EPL Crystal Palace vs. QPR: Capper Place Soccer Pick on Charlie Austin's Goals Market

Lee Phelps

Thursday, March 12, 2015 3:49 PM GMT

A London derby kicks off the Premier League weekend and it's an interesting betting match. William Hill's Lee Phelps has been looking at the goal scorer odds for his free picks.

A few weeks ago most would have thought this would be a relegation scrap in London, but Palace have pulled themselves to the edge of safety and another season in the Premier League. Unfortunately for QPR, nothing much has changed despite the Media’s positivity at the appointment of Gary Ramsey a few weeks back, they are still in desperate trouble with only one win in 12 now and only two draws in that run.

As predicted their home form has dipped as the better teams visit Loftus Road and they haven’t been able to improve their away results enough to stay out of the bottom three, despite ending that terrible losing streak with the win at Sunderland.

 

Crystal Palace
As well as Palace have done under Alan Pardew, there is still a stark difference between their home and away form. It’s four points from 12 at Selhurst Park and nine from 12 on the road, with the defeat at Southampton ending a 100% winning run.

They will have to creep over the line without their captain now as well, having just got Mile Jedinak back from the Asia Cup and injury, he has now been banned for four games after elbowing Diafra Sakho in the win at Upton Park.

According to his midfield companion Joe Ledley the Eagles will miss him too: "It was a little bit harsh. The boy didn't really overreact and he's just clipped him. Four games without him is a big blow and we just look forward to getting him back.

"It's frustrating. Even when he went to the Asia Cup we missed the guy - his character and the way he brings himself. He's our captain and leader."

They do welcome Glenn Murray back after his ban. He had just scored his first goals of the season with three in two games and will fancy getting back in front of goal against this QPR defence, which has conceded the most goals in the division and also the most away from home.

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QPR
Not only are Rangers shipping more goals than anyone on the road, but they are also the second worst scorers on the road, behind Aston Villa, with just nine goals in their 13 matches.

They have undoubtedly missed Joey Barton since his crazy sending off against Hull, but all is not lost according to their Brazilian midfielder Sandro after the narrow defeats to Tottenham and Arsenal: "The way we played in these two matches shows me that we can stay up. We know it will be tough but we will go for it," Sandro told the club's official website.

"I am confident about what we can do because of the way we are playing. If we had scored first it would have been very different but we gave the first goal to them and it gave them the confidence."

There are more positives for the Hoops, with Palace now up to 10 Premier League matches at Selhurst Park without a clean sheet. Add to that the fact they have scored in each of the last six away games and I give them a chance here, especially at the price. Over 4/1 at a team who have one win in seven, is worth looking seriously at.

 

Soccer Picks
I like the QPR win at 5.25 (17/4) despite all the negatives about their record on the road this season, but for a more sure-fire soccer pick, I’d look at over 0.5 QPR goals at 1.67 (4/6). If you like that, Charlie Austin to score for QPR is 3.25 (9/4) and he is the man responsible for 15 of his team’s 29 goals this season.

Free Soccer Pick: Charlie Austin to score 3.25 (9/4)

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