Crystal Palace played a very good game Saturday against EPL leaders Chelsea but can the Eagles fly into West Midlands and snatch a win from host West Brom? They can, and at +333 are a nice underdog pick.
West Bromwich Albion vs. Crystal Palace, Saturday, (NBC Sports Live Extra (US) 15:00 CEST/10 a.m. ET/7 a.m. PT)
Another game that most will choose to follow the score on rather than watch and take an active interest in, this fixture in West Midlands between host and 15th-place West Bromwich Albion (2-2-3, 8 GF-9 GA, 8 points) and 16th-place Crystal Palace (2-2-4, 11 GF-14 GA, 8 points) provides that rare chance to back a high-priced underdog (Crystal Palace +333, BetVictor) in a road match in which it has a fair chance at actually winning against a so-so club (West Brom -110; Draw +250). Soccer odds have the Total Goals in this game set at 2½ Under -133 (bet365; Over +105).
The Both Teams To Score prop is priced at -120 both ways (SkyBet), and that shows how wide open this game could be and logic says the home team gets at least one in front of The Hawthorns crowd while the feisty visiting Eagles should get one or two of their own, probably through the mercurial Frazier Campbell (3 goals), Mile Jedinak (2) or Jason Puncheon. The Crystal Palace To Score prop is priced at -187 (Bwin; No +135), and that extreme amount of juice on the ‘Yes’ hints at the probability of an Eagles goal, meaning the BTTS makes some sense as does the Over 2½. A Correct Score bet with Crystal Palace winning by a 2-1 scoreline is 15/1 (+1500, BetVictor) is an interesting prop wager which would pay handsomely should the road team win by that score in a situation where it’s entirely possible. These two teams are really close in a number of different ways and stats.
Crystal Palace manager Tony Pulis is the type of manager players really like to play for and this team doesn’t seem intimidated by whomever it’s playing wherever. But why try to back such a steep underdog here? The thought is that the Eagles (1-1-2 Road, 7 GF-9 GA) have more than enough confidence—as shown in the way it played Chelsea at Home the last two seasons—and recent positive memories while on the Road (Crystal Palace beat Everton 3-2 at Goodison Park on Sept. 21), so trying to “upset” a favorite like the Baggies should be no big deal in their minds although Albion has been playing some good soccer as of late.
The aforementioned Campbell, Jedinak, Puncheon as well as goalkeeper Julián Speroni will all have to step up but this is a team which is better than its current spot in the standings reflects. Pulis will have his boys ready for this one and Crystal Palace will enjoy 2 more days rest (6 to 4) with West Brom playing against Manchester United here at The Hawthorns on Monday (West Brom +375, Manchester United -145, Draw +300; Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook).
West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion will be coming off back-to-back EPL matches against league heavies Liverpool (L 1-2) and United (Monday), so, a little match with Crystal Palace can’t be a big thing now can it? It can. In the Premier League, even fixtures like this have a way of getting their own kind of Premiership Freaky. The Baggies (1-1-1 Home, 6 GF-4 GA) have played three pretty high scoring games here at Home at The Hawthorns to start the EPL season (2-2 Sunderland, 0-2 Everton, 4-0 Burnley) and if Monday’s match at Manchester United went Over (results unavailable at publishing time), then also consider the Over 2½ here as this should be wide open and the fall weather is still warm enough not to slow play or deaden the ball too much.
The Baggies have been playing decently of late, with manager Alan Irvine now at the helm, and deserved a much better fate in its last outing than the 2-1 loss at Anfield at the hands of Liverpool. And like Stoke City and its opponent here, Crystal Palace, West Brom plays a very feisty game of football and often seems like that one housefly you can never really get the proper hit on. If Palace does come in and upset the Baggies here, it certainly won’t be easy.
Best Betting Approaches
Sometimes you gotta just take a chance on the big Underdog in sports gambling and, although not a heavy recommendation, taking the visiting Eagles seems worth a small shot here in the West Midlands although WBA (Odds To Stay Up -400, Bet365) won’t be taken by surprise by Crystal Palace (Odds To Stay Up -275)—two teams most expect not to be one of the three teams annually relegated from the prestigious league. The Draw (+240, BetVictor) also has to be mulled here as 0-0, 1-1, 2-2 and even 3-3 are all possible.
The statistics behind this series reveal just how close it really is. In the 13 games at West Brom at The Hawthorns, the Baggies are 6-3-4 (19 GF-16 GA) while in the 26 meetings overall Albion holds the slightest 9-9-8 edge and has only outscored the Eagles by 1 goal in all that time (32-31).
At +333, taking a shot on big underdog Crystal Palace is the call here for your soccer picks. The Eagles beat Everton at Everton (3-2) while Everton beat West Brom at West Brom (2-0). And, Palace will head in a little bit more rested and thinking that this is their chance to start fresh now that their pesky Home date with big-bad Chelsea is out of the way.
Prediction: West Brom 1 Crystal Palace 2
Free Soccer Picks: Crystal Palace +333 (BetVictor)