English Premier League Futures: Odds Update & Soccer Picks

Wednesday, June 15, 2016 7:00 PM GMT

The English Premier League kicks off in less than two months now so let’s take a fresh look at all the best Soccer Futures odds and try to put together a few value picks.

Defending champions and new sports betting legends Leicester City are as high as 33/1 in the UK with David Silva and Manchester City and not-so noisy neighbors Manchester United with new Manager Jose Mourinho are the oddsmakers second-favorites but is this another year to take a shot on an a team like Everton, Stoke City, Crystal Palace or Southampton? Or can the Foxes repeat? Let’s dive in, look at the freshest soccer odds and make some picks in the three seeming ranges—the top favorites, the longshots and the super-longshots—and make some soccer picks for our loyal and astute SBRPicks readership.

 

Could the English Premier League Race Be Like a 10-Club Race in 2016/17?
The 2016/17 English Premier League will be playing its 25th season and is scheduled to begin play in less than two months now with Matchweek 1 scheduled for August 13 and withe the 38-match season running until May 21, 2017 with Matchweek 38. Leicester City (33/1, Bet365) returns as the history-making league champions with 18th-place Newcastle United (37 points), 19th-place Norwich City (34 points) and 20th-place Aston Villa (17 points) all having been relegated from the league and replaced by promoted sides Middlesbrough (1,500/1, Totesport), Burnley (1,500/1, Bet365) and Hull City (1,500/1, Bet365). Oddsmakers in the United Kingdom and here in Las Vegas have again made Joe Hart and Manchester City (9/4, Coral) odds favorites to win England’s top flight of Football next season with the Mancunian Sky Blues cherry-Red Devils rivals, 5th-place Manchester United (9/2, William Hill) with José Mourinho now at Old Trafford replacing Louis van Gaal at Manager and rumors of Swedish national superstar Zlatan Ibrahimovic (Paris Saint-Germain) heading to Old Trafford (among others) to join forces with players like GK David De Gea, Wayne Rooney, Juan Mata and budding star Anthony Martial. The EPL’s other two perceived heavies, 2nd-place Arsenal (6/1, SkyBet) with GK Petr Cech, Alexis Sánchez and Mesut Özil and Eden Hazard, Diego Costa and GK Thibaut Courtois and 2014/15 champions Chelsea (7/1, Bwin) with new Manager Guus Hiddink are the oddsmakers third and fourth choices, showing that the guys that make the numbers are still putting heavy stock in the big and richest clubs in the English Premier League.

And to show how conservative many sportsbooks have become in the wake of the millions of dollars won by Leicester City backers in last year’s EPL Futures Book marketplace—primarily in England where bettors (punters) had actually heard of the Foxes before—the opening and current numbers are much, much, much lower with the quadruple-digit mega-longshots trimmed from Trees to Bushes. For example, last year you could find West Ham United for 2,000/1 in many sportsbooks at this time of year and now 100/1 is the highest you’ll find the Hammers. Stoke City’s highest price to be found (750/1, Totesport) is a far cry from the 2,000/1 you could have found last year while Bournemouth could be found at 5,000/1 in places a year ago and is only as high as 1,500/1 (Betfred) despite their chances of actually bringing home the EPL title being about the same as they were 365 days ago. So, the days of finding Microsoft stock at $21 a share are probably now long gone. Thanks Vardy.

Here are the highest fresh EPL Futures Online Sportskook odds from the world’s largest sportsbook, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook here in sunny Sin City.

