English Premier League Picks: Arsenal vs Manchester United

Lee Phelps

Friday, November 21, 2014 8:06 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 21, 2014 8:06 PM UTC

Once upon a time this fixture would be an indicator for the EPL title, but not anymore. Our capper has been looking at the betting lines and found the best odds across the win/goalscorer markets. 

Arsenal’s record against Manchester united is poor, even against the much maligned David Moyes team the Gunners failed to score a goal in two meetings, drawing nil nil and losing one nil.

The last two games for Arsene Wenger's team have been very disappointing. They inexplicably threw away the three Champions League points against Anderlecht drawing 3–3, and followed that up by losing another lead against Swansea City at the Liberty Stadium. Everyone knows Arsenal’s weaknesses are their naivety and lack of leadership, but those results shouldn't happen to any team in the manner that they did.

Rather than concentrate on the negatives for the Londoners, I'm going to concentrate on a huge positive: Alexis Sanchez. The Chilean is in blistering form at the moment, he has scored in six consecutive games for club and country and has nine goals in his last eight appearances.  He went into the international break full of confidence having heard his manager describe him as being like Luis Suarez and he duly scored in both of Chile’s friendlies. It's natural to worry about fatigue when betting on a player who has only flown in from South America on Thursday but following the last international games he scored on the Saturday afternoon at Hull having done the same journey on the Thursday.

The latest soccer odds have him priced up at 17/10 to score at any time against Manchester United. He’s a player who enjoys scoring in the big games and that looks fantastic price.


Manchester United
As ever Arsenal are suffering with injury problems ahead of this home game against Manchester United, but they’re nothing compared to the crisis that has beset Louis van Gaal’s team. They could be missing 12 first-team players for this trip down south. Even if some of the doubtful members manage to take to the field they won't be fully fit.

United haven't won an away game in any competition in the last nine attempts spanning the summer. Apart from the trip to the Etihad, the opposition this season hasn't been of the highest quality either. There have been signs of encouragement against the likes of Chelsea and Manchester City where players have raised their game. I wonder if they will take Arsenal as seriously as those two sides though. They will have two be at 100% to get a result against Sanchez and Co given the injury problems.

What will lift the Manchester United confidence is Arsenal's recent inability to hold on to a lead. The tactics surely should be to attack Arsenal and drag them in to an open game. Manchester United have still got fantastic striking ability even if Angel di Maria, Radamel Falcao and others don't make it.

Soccer picks
The outright market is a tricky one here, I can't get Arsenal’s last two performances out of my head so I'm finding it very difficult to back them to win. Manchester United’s poor away record and injury list give me no confidence in having a wager on a victory for them either, so by the process of elimination the draw would be my favourite bet for this soccer pick out of the three.

As far as my favourite bet goes, I'm leaving the to-win odds alone and looking at the scorers. A lot of attention will be on Danny Welbeck's return against his old club, but as I said Alexis Sanchez is the man for me. He is in such good form and will get chances against this Manchester United defence. 17/10 for him to score is my pick in this game.

Free soccer pick: Alexis Sanchez to score any time 17/10

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