals, +400) chipping in where and when they can for the R’s. QPR Manager Chris Ramsey replaced Harry Redknapp midseason but it wasn’t enough for the Hoops who, to be fair, just don’t have the same resources as some of the bigger clubs in England’s top flight of football. QPR GK Robert Green was barraged all year, and the Englishman may find himself at Chelsea backing up Thibaut Courtois next season, or maybe even starting somewhere else in the league. Who knows what type of Mindframe QPR shows up with here in their last game and away from home, but expect Pride to keep QPR in this game for at least an hour before seeing deserving Leicester City enjoy a little happiness and satisfaction of its own in the end in a potentially high-scoring affair in the East Midlands on Sunday night.

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Leicester City FC
Leicester City (6-5-7 Home, 23 GF-21 GA) and manager Nigel Pearson are loving the fact the Foxes survived the season, a multi-, multi-million dollar reality for the club and community, and in 14th-place a point free from Worry, so, Leicester City’s earlier 5-3 win over Manchester United at King Power Stadium earlier this season was not only the big psychological boost this young team needed, but also provided the Mathematical Reality (3 points) that has put this club in the position where it will be “staying up.” Foxes forward Leonardo Ulloa (10 goals, Anytime Goalscorer +110, bet365) is a huge reason Leicester City scored enough goals to be in this envious position and GK Kasper Schmeichel and the team’s Defense deserve plaudits for their part in this. Besides Ulloa, leading the Foxes and Blue Army on Offense this season have been Leroy Fer (6 goals, +400), David Nugent (5 goals, +140, Boylesports), Jamie Vardy (4 goals, +130), Riyad Mahrez (4 goals, +175), Esteban Cambiasso (4 goals, +333), Chris Wood (+150) and Andy King (+260). But, with just 41 total goals this season heading in, Leicester City isn’t exactly an offensive juggernaut but against a team which has only 2 Road Wins and has allowed a league-high 68 goals, expect the Foxes to catch a few rabbits here on Sunday in the season finale and maybe even move up a notch in the English Premier League table.

 

Series Trends and Best Betting Approaches
As for this English Premier League soccer pick, Leicester City is 7-5-11 (32 GF-36 GA) lifetime against QPR and 14-7-18 (55 GF-60 GA) in all competitions between the two clubs. Here at Home at King Power Stadium, Leicester City has gone 6-3-2 (21 GF-11 GA) against the Super Hoops, and when these two met in Week 13 of the English Premier League season at Loftus Road in London, QPR won 3-2 in a shootout which saw a Halftime scoreline of 2-1 (QPR), rewarding both Over (Total Goals) and Both Teams To Score backers before Halftime. C’est magnifique. Here, expect the Foxes to find a way to eke out their first win against the R’s since 1987 when the price of Gasoline (in the US) was $1.07 a gallon, a First Class Postage Stamp cost 22¢, the Polar Ice caps were still somewhat intact and Sanity was still en vogue. Ah, those Good Ole Days before Cell Phones invaded and took over Mother Earth. I remember them well. Anyway, this game may actually be one to take a look at this weekend with no pressure on either team here and 5 goals having been scored in the last meeting. And, 6 of the L9 have gone Over the posted Total, but that statistic dates back even farther than Leicester’s last win over QPR, to the 1984/1985 season, so sort of Ancient History and irrelevant in trying to apply here. With QPR’s goal-machine Austin (17 goals, First Goalscorer +750, Bwin), Ulloa and new Fox faces like King or maybe Wood putting the ball in the net in the season finale, there will plenty of guys who can score in this game with Schmeichel and Green to surely be tested.

Every game in the English Premier League will be televised on Championship Sunday (in the US)—with the specific channels To Be Announced—on NBC, USA, CNBC, MSNBC, E!, Syfy, BRAVO and Telemundo, among others.

 

Predicted Final Score: Leicester City 2 QPR 1

Premier League Soccer Pick: Over 2½ -175 at Bet365, Both Teams To Score -166 at William Hill.

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