Derby Winner Justify Draws No. 7 Post for 8-Horse Preakness

Kevin Stott

Thursday, May 17, 2018 3:18 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 17, 2018 3:18 PM UTC

Kentucky Derby winner Justify draws the No. 7 post position for Saturday's Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore. Justify also was made a 1/2 morning-line odds favorite.

Preakness Stakes: Post Draw, Historical Results From Post Positions

Post positions for the 143rd Preakness Stakes on Saturday (post 6:48 p.m. ET; NBC) were drawn Wednesday at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, and morning line odds were set. Kentucky Derby winner Justify drew the No. 7 post position for the Run For The Black-Eyed Susans in the tiny 8-horse race. As we looked at in our story about recent Derby winners and how they have fared in the Preakness Stakes, five of the last six Derby winners will have been installed as the Preakness favorite and will have gone at less than even money in parimutuel betting even with Justify lined at 1/2 and likely to see extremely heavy action from the public in a race with such a small field.

The betting favorite has won 72 times in the 142 runnings of the shortest (?13⁄16 miles) of the three Triple Crown races (50.7%) with the chalk last winning three years ago when American Pharoah captured the second jewel of the Triple Crown en route to becoming the first 3-year-old thoroughbred since Affirmed in 1978 to win horse racing’s Triple Crown.

Derby runner-up Good Magic drew the No. 5 post position while the D. Wayne Lukas-trained Bravazo got the outside No. 8 slot with new shooter Quip, who bypassed the Kentucky Derby for the Preakness, drawing the inside No. 1 gate.

Last year, Cloud Computing (Opening 12/1 morning line odds; final post odds: 13.4/1) won the Preakness from the No. 2 post position. The No. 1 (American Pharoah, 2015), No. 2 (Cloud Computing), No. 3 (California Chrome, 2013), No. 5 (Exaggerator, 2016) and No. 6 (Oxbow, 2013) starting gates have won the last six Preaknesses.

Let’s look at Wednesday’s draw along with the morning line odds provided by oddsmaker Keith Feustle, the post position draw for the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes (G2) on Friday, and then take a look at some historical trends from the individual gates at the Preakness Stakes — where the maximum field size is 14 and where it looks like there could be rain — a race in which the No. 1-8 slots have completely dominated since the inception of this race. The Preakness has seen 11 or more horses race in it only 36 times since 1908.

Preakness Stakes Post Positions and Morning Line Odds

1. Quip 12/1
2. Lone Sailor 15/1
3. Sporting Chance 30/1
4. Diamond King 30/1
5. Good Magic 3/1
6. Tenfold 20/1
7. Justify 1/2
8. Bravazo 20/1

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#KyDerby winner Justify in his first time around in training this Monday morning at #ChurchillDowns toward the 143rd @PreaknessStakes. Galloping the usual mile and a half.

— Marty McGee (@DRFMcGee) May 14, 2018

Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Post Positions and Odds

1. Tell Your Mama 40-1
2. Midnight Disguise +450
3. Coach Rocks +275
4. Red Ruby 8-1
5. Mihrab 40-1
6. C S Incharge 10-1
7. Goodonehoney 3-1
8. Indy Union 14-1
9. Sara Street 3-1
10. Stakes On A Plane 40-1

Historical Breakdown: Preakness Wins by Post Position

A deep handicapping dive looking at the last 110 Preaknesses — there were two Preakness Stakes races in 1918, won by War Cloud and Jack Hare Jr. — and their recorded post positions since 1909, we can see there have been no winners from the No. 14 post and just one winner from the No. 13 spot (Rachel Alexandra, 2009), and the 9-14 post positions have provided just 12 winners in 109 years. The No. 6 post has been the best at the Preakness with 16 wins, while the No. 4 and No. 7 posts have won the 13⁄16-mile (9.5 furlongs; 1,900 meters) dirt race 13 times each. So make of this what you will in your horse racing picks, but not having to try to get around the pack and into a decent slot seems paramount, although nobody would be surprised if a higher-numbered post position won on Saturday.

In the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes (Race 11) between the 3-year-old fillies on Friday, race favorite Coach Rocks (2-3-1 in 9 career starts) drew the No. 3 post with Sara Street (1-2-0 in 4 career starts) getting the No. 9 gate and undefeated Goodonehoney (2-0-0 in 2 career starts) ending up in the No. 7 post position.

Free Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Winner Pick: Sara Street 3/1 (Bovada)

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