Colorado Rapids vs. FC Dallas Soccer Picks: MLS Week 17

Kevin Stott

Monday, June 15, 2015 6:33 PM GMT

Before placing your MLS Soccer picks for Colorado Rapids vs. FC Dallas note that 5 of the L7 games in this series have gone Over the Total. Is hopping aboard the Trend Train the right thing to do here?

Odds Overview: Colorado Rapids vs. FC Dallas
Friday, June 19th: MLS Live, UniMas (USA): 9 p.m. ET/6 p.m. PT
The last-place Colorado Rapids (2-8-4, 11 GF-12 GA) welcome 5th-place FC Dallas (6-4-4, 18 GF-19 GA) to Dick’s Sporting Goods Park in Denver on Friday night in this MLS Week 17 Western Conference tilt which seems more important for the hosts who have just one Home win as Summer officially begins this weekend. MLS Soccer odds makers have made the host Rapids +100 favorites here over visiting FC Dallas (+275) with the Draw priced at +229 (bet365). The Total (Goals) here is has been set at 2½, with the vigorish priced at +100 for prospective Over bettors and at -129 for Under bettors (BetVictor, best odds). Some Props wagers for this weekend game from the Mile High City: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ -117, ‘No’ -102 (BetVictor, best odds); Draw No Bet: Colorado -187, FC Dallas +137 (bet365, best odds); and, To Win To Nil: Colorado +270, FC Dallas +500 (Coral, best odds).

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FC Dallas
FC Dallas (2-2-4 Away, 9 GF-14 GA) is coming off a 3-0 Loss to the Seattle Sounders at CenturyLink Field in Seattle on Saturday night in Week 16 play in a match which was deadlocked 0-0 at Halftime, so this team has scored just 1 goal in their L5 games now (in a 2-1 loss at the Montreal Impact on May 24) heading into this match, which will be their fifth straight MLS contest on the Road—FC Dallas hosts the United Soccer League’s (USL) Oklahoma Energy FC on Tuesday in US Open Cup play—and have slipped from near the top of the Western Conference standings to 5th place. FC Dallas does have some talent on Offense with Blas Pérez (5 goals), Fabian Castillo (4 goals), Testro Akindele (3 goals), Mauro Diaz (2 goals), Ryan Hollinshead (2 goals), but with just 1 goal in its L5 games, FC Dallas is putting a great deal of pressure on GK Chris Seitz, who, gets a break in a way with the Team Formerly Known As The Dallas Burn (1996-2004) playing the 10th-place Rapids, a squad with the least points in the MLS (12) to date. The small things.

 

Colorado Rapids
As mentioned 15 characters ago, the Colorado Rapids (1-3-3 Home, 5 GF-9 GA) have the least number of points in the MLS (12) and are in last place in the Western Conference, 8 points off the 6th-place (last playoff spot) LA Galaxy (22 points). On Offense, the Rapids (66/1 to win MLS Cup, bet365 , best odds) leading scorer is forward Gabriel Torres (4 goals) and the 26-year-old Panamanian is the only Colorado player with multiple goals with Dillon Powers (1 goal), Dominique Badji (1 goal), Nick LaBrocca (1 goal), James Riley (1 goal), Sam Cronin (1 goal), Dillon Serna (1 goal) and Lucas Pittinari (1 goal) accounting for all the other Rapids’ scores so far this MLS season. So, Colorado GK Clint Irwin has really been up against it in a MLS trend afflicting many teams right now—just one main scorer coming through. Can you hear me Earthquakes?

 

Series Trends, Current Form and Conclusions
In lifetime MLS play in this series, the Colorado Rapids are 14-11-13 (43 GF-52 GA) lifetime at Home against FC Dallas while the Rapids are 29-16-31 (92 GF-113 GA) overall against the Burn, so Dallas has held the upper hand here in a large statistical sample size. In MLS play this year, Colorado has seen 7 of its L8 go Under the Total—including a run of four straight 1-1 games—but as mentioned, 5 of the L7 meetings between these two Western Conference sides have gone Over the posted Total (COL 1-1 DAL, DAL 0-4 COL, COL 0-1 DAL, DAL 3-1 COL, DAL 3-2 COL, COl 2-3 DAL, COL 2-2 DAL), although 2 of the L3 have gone Under. Confused? You shouldn’t be. Here, expect Dallas and Blas Pérez to find a way to get the Road win and three points and stay in the thick of the Western Conference postseason race against the team which has allowed the second-lowest number of goals (12) in the MLS. And when a team has to play great Defense just to stay in games like Colorado does, then the strongest Soccer Pick is usually on the Under and that’s definitely the call here in this one.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Colorado Rapids 0 FC Dallas 1

MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER PICKS: Under 2½ -129, Both Teams To Score ‘No’ -102 (Best odds, BetVictor), FC Dallas +275 (best odds, bet365)

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