Chelsea Predicted to Take the Win Over Burnley FC

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, August 12, 2014 7:15 AM GMT

The Opening Weekend of play in the English Premier League wraps up on Monday with a fun contest from West London’s Stamford Bridge between Chelsea (25-7-2) and freshly promoted Football League Championship side Burnley who last played in England’s top flight of football back in 2009-2010.

The Clarets became in the smallest town in the Premier League—they play in Burnley (population 73,500)—to host a club and will definitely be in over their heads here against a team which qualified for UEFA Champions League play this season with their third-place finish (82 points) last season and were the European champions in 2012 when they defeated Bayern Munich at the Allianz Arena on a dramatic Didier Drogba penalty kick.

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Chelsea Loaded For Mourinho’s Second Year Back
The Blues (7/4, LVH SuperBook) are expected to make a run a the title this season—José Mourinho’s historically strong second-years as manager of top European clubs—but taking Chelsea in the Premier League Futures Book just doesn’t seem prudent with the low odds and long wait (May 2015) for a potential payout. Over the summer, the Blues let go of Ashley Cole (AS Roma), David Luiz (PSG), Frank Lampard (NYFC/Manchester City loan) and Lukaku (Everton) but Chelsea brought in strikers Diego Costa (Atlético Madrid) and club legend Drogba (Galatasaray) as well as Cesc Fàbregas (Barcelona) and Kurt Zouma (Saint-Étienne) and got back young goalkeeper extraordinaire Thibaut Courtois from a long loan spell at Atlético in Spain’s La Liga where Los Rojiblancos shocked world heavies Barcelona and Real Madrid by winning the league title.

Toss in all returning elements of the EPL’s best defense (27 goals allowed) including veteran goalkeeper Petr Cech, captain John Terry, rising stars Gary Cahill and Cesar César Azpilicueta and the rugged Branislav Ivanovic as well as Nemanja Matic holding down the defensive midfield, and Mourinho should have the best defense in the United Kingdom once again. Unders would seem to be worth looking at until one realizes Chelsea—which should have another top four finish—has a number of scoring threats and attacking midfielders like Eden Hazard and André Schürrle are in a position to have stellar seasons with the teammates they now have around them.

 

How to Play This One, Potential Chelsea Goal Scorers
With Chelsea being such a steep favorite at home in its opener against a relegation team, this is the perfect game to make the most out of all the markets and manicure the bets that  you want out of all the noise. Chelsea (-275, bet365) should definitely win the game and loses at how in SW6 about as often as a frog uses a credit card for a nice little 100% cotton sweater. Underdog Burnley (+375) and the Draw (+750) would yield nice paydays, but, realistically, only punters/gamblers who bet the number would back plays like those dumb wagers in this particular game. Knowing The Special One never loses at home is a good point to work backward from and there is no value on a bet if you don’t win it no matter what the talking parrots say.

The Anytime Goalscorer marketplace seems like a really intelligent proposition place for me in this one, as I think the Blues will explode for 4 or 5 goals as it rains celery and angels play small trumpets in Londontown. In order of odds, potential Chelsea goal scorers are Costa (+110), the injured Drogba (+125)—which probably wouldn’t be a very wise play with his ankle tweaked and his Ivorian tree rings one year older—Hazard (+160), Fernando Torres (+175), Schürrle (+225), Fàbregas (+275), Mohamed Salah (+275), Willian (+275), Matic (+600) and defenders Terry (+600), Ivanovic (+700) and Cahill (+800). For me, taking The New Kickers On The Block, Costa and Fàbregas—along with Schürrle and Matic—seems like it would pay off if at least two of the four hit and I do believe Costa will find the back of the net in his regular season debut for the Blues at The Bridge.

 

What Does Burnley Have To Offer?
Manager Sean Dyche and Burnley, promoted from second place in the Championship last season, will have no recourse but to go on the attack at Chelsea early on and hope somehow for that first goal and the ability to possibly slow the game down. But the Blues team is too hungry and Mourinho is too good in these second-year situations so I foresee an absolute blowout and a very, very happy crowd in West London on Monday night. The Claret will be wearing their cool-looking all-black road kits so, the visitors will definitely have the edge in the fashion department, but in all seriousness, Burnley’s modus operandi this 2014-15 season will simply to avoid being one of those dreaded three EPL relegation teams and to not embarrass the club. And that will be hard.

Look for Chelsea to score a couple of goals in the first half and then two or three more in the second half as they coast to an extremely easy home win in the season opener. And it won’t really matter if Mourinho decides to go with Cech or Courtois in goal here—logic says he picks the veteran out of sheer respect—because with the Blues defense and now the holding beast Matic in front of them, the Claret likely won’t be scoring any goals on this opening weekend.

Thinking there will be Chelsea goals in a blowout, why not lay the 2 goals and get the wonderful +225 payback at Bovada or some other sportsbook in a proposition bet? And maybe also take the Over 2½ goals? (-118 888sport)? For me, the Blues—maybe even Debut Boy Costa—goes Over the total himself in this one. If interested, the odds for Costa To Score A Hat Trick in in this match are +2200 (22/1) at Bet365. Good luck.

Soccer Prediction: Chelsea 5 Burnley 0

Free Soccer Pick: Chelsea -2 +225 (Bovada), Over 2½ -118 (888sport), Diego Costa Anytime Goalscorer +110 (bet365)