Cyborg Heavy Debut On UFC 198 Betting Markets - Is It Worth It?

Thursday, May 12, 2016 2:06 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 12, 2016 2:06 PM UTC

Fabricio Werdum will defend his Heavyweight title Saturday night in Brazil against Stipe Miocic. Werdum's a big guy, but he's a smallish favorite on the UFC odds board.

Got three or four billion dollars lying around? Zuffa has reportedly put the UFC up for sale. And according to ESPN “sources,” a Chinese conglomerate is at the front of the line. This is bad news – not the Chinese part, just the “fact” that the UFC is for sale (Dana White says otherwise, by the way). Maybe they saw the writing on the wall after Conor McGregor decided to go rogue.

Or maybe they're tired of cobbling together these pay-per-views. UFC 198 takes place this Saturday at the Arena da Baixada in Curitiba, Brazil; this was supposed to be a Fight Night show, but things got moved around after UFC 196 fell apart. Things are still moving around. Anderson Silva was supposed to fight Uriah Hall, but Silva pulled out on Tuesday with an acute case of cholecystitis. We've still got a solid main card, though, so let's take a look at the five fights in question and make a couple of UFC picks while we're at it.


Heavyweight Title: Fabricio Werdum vs. Stipe Miocic
It's been almost a year since Werdum (20-5-1 career, 8-2 UFC) took the Heavyweight strap off Cain Velasquez, cashing in as a +370 underdog. Velasquez was clearly not prepared to handle Werdum, or the rigors of fighting at high altitude in Mexico City. Curitiba is about 3,000 feet up in the air, less than half the elevation of Mexico City, so Miocic (14-2 career, 8-2 UFC) won't be at the same disadvantage.

This could definitely be an upset in the making – although a smaller upset than originally forecast. The UFC odds have been moving away from Werdum since they opened two months ago; the champion is in the –155 neighborhood at press time, down from –220. Miocic puts in more volume with strikes and takedowns, his defense on both counts is superior, plus he's five years younger, 10 pounds heavier, with a three-inch reach advantage. We'll buy that for a dollar.[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3006512, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,169,999996,180,139], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free MMA Pick: Miocic +145
Best Line Offered: at Heritage 


Here Comes Cyborg
The other four fights on the main card don't look nearly as competitive. There are some big names for the Brazilian fans, but don't wax too nostalgic over Vitor Belfort (+240) in his Middleweight fight with Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza. Same goes for Mauricio “Shogun” Rua (+200) versus Corey Anderson in their Light Heavyweight tilt. Those ships have sailed.

With Silva-Hall off the menu, Warlley Alves (–580) will get a chance to beat up Bryan Barberena in Welterweight action, but the fight everyone wants to see is Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino (–1400) making her UFC debut against Leslie Smith. They'll be fighting at a catchweight of 140 pounds. Cyborg (15-1, 1 NC) hasn't lost a fight since her debut in 2005. She's not very likely to lose this one, either.[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3012670, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,169,999996,180,139], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free MMA Pick: Cyborg –1100
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle
Record: 1-0 ML, 1-1 Totals (+1.00 units)


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