EPL Week 28 Soccer Picks: QPR vs. Arsenal Preview & Prediction

Kevin Stott

Monday, March 2, 2015 8:35 PM UTC

Monday, Mar. 2, 2015 8:35 PM UTC

Loftus Road in White City, London is the site of this Week 28 EPL derby between Arsenal and host QPR. With odds of -187 as road favorites here, are the hot Gunners a good gamble?

QPR vs. Arsenal Betting Odds Overview
Wednesday 19:45 (NBC Sports Live Extra, Westwood One Sports (USA); 2:45 p.m. ET/11:45 a.m. PT):
Third-place Arsenal (15-6-6, 51 GF-29 GA) heads across town to Loftus Road to dance with 17th-place QPR (6-4-16, 27 GF-45 GA) on Wednesday in this Week 28 English Premier League London derby. Soccer Odds makers have made the visiting Gunners the big anticipated -187 favorites with host Queens Park Rangers getting a more than healthy +600 as the Home underdog on the take-back with the Draw priced at +333 (bet365) in the Three-Way (Winner) market. The Total Goals in this match is set at 2½ with the Over juiced at -153 and the Under at +120 (bet365) while the The Both Teams To Score odds here have the Yes priced at -137 with the No set at +100 (Sky Bet). Two random proposition wagers for this game: To Score A Hat-Trick: Olivier Giroud 20/1, Alexis Sánchez 25/1, Sky Bet); and, Correct Score: Arsenal 1-0 +750, Arsenal 2-0 +750, Arsenal 3-0 +1100, Arsenal 2-1 +800, Arsenal 4-1 +2200 (bet365).


Arsenal FC
Arsenal (6-3-3 Away, 21 GF-18 GA) and Arsène Wenger are one of the hottest teams in the English Premier League right now and are second in the current Form Guide—behind Liverpool—earning 15 of a possible 18 points in its L6 games (5-0-1) and placing itself right smack dab in the middle of things at the top of the EPL table, tucked safely in with 51 points like a smart Cross Country runner between 1-2 Chelsea and Manchester City (60, 55 points) and above 4-5-6 Manchester United, Liverpool and Southampton (50, 48, 46 points). Watch these Gunners, brother. This happens almost every season in Wengerville (east of Nellyville). And make some money on them in the process if you can.

Leading the charge for Arsenal this season has been Summer-signee Sánchez (12 goals, Anytime Goalscorer, -105, bet365), who butters the Gunners bread along with striker Olivier Giroud (9 goals, +110). Seldom are recommendations made here of taking a chance on a wager on the First Goalscorer (prop) in a game, but this is the type of affair that either Giroud (+400 First Goalscorer, bet365) or Sánchez (+350) likely gets the first tally in. Besides these two, Arsenal will look to Danny Welbeck (4 goals, +110), Santi Cazorla (7 goals, +220), spark-plug Theo Walcott (2 goals, +160), Aaron Ramsey (3 goals, +375, Sky Bet), Mesut Özil (3 goals, +275), Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain (+275), Tomáš Rosický (+300), Jack Wilshere (+500), Mathieu Flamini (+550), defender Laurent Koscielny (+1000) or maybe 19-year-old striker Chuba Akpom (+160) for some scoring. David Ospina may get the start again in goal for the Gunners—as he did in the club’s 2-0 win on Sunday at the Emirates Stadium over Everton as Giroud and Rosický scored—over Wojciech Szczesny, but with these two GKs, Wenger and Arsenal have a solid enough pair to get through the balance of the Premier League season as well as the UEFA Champions League where Arsenal currently trails AS Monaco 3-1 on aggregate heading into Leg 2 (March 17 in Monaco) of their Knockout Round of 16 series after being upset by Les Rouges et Blancs (The Red and Whites), losing Leg 1 in North London last Wednesday (Feb. 25). Depth matters, especially this time of year.

Join the betting specialists as they share Euro Soccer picks in the forum.

Queens Park Rangers FC
Offensively, Queens Park Rangers (5-4-4 Home, 18 GF-16 GA) is all Charlie Austin (14 goals, Anytime Goalscorer +160, bet365) so far this season, with Leroy Fer (4 goals) the only other Hoops player with 2 or more scores. Unfortunately for QPR (22 points), Fer suffered a Medial Collateral Ligament injury against Sunderland and has been sidelined, so the club will have to just make do without the 25-year-old Dutch midfielder.

Only out of the Relegation Zone because of Goal Differential—17th-place QPR is at -16 GD while 18th-place Burnley is at -20 GD—QPR desperately needs some other players to get it going or they may be going, going, gone from the EPL. Bobby Zamora (2 goals, +333) is one of those guys who needs to really step it up for new Manager Chris Ramsey as is AC Milan-loanee and Moroccan midfielder Adel Taarabt (+450)—who had fallen out of favor with former Hoops Manager Harry Redknapp—as well as Dynamo Kyiv-loanee Niko Kranjcar (+500). The lack of firepower on the attack has made Life that much harder on QPR goalkeeper Robert Green, and, without the prolific Austin, this team would be in even deeper and more dangerous waters than the ones in which they are currently now swimming. Luckily for the QPR, there are teams like aforementioned Burnley, 20th-place Leicester City (4 wins, 18 points) and 19th-place Aston Villa (22 points)—currently on the heels of a 7-game losing skid—also wallowing at the bottom of the English Premier League table. Despite the London derby thing and Austin and the Little Club vs. Big Club underdog mentality QPR will have going in, Arsenal is just too hot right now and will almost demand the 3 points and the win here on Wednesday at Loftus Road. When hungry and motivated, The Sharks almost always eat The Smaller Fish. Keep that in mind when preparing your Soccer Picks.


Best Betting Approaches and Trends
These two sides haven’t met as much as many of the other clubs currently participating now in England’s top flight of soccer, but Arsenal does hold an expected 15-6-2 (39 GF-17 GA) mark in English Premier League play against QPR, but the Gunners are just 6-6-10 (19 GF-25 GA) here at Loftus Road lifetime in league play. So, this won’t be easy for Arsenal as Road games in professional sports seldom are. Ask everyone, everywhere. The last time these two teams played was in Week 18 this season in North London at the Emirates Stadium where the Gunners defeated the Hoops, 2-1, In this fixture here last season at Loftus Road, Arsenal was also victorious, registering a 1-0 clean sheet over the Hoops in the London derby.

In its last outing on Feb. 23, QPR lost 2-1 at Hull City and the Hoops are the complete exact opposite of Arsenal in the EPL Form Guide—going 1-0-5 and earning just 3 out of a possible 18 points in their L6 fixtures and ranked 18th in current form. So, again, these Hoops should really thank their Lucky Stars for others like Burnley (2 points L6, 0-2-4) and Aston Villa (0 points L6, 0-0-6). At least for now.

PREDICTED FINAL: QPR 1 Arsenal 3 at William Hill

EPL PICKS: Arsenal -187, Over 2½ -153 (bet365)

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