Copa America Picks: Home Crowd to Lift Chile Over Bolivia

Nikki Adams

Thursday, June 18, 2015 5:16 PM GMT

Thursday, Jun. 18, 2015 5:16 PM GMT

Hosts Chile take on Bolivia in round 3 of Group A action with top spot on the line. Will the Chileans punch at their weight class or will Bolivia serve up the upset? Here are our soccer picks.

Chile Runaway Faves
The Chileans enter their final group A match as the runaway favorites, trading at -300 soccer odds (or thereabouts depending on your choice sportsbook) on the Copa America Odds Board across sports betting platforms. Do the bookies have it right or are they just crushing on the hosts?

Chile got their campaign off the mark with a resounding 2-0 win over Ecuador, the group's minnows. In round 2 against Mexico things didn't go according to plan as they settled on a thrilling 6-goal draw.

Mexico, faced with a must-win game after settling on a drab scoreless draw with Bolivia, came out of the gates firing at all cylinders and quickly took the lead. However, barely a minute later Chile equalised. Mexico once again nudged ahead but the valiant Chileans rallied back to equalise. In the 55th minute, Chile took the lead for the first time in the game and looked to be well on their way to the win, only for an unrelenting Mexico to equalise, refusing to concede defeat to the hosts.

Chile were one of the standouts in Brazil last year as they famously gave Brazil a run for its money in the R16 before losing on penalties. Alexis Sanchez and Arturo Vidal raised their prolific profiles on the world's biggest stage and the team as a whole showed grit and determination that won them fans the world over.

Hosting the competition is a real honour for Chile and this team is sure to factor in the knockouts, so long as they get beyond Bolivia and clinch top spot in group A.

 

Bolivia Huge Underdogs?
Bolivia are level on four points with Chile in group A after opening with a draw to Mexico and beating Ecuador 3-2 in round 2. Yet, by the soccer odds, you wouldn't be able to tell they have as much invested in this match as the hosts do. Trading at +1000 soccer odds to win outright, the Bolivians are in no uncertain terms being written off in soccer betting markets, the suggestion of a win is apparently farfetched.

Only yesterday Colombia served up a 1-0 upset over Brazil in the competition. That's a result Bolivia will look towards to take inspiration. The thinking should be: if Colombia can take it to a powerhouse and stun the world, why not us?

Why not Bolivia? At the start of the tournament, the Bolivians were pegged as the huge underdogs and the prevalent opinion was that they had their work cut out for them to reach the quarterfinals. Yet, lo and behold they are a win away from doing just that. Should soccer bettors really discredit a soccer pick on Bolivia. Surely, they are worth a small tickle?

 

Soccer Betting Verdict
After the disappointing 3-3 draw to Mexico in the second round of group A betting, expect the Chileans to be fired up and raring to go. They'll be playing in Santiago to a sell out home  crowd and need the win to clinch group A and send their side into the knockouts on a wave of confidence. Arturo Vidal's car crash the other day is a matter of concern, but reports are that he's cleared to play. The 28-year-old is the leading scorer in Copa America 2015 with three goals in two games and his services will be crucial for Chile's chances against a Bolivian side that has been playing above its head in the competition.

By all accounts, the Chileans are expected to win and the most popular prediction trading across soccer betting circles is a 2-0 win with a 2-1 win trading as a close second. Admittedly, we're swinging with public perception and taking the Chileans to win outright at -300 soccer odds. Our choice soccer pick is the Over 2.5 at -138 though.

Soccer Free Picks: Chile to win at -300; Over 2.5 at -138

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