Close Inspection of NCAA Basketball Odds Reveals Inflated Spread Allowing Underdog to Cover

Monday, February 16, 2015 3:06 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 16, 2015 3:06 PM UTC

Seton Hall visits Villanova as part of Monday's NCAA Basketball shortened slate. The betting odds favor the Wildcats, but find out whether this handicapper is expecting an underdog upset.

<p style="text-align:center"><iframe allowfullscreen frameborder="0" height="330" src="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/video/embed/?videoId=25176" width="560"></iframe></p> <p><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/ncaa-basketball/monday-s-money-making-ncaa-basketball-picks-feature-big-12-big-east-leaders-will-villanova-kansas-cover-spreads/54276/" target="_blank" title="Another SBR handicapper is backing Villanova Wildcats -15.5 today">Seton Hall vs. Villanova</a> (-16) <span data-term="goog_679471824" tabindex="0">7:00 ET</span> FOX 1</strong><br /> Tonight's battle between the Pirates &amp; the Wildcats features two teams headed in opposite directions, as they come down the stretch in Big East play.  Villanova sits atop the conference at 10-2 SU, holding a 2 game lead for league superiority.  Seton Hall, after a promising start, now sits at 5-8 SU in the league, looking to pick up the pieces from a season that “might have been.”  These two met earlier this season with Seton Hall a 66-61 winner at the Pru Center as 6 point underdog in <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/ncaa-basketball/" target="_blank" title="Peruse the NCAA Basketball odds">NCAA basketball odds</a>.  Combined with a 64-63 victory in last season’s Big East Conference Tourney, it means top-ranked Villanova is playing this one with double revenge.</p> <p>On Saturday night, Villanova proved they were the best team in the Big East.  The Wildcats went to Hinkle Fieldhouse, home of the Butler Bulldogs, with a 1 game lead over host Butler.  The game was tightly contested the entire second half.  It was decided in the final moments, when Villanova’s top scorer, Hilliard, hit a triple at the buzzer for a 68-65 Villanova win and narrow one point cover.  It was the last of 31 points scored by Hilliard and his 8<sup>th</sup> 3 pointer of the game.  In the last 6 contests, Hilliard has upped his average by averaging 18 PPG.  As a result, the Wildcats now enter on a 6-0 SU ATS run, and a record of 5-1 ATS as home chalk with every victory by 12 or more points.  As you can see by this impost, in order to gain their double revenge, the Wildcats will have to not only overcome a letdown from that victory (and comfortable 2+ game lead), but they will also have to overcome a line adjustment from the first contest, when they laid a modest 6 points.  </p> <p>Following the 2-0 SU ATS Big East start, highlighted by the win over Villanova, the Pirates have lost their way.  A 12-2 SU, 11-1 ATS beginning has dissolved into 15-10 SU, 14-8 ATS.  That includes 4 consecutive defeats after a 69-62 loss at Providence <span data-term="goog_679471827" tabindex="0">on Saturday</span>.  That 3-8 SU, 2-7 ATS slide corresponds with internal dissension in the Seton Hall locker room.  It culminated when veteran senior guard, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/ncaa-basketball/without-jaren-sina-seton-hall-s-not-worthy-ncaa-basketball-pick-ats-vs-villanova/54271/" target="_blank" title="Without Jaren Sina, Seton Hall's Not Worthy of NCAA Basketball Pick ATS vs. Villanova">Jaren Sina, left the team last week</a>, saying the locker room situation was not for him.  In the Seton Hall loss to Georgetown on February 10<sup>th</sup>, the players nearly came to blows in the huddle during a timeout.  It is up to 5<sup>th</sup> year HC Willard to right the ship and salvage what has become a very disappointing season for the Pirates.</p> <p>With the help of a generous double digit impost, the value <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/ncaa-basketball/" target="_blank" title="Free NCAA Basketball Picks">NCAA Basketball pick</a> lies with Seton Hall in this.  They have the confidence of beating Villanova the last 2 times they played them, the motivation of facing the conference leader, and the advantage of playing the Wildcats in what will surely be a letdown spot following their huge win at Butler, <span data-term="goog_679471828" tabindex="0">Saturday</span> night.</p> <p><strong>NCAA Basketball Pick: </strong>Take Seton Hall +15.5 at <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=809&amp;book=inarticle5dimes" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Place your bet at 5Dimes today">5Dimes</a></p> <p><iframe allowtransparency="true" border="0" frameborder="no" height="140px" id="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" name="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" scrolling="no" src="http://js.sbrfeeds.com/index.php/article?iframeid=iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426&amp;timezone=16&amp;theme=article&amp;line-type=spreadntotals.type=whole-game&amp;odds-type=US&amp;books=19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139&amp;trackers=1409845611531.xml&amp;event-id=361889" style="width:642px;border:medium none;overflow:hidden"></iframe></p>
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