English Premier League Week 37 - Weekend's Top Value Matches

Stuart Woodrow

Thursday, May 11, 2017 5:32 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 11, 2017 5:32 PM UTC

With two sides already relegated and Chelsea looking to wrap the title up in one of the two Friday night matches the games that matter are dwindling by the day. This does make successful betting more difficult but let’s see what we can find as we go through the matches.

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"https://www.youtube.com/embed/qB-03BRaq64", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]

Everton v Watford kick off in the first of the Friday night games. It’s strange enough to have one Friday night game but two seems very weird. Watford aren’t completely safe yet, it would take a freak set of results for them to go down but until they have enough points to mathematically ensure they can stay up Watford fans will not be breathing easy. It’s unlikely to come in this game though. Everton messed up last weekend and will be looking to win this one convincingly in front of their own fans.

Everton -1 is at 1.74 with BetVictor and that’s got a smidge of value to it, not a lot though so shop around for the best odds.

Chelsea will more than likely wrap up the title in the second game of the evening (kicking off 15 minutes after the first) against West Brom. They’re away from home but they will want to see the title win secured before the play against Watford on the 15th. I like the over 2.5 in this one and can see Chelsea scoring all 3 as they secure their sixth League title. Pinnacle are offering 1.83 and I wouldn’t go below 1.8 on that one.

Manchester City v Leicester is an interesting one. Man City have been naïve at times this season and playing a high line against Leicester earlier on was a basic error that most of us didn’t see coming. I don’t think Guardiola will make an error like that again and if Vincent Kompany plays then I can’t see him allowing it either. If Kompany doesn’t play then I’ll be jumping on Leicester at 13 with bet365 but that’s a big “IF”.

Bournemouth v Burnley and Middlesbrough v Southampton are two games I’ll skip as I don’t wish to take a risk on any of them.

Just as I bet on Sunderland to raise their game and Both Teams To Score last week (thanks for that Hull) I’m going the other way this week. The Black Cats revival will likely fall flat on it’s face when they play Swansea at home and I’m on the “No” side of the equation this week. 2.25 with BetVictor.

Stoke City v Arsenal should be avoided as one team is on the beach and the other is suffering from an identity crisis. Make your own mind up which is which.

A point apiece in the game between Crystal Palace and Hull won’t help either side so that’s probably what they’ll get. A Hull win would certainly keep things interesting though.

West Ham had their big win last week, effectively ending Tottenham's title challenge and securing Premier League survival in the process. A difficult summer lies ahead for them and a loss in this one against Liverpool could mean that last weekend’s win against Spurs was their last win of the season.

Tottenham v Manchester United finish off the weekend of Premier League football and Tottenham bid farewell to their home of 118 years. A Spurs win that secures second spot and sees the old lady off in style should be expected and odds of 1.73 with both BetVictor and William Hill may not hold value but they are likely winners.

comment here