Champions League Soccer Picks: Back Real Madrid To Beat Wolfsburg

Bernardo Baltazar

Tuesday, April 5, 2016 10:08 PM GMT

Tuesday, Apr. 5, 2016 10:08 PM GMT

Wolfsburg is doing an average season in Bundesliga, losing important points in the previous rounds that made the gap to Europa League places too high for them to recover until the end of the season.

Wolfsburg is doing an average season in Bundesliga, losing important points in the previous rounds that made the gap to Europa League places too high for them to recover until the end of the season.

Real Madrid couldn’t ask for a better result before this match, beating Barcelona at Camp Nou with just 10 players which will certainly work as a morale boost for Zizou’s team and will make them even harder to beat.

Real Madrid’s offensive quality is well known and is expectable that Wolfsburg allows Real to play their game on this match. A game where Real Madrid forwards will explore the space given with quick transitions and they don’t usually need many chances to score.

Varane should miss this match after also missing the Camp Nou match, which means that Pepe and Sergio Ramos should play on this match.

Looking at Wolfsburg path into this quarter-finals, we have to say that they had a much easier one, winning the two matches against Gent in the previous round.

Wolfsburg presents a classic German game style, with high intensity and full speed which usually results on a high scoring affair against a team like Real Madrid, in a match where they might expose themselves but they are also extremely dangerous on the attack while Real Madrid’s defense is quite vulnerable.

The Germans have been very strong on their stadium throughout the season in all competitions, failing to score in only one game at the Volkswagen Arena against Bayern Munich in February.

 

Betting Overview
Looking to the goals market, we expect both team to score on this game but the price offered by the sportsbooks is a fair one and we prefer to avoid placing a bet on it pre-game @-143 soccer odds once there is no edge on it.

In terms of goals number, the line is also very sharp with the Over 2.5 paying @-152 Pinnacle. We expect a game with 3 or more goals and we’ll keep an eye on this over during the match, looking for an opportunity to extract more value from it. Both teams might start slow as they did on their previous domestic league matches, where Wolfsburg lost 0-3 against Leverkusen in a match where most of the goals appeared on the second half while Real Madrid defeated Barcelona by 2-1 with all three goals scored in the 2nd half.

With that said about the goals markets, we’ll now focus on the winning market for our top soccer pick.

Even though we expect Wolfsburg to score a goal on this contest, Real Madrid is a level above team and is very difficult not to see Cristiano Ronaldo & company winning this match.

The straight win is priced correctly at the moment but in an open game like this, we believe the Spanish team can solve this tie on the first leg. Therefore, the Asian Handicap -0.75 or even -1.00 are the lines that will add to our bet slip for the Wednesday match.

We picked Cristiano to score against Barcelona and we have to pick him again on this match. The Portuguese is always looking to beat all the records and he’ll be fully motivated to score on this Champions League match, the competition that he most likes to play at. Bet365 offered -149 which is too low but William Hill provides a much better price @-110 and we’re obligated to pull the trigger here!

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Free Soccer Pick: Real Madrid AH -0.75 (-108)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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