Champions League Odds Markets Shift as Bayern & Real Advance: Chelsea Crashes Out & Four Matches Left to Play

Nikki Adams

Thursday, March 12, 2015 12:47 PM UTC

Thursday, Mar. 12, 2015 12:47 PM UTC

Only half of UCL's last 16 ties are in the books, but significant changes have been made to futures market nonetheless. Join us as we dissect this week's slate in Europe's top flight club competition. 

Bayern and Real Through To Quarters
Tournament faves Bayern and Real advance into the quarterfinals, but the pair couldn't have enjoyed more contrasting fortunes. Bayern Munich had no trouble exerting their supremacy over Shakhtar Donetsk. Cristiano Ronaldo, meanwhile, battled in vain for Real Madrid as the Spanish giants succumbed to a loss to Schalke 04.

Ironically, both games served up a feast of goals. In fact, seven goals were scored in each game, the difference being that while Bayern did all the scoring against a 10-man Shakhtar Donetsk to win 7-0, Real Madrid were outscored 4-3 by Schalke 04 at the Bernabeau. Fortunately, the Spanish giants still had the edge on aggregate thanks to a 2-0 win in Gelsenkirchen and advanced by the skin of their teeth into the quarterfinals.


FC Porto Rise To Occasion, Chelsea Crash Out
In the other two games on the Champions League schedule this week: FC Porto advanced without too much fuss while PSG sunk Chelsea in stunning fashion.

FC Porto cruised to a convincing 4-0 victory over Basel in the second leg and won the tie 5-1 on aggregate. The Portuguese side never looked to be in trouble against the Swiss side, scoring early in the first half to take the advantage and, from that point on, they never looked back.

Chelsea, one of the top faves in the tournament, started their tie with PSG brightly at Stamford Bridge and things seemed poised to go their way when Zlatan Ibrahimovic was sent off early. Yet, somehow, the 10-man PSG rallied valiantly, twice coming back to level the score 2-2 (3-3 on aggregate) and send Chelsea crashing out of Champions League by virtue of the away goal rule. While soccer betting markets were left reeling with this significant upset, there's no denying the French side thoroughly deserved to win. They were the better team on the day, full stop. Those that backed PSG on their soccer picks at +250 to advance into the quarterfinals have to be quite chuffed right now.


Champions League Odds Move
While four matches in the Champions League's last 16 are yet to be played next week, there have been some perceptible moves in the Champions League Futures betting. Needless to say, there'll probably be more movement next week when the entire R16 is in the books and the draw for the quarterfinals is revealed.

We follow the movements on the soccer odds board in Table 1 below and serve up some of our early thoughts on how these teams stack up. Obviously, the biggest movers and shakers this week are PSG and FC Porto. The former climbs down from +2800 to +1000 to win it all while the latter climbs down from +5000 to +3300. So far, these are the biggest move positive move of the week.


Table 1: Champions League Futures Odds & Movement Through the Rounds
*Odds Courtesy of Bet365

What's interesting to note, is Barcelona's odds shortened from +550 to +333 at the conclusion of the first leg against Man City. However, this week, they've shortened even further, down to +275 even though they've yet to play the second leg of their tie at Camp Nou. Another Spanish side to benefit for a similar re-evaluation is Atletico Madrid, who are down to +1600 from +2000 after last week's first leg concluded.

Borussia Dortmund also have had their Champions League odds shaved down to +3300 from +4000 even though they are yet to play the second leg of their tie with Juventus next week. What's most interesting about this particular move is that their R16 counterparts Juventus haven't budged on the Champions League betting board, holding fast on +2000.

Finally, with Basel, Shakhtar Donetsk and Schalke 04 exiting the tournament, Arsenal are now the tournament long shots that prop up the Champions League futures market on +8000 soccer odds. They are priced so simply because they are behind 3-1 in their tie to Monaco, but there are those experts and soccer bettors alike that feel they are England's best hope in the competition regardless. Overturning a 3-1 deficit in their tie against Monaco is deemed more likely than Man City turning around their 2-1 deficit to Barcelona, or so they say.

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