Conor McGregor's Next Fight Betting Odds

Conor McGregor

Andreas Hale

Wednesday, April 11, 2018 4:38 PM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 11, 2018 4:38 PM UTC

The Conor McGregor saga has become one of the most intriguing stories in all of mixed martial arts and that narrative took an interesting turn last week when the Irishman went ballistic after a media day for UFC 223.

The rampage left two fighters injured, three fights pulled from the event and UFC president Dana White calling McGregor’s actions the "most disgusting thing that has ever happened in the history of this company.”

But all this incident did was draw attention to McGregor and question what the future may hold for the former UFC featherweight and lightweight champion. There are questions as to whether or not he’ll look for a rematch with Floyd Mayweather inside of the confines of the Octagon or if he’ll head back to boxing in search of another big money fight.

Although the future is in question, there are betting lines cropping up across the internet where you can lay down some funds on McGregor’s next fight. Bovada will be your choice destination and we’ll break down whether or not any of this is logical.

Starting with boxing, Bovada has lines for McGregor to fight either Manny Pacquiao or Oscar De La Hoya. Interestingly enough, there is no line for a Mayweather rematch.

(Note: These fights must take place in 2018 for Action)

A fight with Manny Pacquiao has been buzzed about for quite some time. Considering that Pacquiao is on the tail end of his career and reportedly in search of a huge payday, the idea of fighting McGregor isn’t all that bizarre. The current line finds McGregor as a +300 to Pacquiao’s -400. Honestly, you could do worse considering that Pacquiao may not be the world class pugilist that he once was, but he could still take McGregor out. Although McGregor showed that he’s had been working hard on the craft, Pacquiao’s speed and strength would likely overwhelm him over the course of 12 rounds. McGregor could land a lucky punch but nobody aside from Juan Manuel Marquez has been able to put Pacquiao down since the Filipino’s rise to stardom.

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The likelihood it will happen?

Well, that’s pretty slim. Pacquiao is set to fight Lucas Matthysse this summer so that pushes the possibility to the fourth quarter. However, there are two things that can bury this fight in a hurry. For one, Pacquiao’s political schedule makes it very difficult to slot in a fight. You have to work around Pacquiao’s calendar and that has been quite the task. More importantly, the weight class they would compete is troubling. McGregor fought Mayweather at 154 pounds and Pacquiao is much smaller than Mayweather. The Filipino fighter likes to fight at 140 pounds and will likely try to keep a fight with McGregor in that realm. It’s doubtful that the UFC fighter would drop to anything less than 150 as his struggles with the 145 limit in the UFC have been well documented.

Oh, and then there’s Bob Arum. He’ll likely kill the idea before it even gains momentum.

As for Oscar De La Hoya, the Golden Boy CEO has made it clear that he would come out of retirement to square off with McGregor. This line is a bit more interesting with a line that is much closer as De La Hoya is only a -155 favorite to McGregor’s +125. De La Hoya hasn’t fought since being ransacked by Manny Pacquiao in 2008. At 45, he’s certainly more vulnerable than Manny Pacquiao despite his boxing skills. He’s been out of the ring for a decade and McGregor could find some success if given the opportunity.

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Weight wouldn’t be an issue for McGregor, but it might be for De La Hoya, who walks around at a bigger weight today than he fought at a decade ago. It’s just hard to see De La Hoya ending a decade long retirement for a boxing match with McGregor. And is the public interest there? Maybe.

If I were to bet either of these scenarios, it would likely be McGregor at +125 in a boxing match with De La Hoya. McGregor couldn’t beat a majority of professional boxers today but somebody like De La Hoya is a lot more vulnerable.

If we shift to the Octagon, there are two options on the table: an MMA fight with Manny Pacquiao or Floyd Mayweather.

Let’s just get this out of the way: an MMA fight with Manny Pacquiao is never happening. Pacquiao’s aforementioned schedule and disparity in weight would definitely prevent this from coming to fruition. And why would Pacquiao want to compete in an MMA fight with such limited time to prepare? Nevertheless, McGregor is a -1000 favorite to Pacquiao’s underdog status of +600. It’s not even worth breaking down.

As for Mayweather, it could happen. Mayweather has been trolling the UFC for quite some time regarding an MMA fight in the Octagon. But at 41, you have to wonder how much of this is posturing versus it being a real possibility. It ultimately boils down to money and if the UFC is willing to pony up somewhere around a half a billion dollars to get Mayweather into the Octagon.

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Come at the king, you best not miss...

Una publicación compartida de Floyd Mayweather (@floydmayweather) el 31 Ene, 2018 a las 4:12 PST

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If it were to happen, the odds are very close to a fight with Pacquiao as Mayweather is a +550 underdog to McGregor’s -900.

In an MMA fight, Mayweather has little to no chance. His entire combat sports career has involved him defending against an opponent’s fists. This, on the other hand, presents a host of new issues including takedowns and leg kicks. It would take Mayweather until he was 44 years old to be a decent MMA fighter. More importantly, Mayweather takes very little risks when it comes to his decisions in and out of fighting. He’s prided himself on not taking damage and an MMA fighter almost ensures that he’s going to get hit with something. Also, his legacy has been all about being undefeated so a world where he cannot control the circumstances and could see his legacy suffer a mighty blow is probably one he doesn’t want to live in.

If you’re going to bet on anything, it would be McGregor at +125 in boxing match with De La Hoya. There’s a lot of circus to go along with it, but there’s more plausibility considering the weights, the possibility that McGregor could actually beat De La Hoya and fan interest.

Take a shot at it and hope for the best (or the worst).

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