Defending WNBA Champion Lynx Streaking but Remain Bad for Bettors

Monday, July 2, 2018 6:12 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 2, 2018 6:12 PM UTC

Minnesota began this week on a seven-game winning streak, but its results against the spread haven't been as impressive. Let's check out a Lynx game this week and a couple others around the league.

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/" title="Sports Betting Forums">WNBA: Week 7 Lookahead</a></h2><p> </p><h2 dir="ltr" id="docs-internal-guid-897b6560-5c21-fec7-ac9e-3643a1856e5a">WNBA Betting Notes</h2><p dir="ltr">Defending champion Minnesota has W7 after beating Dallas 76-72 on Sunday, but still has the worst ATS record in the WNBA at 6-10-0 (or 5-10-1), pushing in some sportsbooks at a closing -4 (<a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4584&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a>) against the Wings. ... <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/wnba-basketball/" title="WNBA Odds">Chicago (11-5) and Dallas (10-5) have been the best "over" teams</a>, with Seattle (10-7) also having played double-digit games that have gone over the total, with the Sky playing 5 straight "overs" after Sunday’s 97-94 OT loss at home to the Liberty (CHI -3, 166, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4579&amp;book=5dimes" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">5Dimes</a>). ... The Fever have L6 straight SU and L4 ATS into Tuesday. ... The Sparks have been the best "under" team (6-11-0), going a profitable 1-8-0 on the road.</p><p dir="ltr"><img height="319" src="https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/O8u4MblZBsws7ZaEXxF7xfFueyOW2favgz7GtmpgE-BvDv2DipLQVyEhduuVmpLPgCjfmjkuxNrPNk_lGbeJwplNUotUAKylxuJQsKaBv00ejwVpX4Zg6QbdsQBgFAOlCDoJM-rq" width="624" /></p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">New York Liberty vs. Washington Mystics (Thursday, 7 p.m. ET)</h2><p dir="ltr">When these two teams met in D.C. on June 28, Washington won 80-77 but failed to cover ATS against the Liberty (3-7 L10) as big 9- to 9½-point favorites at Capital One Arena, as Elena Delle Donne had 22 points for the winners (162). Here, we can expect a similar but shorter point spread and a better performance from Kristi Toliver (14.1 pg), LaToya Sanders (7.8 ppg, 5.5 rpg) and the hosts who have played very well against the Eastern Conference (7-1) while struggling with teams from the powerful Western Conference (3-5). Last season, the Liberty (-5.5 PD) won both games in NYC but lost by 13 at D.C. (67-54), and with New York (7-9 ATS, 2-5 SU on road) struggling to get wins of late, oddsmakers have inflated point spreads against the Liberty. Looking at <a href="http://www.donbest.com/wnba/injuries/">injuries</a>, Mystics C Emma Meesseman is out for the season while G Gabriel Atkins (concussion) is questionable. A slight lean to the "under."</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>Predicted final score:</strong> Mystics 77, Liberty 70<br /><strong>Free WNBA Pick:</strong> Mystics-Liberty 'Under'</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><p dir="ltr"><img height="217" src="https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/wXyXa0fZ-tldns-2qEhpH-8jTvjOBxBOJxCJ46y-MJBc6wkqLf8xhRrIz6ccOFIJR8tP_h6bwgVbI3-spWZO2MHY9uWZIN18-fot6FZlV2L7j96jrEBCQKs4TeBT6VdPP5dr07KC" width="602" /></p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr">Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky (Saturday, 8:30 p.m. ET)</h2><p dir="ltr">The Lynx, who will be in Naptown <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/wnba-basketball/indiana-fever-vs-minnesota-lynx-3456419/">on Tuesday</a> to fight the Fever, had W7 SU but were still scuffling at the betting windows with as many ATS losses (10) as SU wins for the reigning champions. Maya Moore and the Lynx will be at Chicago (6-10 SU, 7-9 ATS), with an inflated line for the visitors to be expected. This will be the first meeting this season between these two with Sylvia Fowles and Minnesota going 2-1 SU vs. Chicago in 2017, winning at home by 9 (70-61) and 23 (110-87) and getting thrashed in the Windy City by 24 (100-76) as Courtney Vandersloot had 26 points.</p><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"https://giphy.com/embed/3o6ZsVjK9AgDpT1MOs", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]</p><p dir="ltr">Here, momentum and expectations should override the site with Seimone Augustus (10.7 ppg), Rebekkah Brunson (7.3 ppg, 6.7 rpg) and Minnesota likely coming off a win against the Fever and chasing Phoenix (13-5), Seattle (12-5) and L.A. (12-5) in the Western Conference standings providing the necessary fear and energy to roll.</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>Predicted Final Score: </strong>Lynx 93, Sky 77<br /><strong>Free WNBA Pick:</strong> Lynx minus points</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><p dir="ltr"><img height="224" src="https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/NKqbSVK9ISwqmCF1z-bC2SLVrU1agc1preC9nQ3uvEwwwodBVITugt_YnoyZ4QvBeNDPSLOv90qzpNLX7y-IqtGbJkmg-N2GoojRyqgA1Nvu9jb779rVB1JHt-N45zUwYbAOiu0Y" width="611" /></p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr">Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream (Sunday, 3 p.m. ET) </h2><p dir="ltr">The Mercury have been the best WNBA team on the road (9-2) with only one other team in the league above the .500 mark. Good starts both in the season and in individual games have helped fuel veteran Diana Taurasi (20.1 ppg) and Phoenix, who are just 4-3 at home. In this game against the Dream (8-8 SU) in Atlanta, the Mercury (W3, +4.5 PD) will be up against it facing Tiffany Hayes (17.0 ppg), Angel McCoughtry (16.8 ppg, 6.5 rpg) and a team who has gone 4-2 at home and, along with the Sun, had played the least number of home games (6). When these two met in Atlanta on June 3, Phoenix won and covered ATS, 78-71 (ATL -1½, 161, ATL -125, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4579&amp;book=5dimes" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">5Dimes</a>) as Taurasi and DeWanna Bonner each had 20 and the Mercury outscored the Dream in three of the four quarters to improve to 4-3 after starting the season off 2-3.</p><p dir="ltr"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/" title="Free Sports Picks">The Dream will have revenge in mind here</a>, but the imbalance between the West and East seems to be growing this season with the emergence of the Storm and this renaissance by the 36-year-old Taurasi (5.1 apg) — who has to be in the MVP conversation — and Phoenix. Expect oddsmakers to make the Mercury small favorites this time and with the Mercury 11-2 their L13 SU, simply asking them to win here and backing them on the moneyline at what should be a fair price seems the best route. This will be definitely be an important game for Atlanta, who, with Hayes and McCoughtry have the inside presence to possibly neutralize Brittney Griner (19.9 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 57 Blocks) and get some points in the paint, but outscoring this Phoenix side (83.9 ppg) over four quarters will be another thing with the underrated Bonner (15.7 ppr, 6.1 rpg, 3.2 apg) maybe being the difference.</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>Predicted final score:</strong> Mercury 76, Dream 70<br /><strong>Free WNBA Pick:</strong> Mercury ML</p><p> </p>
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