Champions League Betting: Manchester United vs. Bayern Munich

Nila Amerova

Thursday, March 27, 2014 12:06 PM GMT

Manchester United face the impossible task of trying to overcome Bayern Munich in the quarterfinals of the Champions League.

Bayern Munich win Bundesliga

As was widely expected, Bayern Munich clinched the 2013-2014 Bundesliga title with a 3-1 victory over Hertha BSC during midweek Bundesliga betting action.

When the most sought after football coach Pep Guardiola (winner of 14 out of 19 titles in four years at the helm of Barcelona) joined last year’s treble winners Bayern Munich, the immediate thought that occurred to all and sundry was how he would improve an already impressive team that Jupp Heynckes left behind.

Claiming their 24th Bundesliga title in record time, which adds to their UEFA Super Cup victory at the start of the season and Club World title is certainly a step in that direction, not to mention winning their 10th straight away game, which stretched their winning streak to 19 consecutive league games and their unbeaten trek through Bundesliga to 52 league matches. But winning DFB Pokal and, more importantly, the coveted Champions League crown at the end of the season will prove to be the ultimate measure of Pep Guardialo’s first term.

How he stacks up against the great Heynckes who lifted Bayern Munich in worldwide soccer betting estimation. Fail at either of these last two hurdles and well the debate will rage, regardless whether they remain unbeaten on the season in the league, all of their laudable successes and while playing the best football this side of Barcelona.

Unquestionably, the real measure of this year’s instalment of Bayern Munich hangs in the balance of Champions League, their ability to defend their title in back to back seasons – something that hasn’t been done in the competition’s current format.

At the start of the competition, Bayern Munich entered as the top favourites, albeit on the short side of even money at +350 soccer odds to win outright. That honour was to some extent a moot point with Barcelona nipping at their heels at +400 and Real Madrid at +500 futures odds at Bet365.

Now, on the threshold of the quarterfinal round, Bayern Munich move ahead in sports betting estimation – a clear indication that odds makers are buying what Pep Guardiola is selling. They are listed at +175 futures betting odds to win outright, which marks a considerable edge over both Real Madrid (now at +333 futures odds) and Barcelona (now at +350 futures odds). The fact that it would mark a historical occasion makes it all the more dazzling a prospect.

Adding weight to the German giant’s overarching odds in the competition is the conspicuous leaning in sportsbooks, a striking expectation Bayern Munich would overcome Manchester United in the quarterfinals. In other words: they are expected to reach the penultimate round at the very least. To not do so would be a massive upset that would send seismic shockwaves through soccer betting circles.

Why else would Bayern enter the first leg of the tie at the Old Trafford as the indisputable favourites to win outright at -225 soccer odds?  More specifically, Manchester United are listed as the whopping + 600 underdogs to win outright and the draw is listed at highly improbable +333 soccer odds. Both price tags perhaps the most telling of the lot.

For good reason given how up and down the Red Devils have been this season overall and their failures against big teams, nowhere more so than at the Old Trafford where they were recently routed by both Liverpool and Man City 3-0. 

Actually, in some respects, one fears for Man U in this matchup.

Soccer Betting Verdict: Bayern Munich appear unstoppable at the moment and it’s really hard to see how an inconsistent and off colour Man U could turn the odds in their favour. To put it more bluntly, Pep Guardiola vs. David Moyes is a mismatch of tactical and strategic disproportions. Therefore, more likely than not, this match should fall in line with market expectations and, thus, Bayern Munich has to be the smart soccer pick at -225 to win outright.

Soccer Free Picks: Bayern Munich to win outright at -225.

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