EPL Aston Villa vs. West Ham United: Odds, Prediction & Soccer Pick

Kevin Stott

Friday, May 8, 2015 5:25 PM GMT

Friday, May. 8, 2015 5:25 PM GMT

Sitting just 2 points above the Relegation Zone, the Claret and Blue really need the win and the 3 points here. So, can Villa keep up its scoring pace at home and is the Under worth a pick?

Odds Overview
Aston Villa vs. West Ham United, Saturday 15:00 CEST (Premier League Extra Time, NBC Sports Live Extra, Directv (US); 10 a.m. ET/7 a.m. PT): Villa Park in Birmingham is the site of this Week 36 fixture between host and #14th-place Aston Villa (9-8-18, 29 GF- 50 GA) and 9th-place West Ham United (12-11-12, 43 GF-42 GA) on Saturday which holds meaning for the hosts Villa (35 points) in that they will start play only 2 points ahead of 18th place and the Relegation Zone (33 points) despite being in 14th place.

Soccer odds makers have made hosts Aston Villa -105 favorites in this match with visitors West Ham big +320 underdogs and the Draw priced at a robust +260 at Bet365. The Total Goals here is set at 2½ Over with the vigorish of -110 for both the Over and Under (Betfred). The Both Teams To Score Prop wager sees the ‘Yes’ lined at -137 and ‘No’ both priced at +100 (bet365) while some Correct Score Props: 0-0 +1000, 1-1 +600 (bet365).

 

West Ham United FC
West Ham United (3-7-7 Away, 19 GF-26 GA) has been pretty weak on the Road this season and the Hammers haven’t scored from open play in 343 minutes if you are considering backing the underdogs here. West Ham was definitely hurt much by the season-ending knee injury suffered by striker Andy Carroll (5 goals) and midfielder Stewart Downing (5 goals, +650 Anytime Goalscorer, bet365) has been somewhat of a disappointment this season for the Hammers and manager Sam Allardyce. Carrying much of the weight on the offensive attack for West Ham this season have been Diafra Sakho (11 goals, +240, Sky Bet), Enner Valencia (4 goals, +250, bet365), Kevin Nolan (+650, bet365), 33-year-old Portuguese midfielder Nene (+333, bet365), Carlton Cole (+300, bet365), central midfielder Cheikhou Kouyaté (4 goals, +850, bet365) and Morgan Amalfitano (3 goals, +850, bet365), but this team has really struggled scoring of late and remember that they didn’t score in this season’s 0-0 meeting between these two clubs at Upton Park. West Ham might scores 1 at the most here, and will struggle to do so with Villa worrying about staying up. The Claret and Blue have a great deal of tradition in the England’s top flight of soccer, and will probably be on their best behavior here against the Hammers and GK Adrián, but whether or not they can even score will be a question despite the Goal Spurt (3-2-3) at Home in Villa Park of late.

Shop for the best Premier League Odds offered by top sportsbooks

Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa (4-6-7 Home, 17 GF-24 GA) has brought manager Tim Sherwood in to work some Stay Up Magic for the Claret and Blue and so far it has done the job, but margins are thin and letting up here and losing and heading into Week 37 with a 0-point game at home against an opponent you have owned on your home soil of late would really hurt. For much of the season, the Villains had trouble putting the ball in the net, but leading scorers Gabriel Agbonlahor (6 goals, +187, Anytime Goalscorer, bet365) and Christian Benteke (12 goals, +110) have exploded over the last several weeks, helping to at least put Villa (-21 GD) in 14th place and 2 points up over the dreaded Relegation Zone (Sunderland, 33 points, -22 GD). But there is a big drop off for this team after strikers Agbonlahor and Benteke, with Austrian Andreas Weimann (3 goals, +167) the only Aston Villa player with 3 or more goals. Villa GK Brad Guzan will have to come up big, as although West Ham hasn’t been scoring goals lately, the Hammers do have a bunch of players that can actually score and with nothing to lose on Saturday night, one never knows.

 

Series Trends and Best Betting Approaches
When these two met at Upton Park earlier this season in Week 11, the game ended in a 0-0 draw and this one could be another tight, low-scoring affair despite the fact the Villains have scored multiple goals in their last 3 matches here at Villa Park (2-1-0). The Under is 4-1 L6 (11 goals, 1.50 gpg average) English Premier League games between these two sides, and with host Aston Villa still having to actually worry about earning points and being 6-0-1 in the L7 against West Ham here at Home—the lone loss coming in the last meeting last year (0-2)—this looks like a good chance to back Aston Villa. But those who follow this team know they can be up and down, like drawing 3-3 with QPR here at Villa Park but finding a way to beat Merseyside kickers Liverpool (2-1) and Everton (3-2). This one could be scoreless at halftime, and could very well end 0-0 if the Hammers play some defense. Logic says that probably either Agbonlahor or maybe Benteke gets one for the homeboys Aston Villa here, with West Ham breaking its scoring drought with a goal possibly through someone like Sakho or possibly Valencia, and both teams get a point. Who knows. The last 5 scores in this series have been: 0-0, AV 0-2 WH, 0-0, AV 2-1 WH, WH 1-0 AV. Lifetime, Aston Villa is 32-29-32 (143 GF-147 GA) in English Premier League play against West Ham and the Claret and Blue are 24-11-11 (88 GF-55 GA) here at home against the Hammers lifetime in league play. As for my soccer pick, I think this should be a game driven by Villa in possession, which may lead to a game-tying goal on the counter in the second Half for the visitors. The hosts should really go for it, but expect Hammers GK Adrián to be up for the task.

Predicted Final Score: Aston Villa 1 West Ham 1

Premier League Soccer Pick: Under 2½ -110 

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":299909, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here