Dynamo Kyiv vs. Fiorentina UEFA Europa League Soccer Pick

Lee Phelps

Monday, March 30, 2015 5:56 PM GMT

William Hill's Lee Phelps is predicting goals in this Ukraine vs Italy quarter final. So which odds is he picking for his free betting picks?

This is a fascinating tie pitting two teams with exceptional home form, but who also know all about the importance of goals on the road. It’s Dynamo Kyiv against Fiorentina.

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Dynamo Kyiv
It’s 15 matches unbeaten at home for the Ukrainian league leaders and they have hit some serious form since the winter break, rattling in 16 goals in four matches, including five against Premier League Everton to turn the tie on its head.

Their away form isn’t as good, losing at Guingamp and Everton, but they back themselves to score heavily at home, they are the second highest scorers in the competition. Beware the away goals though, because they do concede. Both teams scored in both legs in both previous rounds. Dynamo Kyiv winners market is at +140 on the UEFA Europa League Odds board.

If their away form doesn’t let them down, it could be their discipline. They have committed their fourth most fouls and picked up the second highest number of yellow cards, as well as picking up three reds.

There’s a sniff of a bogey club about Fiorentina too. They haven’t beat them in four meetings going back to the days of Roberto Baggio and beyond.

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Fiorentina
The Viola are sixth in Serie A and are a point off Napoli who occupy the final Europa League spot for 2016/17. They have one defeat in 18 games in all competitions (a heavy 4-0 defeat at Lazio).

They are also looking at a Coppa Italia final, if they can beat Juventus having already won the away leg 2-1. That game will be played before the first leg in Kyiv, so could give them a huge boost.

One impressive thing about their away Europa League form is their scoring record, with at least a goal in every road trip, which of course becomes invaluable when the away goals rule comes into play.

 

Soccer Picks
This tie is all about goals for me, I can see over seven across the two legs and wouldn’t be surprised to see both teams score home and away. Kyiv’s recent form means I’m going to side with them as my soccer pick, having seen their approach against Everton, I think they will go for it again. In fact Kyiv coach Serhiy Rebrov said: "If we can play at the same level that we did against Everton then nothing is impossible.”

Free Soccer Pick:  Dynamo Kyiv win and both teams to score 5.75 (19/4) at Bet365

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