Chile vs. Uruguay Copa America Betting Options Worth a Nibble

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, June 23, 2015 3:03 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 23, 2015 3:03 PM UTC

La Celeste may need some Midfielders to score to get past La Roja at Estadio Nacional in the capital city. And with Claudio Bravo in goal and scorers like Alexis Sánchez and Eduardo Vargas, Chile is the pick here.

Odds Overview
Chile vs. Uruguay [Wednesday, June 24—20:30] (BeIN Sports USA, BeIN Sports en Español, BeIN SPORTS CONNECT, Fubo TV (USA), Premier Sports (UK): 7:30 p.m. ET/4:30 p.m. PT): Tournament host and Group Stage Group A winner Chile and Arturo Vidal face Group B third-place finisher Uruguay at Estadio Nacional in Santiago, Chile in this Copa América Quarterfinal match on Wednesday. Soccer odds makers have made Chile solid -137 favorites over fellow South American nation Uruguay (+375) with the Draw set at +260 (Bwin). The Total Goals here has been set at 2½, with the Under priced at -150 and the Over at +114 (bet365). Some Props wagers for this weekend game in one of the longest countries in the world: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ -137, ‘No’ -110 (bet365); Draw No Bet: Chile -400, Uruguay +275 (bet365); and, To Win To Nil: Chile -162, Uruguay +750 (BetVictor).


Uruguay national team Head Coach Óscar Tabárez has the unenviable task of trying to lead his side through this so-far somewhat boring 2015 Copa América without the services of one of the game’s most dangerous scorers—Luis Suárez (the club’s top all-time scorer with 44 goals)—who is serving an international ban for biting Italy’s Giorgio Chiellini in the 2014 World Cup. So, on paper, it least, it looked like Tabárez had a nice little backup plan at Striker with Edinson Cavani (Paris Saint-Germain), but so far Cavani and La Celeste (The Sky Blue Ones) attack have been incredibly quiet in this tournament, mustering just two goals in Group B (1-1-1, 2 GF-2 GA) play where Uruguay advanced to these Quarterfinals as a third-place team. Coming off a 1-1 Group Stage Draw versus Paraguay, behind the play of dependable GK Fernando Muslera (Galatasaray) and captain Diego Godín (Atlético Madrid), Uruguay (+1400 to win Copa América, best odds, Betfred) is still playing offensively like it’s running in mud at times. But, the good news for La Celeste is that almost all of the other teams in this Copa América are also having problems clicking on Offense, possibly the byproduct of coming off a rigorous World Cup year in 2014 followed by long domestic seasons for these players. There is no real off-season in soccer and these athletes in this sport actually have to play (and travel) too much. Anyway, Uruguay (FIFA code: URU) has still only lost three times without The Vampire of Salto, but with Cavani looking like a shell of his former self and Striker options like Abel Hernández (Hull City) and Diego Rolán (Bordeaux) just not close to being at the same quality  level, this team will probably have to rely on its Defense being lockdown until Suárez returns sometime in the distant Future. Without him, this is just a different team and we all saw how Liverpool nearly fell off the face of the Earth when Suárez took his talents to UEFA Champions League winner Barcelona.

Chile breezed fairly easily through Group A (2-1-0, 10 GF-3 GA), but with Bolivia, Ecuador and Mexico in your group, it’s hard to be cocky and the tournament for real begins here for hosts Chile (FIFA code: CHI) who look like they could actually win this thing (+333 best odds to win Copa América, bet365) if everything goes right. Three of the major components to having a great chance to win an individual soccer game—a great Defense, a good Offense and the site of the match—all favor Head Coach Jorge Sampaoli and La Roja (The Red One) here in the Quarterfinals against Uruguay. With GK Claudio Bravo (Barcelona), La Roja have one of the best in the game in goal and with players like MF Mauricio Isla (Juventus), F Alexis Sánchez (Arsenal), MF Charles Aránguiz (Internacional), Marcelo Díaz (Hamburger SV), MF Jorge Valdívia (Palmeiras), Eduardo Vargas (Napoli) and MF Arturo Vidal (Juventus), Chile is more than loaded in the Midfield and Striker positions and the 10 goals in three games shows the strength of La Roja attack, although a 5-0 win over lowly Bolivia and a 3-3 Draw with CONCACAF opponents Mexico don’t reveal as much as they should with disparities between rosters and levels of of play in the Group Stage. Tired is as tired does, brother. Still, with Neymar out for Brazil, Argentina and Lionel Messi not looking as dominant as one would think and Suárez suspended for Uruguay, Chile—the only team in the Group stage to win a game by more than 1 goal—looks to literally and figuratively be in the right place at the right time. A good start here for La Roja against La Celeste will be imperative.

Must Read: Expect Peru To Win To Nil When Facing Bolivia in Quarterfinlas

Series History and Conclusions
Uruguay is 44-16-16 (117 GF-79 GA) overall in international play against their South American counterparts Chile, but La Roja have improved much in the last five or so years while Uruguay seems to have cooled down a bit from the semi-dominant days of super strikers Diego Forlan and Suárez. In Copa América play, Uruguay is just 3-1-6 (12 GF-17 GA) against Chile in Chile, but an impressive 19-4-6 (62 GF-26 GA) overall in Copa América action against them. But again, those were different teams. The last time these two play was last year (November, 2014) in a Friendly where Uruguay used a 2nd Half goal to edge Chile, 2-1. Here, with Suárez suspended and Uruguay likely, going with Cavani and Hernández at its two Striker spots, Chile just has too much firepower and confidence with guys like Vidal (Chile Top Goalscorer -250, BetVictor), Vargas (+300), Sánchez (+1400) and Aránguiz (+1000) ready to show the world what La Roja are all about. And with the game at Estadio Nacional in the Chilean capital of Santiago and Bravo in goal, the edge for this soccer pick here has to go to the hosts in what should be a low-scoring affair with minimal quality shots on goal on Wednesday evening in Santiago. Don’t sleep on Chile in this tourney.


Predicted Final Score: Chile 1 Uruguay 0

Copa America Soccer Picks: Chile -125 (Bwin), Under 2½ -150  at Bet365

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