 

Highest Current Odds—English Premier League
Manchester City 9/4 (Coral)
Manchester United 9/2 (almost everywhere)
Arsenal 6/1 (SkyBet, Totesport, Betfred, BetVictor, Boylesports, 888Sport, NetBet, Unibet)
Chelsea 7/1 (888Sport, Betfair, Betway, Unibet, Bwin, 32Red)
Tottenham Hotspur 8/1 (Paddy Power, Betway, Betfair, Bwin)
Liverpool 9/1 (888Sport, William Hill, NetBet, Unibet, 32Red, 10Red)
Leicester City 33/1 (Bet365)
West Ham United 100/1 (Bet365, Boylesports, 888Sport, Betway, NetBet, Unibet, 32Red)
Everton 150/1 (Marathon)
Southampton 150/1 (Sky Bet, Unibet, 32Red)
Stoke City 750/1 (Totesport, Betfred, 188Bet)
Crystal Palace 1,000/1 (Totesport, Betfred, 888Sport, Unibet, 32Red, 188Bet)
Swansea City 1,250/1 (Totesport, Betfred)
Bournemouth 1,500/1 (Totesport, Betfred)
Burnley 1,500/1 (Bet365, Totesport, Betfred, 888Sport, Unibet, 32Red, 188Bet)
Hull City 1,500/1 (Bet365, Totesport, Betfred, 888Sport, NetBet, Unibet, 32Red, 188Bet)
Middlesbrough 1,500/1 (Totesport, Betfred, 888Sport)
Sunderland 1,500/1 (Totesport, Betfred, Betway, 188Bet)
Watford 1,500/1 (Totesport, Betfred, 888Sport, Betway, Unibet, 32Red, 188Bet)
West Brom 1,500/1 (Bet365, Totesport, Boylesports, Betfred, 888Sport, Betway, Unibet)

 

English Premier League Futures Book Odds (June 14—Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)
Manchester City +175 (Opened: 7/4, May 29, 2016)
Manchester United 4/1 (9/2)
Arsenal 6/1 (6/1)
Chelsea 13/2 (13/2)
Tottenham Hotspur 7/1 (7/1)
Liverpool 8/1 (8/1)
Leicester City 20/1 (20/1)
West Ham United 60/1 (60/1)
Southampton 100/1 (100/1)
Everton 100/1 (100/1)
Stoke City 250/1 (300/1)
Crystal Palace 500/1 (500/1)
Swansea City 500/1 (500/1)
Sunderland 500/1 (500/1)
Bournemouth 1,000/1 (1,000/1)
Middlesbrough 1,000/1 (1,000/1)
Watford 1,000/1 (1,000/1)
Burnley 1,000/1 (1,000/1)
Hull City 1,000/1 (1,000/1)
West Bromwich Albion 1,000/1 (1,000/1)

 

Conclusions and Who the Best Premier League Longshot Futures Bets Picks May Be This Season
Last season was historic as historic gets in the Premier League, especially in the Futures Book marketplace where Leicester City (33/1, Bet365) seemingly made more news off the pitch than they did than actually winning the English Premier League championship, their first ever and the first one not won by either Arsenal, Chelsea, Manchester City or Manchester United since 1994/95 (Blackburn Rovers). This coming season, with these prices and all of the attention which normally wouldn’t be paid here to the English Premier League Futures Book combined with an influx of early money and Oddsmakers and Sportsbooks being way more cautious—especially European ones hurt by the Foxes improbable title—after seeing Leicester City win the championship and reward its Futures Book backers with millions in record payouts for all of those savvy bettors who had the Foxes anywhere from 5,000/1 all the way down. For some of those really interested in finding top (perceived) value in this particular market, it may be wise to let the league boil a couple of months (August, September) before making your big move in October-November when prices may be close to what they are right now or better for some perceived smaller clubs with legitimate title shots in a season in which it honestly looks like around 10-12 clubs can make a legitimate run at the English Premier League championship, despite the oddsmakers logically making the two Mancunian super clubs the big chalks.

PICKS: Tottenham Hotspur 7/1 (Bwin), Liverpool 8/1 (William Hill)
LONGSHOT PICKS: Leicester City 33/1 (Bet365), West Ham United 60/1 (Bet365), Southampton 150/1 (888sport)
SUPER-LONGSHOT PICKS: Stoke City 750/1 (Totesport), Crystal Palace 1,000/1 (Totesport)