Earthquakes vs. LA Galaxy MLS Picks: Variety of Betting Angles to Attack the California Clasico

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, August 26, 2015 4:56 PM GMT

Should we expect the hosts to be able to at least hang with the red-hot Galaxy in this Week 26 MLS fixture? Let’s look at all we know about this matchup & try to come up with a couple of solid picks.

 

Odds Overview
LA Galaxy at San Jose Earthquakes [Friday, Aug. 28 11 p.m. ET/8 p.m. PT] (MLS Live, UniMas (USA); beIN Sports Australia, beIN SPORTS CONNECT Australia (AUS) This Week 26 MLS sees the Western Conference’s 2nd-place team, the LA Galaxy (12-7-7, 44 GF-31 GA) face the now 7th-place San Jose Earthquakes (10-5-10, 31 GF-29 GA) on Friday night at Avaya Stadium in San Jose in a match much more important to the red-hot (W3 consecutive, 8 GF- 0 GA) hosts. Oddsmakers have made the guest Galaxy solid +130 favorites here over the host Earthquakes (+215) in the California Clásico with the Draw priced at +235 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook). The Total Goals in this Friday evening fixture from Do You Know The Way To San Jose? has been set at 2½, with the Over juiced at -130 and the Under priced at +110 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook). Some Props wagers for this fixture: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ -187, ‘No’ +110 (Stan James); LA Galaxy To Score Both Halves: Yes +187, No -333 (Stan James); and, Draw No Bet: Galaxy -175, Earthquakes +105 (Stan James).

 

LA Galaxy
In their last game, the LA Galaxy defeated first-year side NYCFC, 5-1 at the StubHub Center in Carson City on Sunday afternoon as Robbie Keane had a pair of goals and  Giovani dos Santos, Sebastian Lletget and Gyasi Zardes added scores.. The LA Galaxy (2-5-6 Road, 13 GF-23 GA) have been very weak on the Road this season, but have won twice away from Home lately, topping FC Dallas in the Lone Star State two weeks back and beating the Rapids for their first Road win of the season in Commerce City (3-1) earlier this month (August 2). Manager Bruce Arena’s has his team playing some fantastic soccer of late, and with a deadly and deep Roster that includes players like Irish national Keane (15 goals,) Lletget (7 goals), Zardes (6 goals), Gordon (5 goals), Designated players MF Steven Gerrard (1 goal, England), dos Santos (2 goals, Mexico), Juninho (4 goals), Baggio Husidic (2 goal), MF Stefan Ishizaki (4 assists, 1 goal) and All-Star Omar Gonzalez (1 goal). Expect MLS odds-favorites LA to make a make a run at a repeat MLS Cup (Galaxy +400, BetVictor) with talented GK Jaime Penedo leading the Defense.

 

San Jose Earthquakes
Chris Wondolowski (12 goals) is heating up for the Earthquakes (5-3-2, 10 GF-6 GA) and his tally 4 minutes from a Fatai Alashe pass helped San Jose win for the 3rd straight game on Saturday as the Earthquakes and GK David Bingham shut out Eastern Conference-leaders DC United 2-0—his 3rd straight Clean Sheet win (Sporting Kansas City, Colorado). Besides the magnificent Wondolowski, San Jose (66/1 to win MLS Cup, Bet365) also features Quincy Amarikwa (4 goals), Cordell Cato (3 goals), Sanna Nyassi (2 goals), Alashe (1 goal), Ty Harden (1 goals), Shea Salinas (1 goal), Adam John (1 goal) and Innocent Emeghara (1 goal). And, as you can see with a grand total of just 16 goals in 12 Home games (1.33 gpg), games played here at Avaya Stadium in san Jose really skew to the Under, although with so much firepower out there, including Wondo and Keane, it’s hard to imagine a low-scoring grudge match here, especially with the hosts fighting for a playoff spot. There should be goals in this one.

 

Current Form, Series Trends, Conclusions
Lifetime in this series, the LA Galaxy are 29-18-22 (111 GF-92 GA) against San Jose overall and 12-10-15 (55 GF-57 GA) on the Road against the Earthquakes. San Jose is in excellent Current Form (LLDLWWW), but the the LA Galaxy are in even better form (WWLWWWWW) so this latest California Clásico and Western Conference showdown one should be fun. Expect the Earthquakes to come out firing as they have done the L3 matches, creating a quick pace which LA will be happy to accommodate with guys like Keane, Lletget, Dos Santos, Juninho, Gordon, Gerrard and the underrated Zardes. The ‘Yes’ in Both Teams To Score marketplace (-187, Stan James) seems wise here—it’s (the ‘Yes’) hit 4 straight in series—as well as taking a chance on the Galaxy which simply have a better and deeper Roster than does San Jose. The last time these two met in Week 5 this season, the Galaxy—winners of 7 straight overall in all competitions including CONCACAF Champions League play (all Overs)—blasted the Earthquakes, 5-2 in Carson City, while the last meeting here in San Jose saw the Earthquakes win by a 3-1 scoreline, so despite the 1.6 gpg average here at Avaya Stadium this season, there have been 11 goals the L2 time the Galaxy and Earthquakes danced. And, sitting in 7th place and on the fringe of a Playoff spot in the West, San Jose has to force the pace and go for the 3 points here with the Regular Season winding down. This is good for the BTTS (‘Yes’) as well as the Over and along with the Galaxy or Galaxy Draw No Bet (-175, Stan James), there are at least three. maybe four good angles from which to try to attack this Friday night game from California’s third-largest city. Vaya con Wondo.

 

Predicted Final Score:: San Jose Earthquakes 1 LA Galaxy 3

MLS Soccer Picks: LA Galaxy +130, Over 2½ -130 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook), Both Teams To Score First ‘Yes’ -187, LA Galaxy To Score Both Halves ‘Yes’ +187 (Stan James)

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