Champions League Betting: Bayern Munich vs. Manchester United

Nila Amerova

Tuesday, April 8, 2014 6:22 PM GMT

Tuesday, Apr. 8, 2014 6:22 PM GMT

The Champions League quarterfinal tie between Bayern Munich and Manchester United hangs on the balance of a 1-1 draw. Sportsbooks however tip the scale wholeheartedly in favour of the hosts when the pair collides in the reverse leg in Munich on Wednesday night.

Bayern Munich hot favourites

Bayern Munich enter the home leg of their quarterfinal tie with Manchester United at the significant advantage in sports betting markets. Tipped at -400 soccer odds to win outright and at -900 futures odds to advance into the penultimate round of the competition, odds makers are supremely confident in Bayern’s quality and ability to answer at the time of asking even if the tie rests on a 1-1 draw that could effectively fall either way.

Taking the shine off Bayern’s odds however is a recent spate of disappointments including the 1-1 draw at the Old Trafford. After winning the Bundesliga in record time, Bayern Munich suffered back-to-back setbacks in league action. First they settled on a 3-3 draw to Hoffenheim at Allianz Arena, a result made all the more remarkable by the fact that the visitors came back from two goals down to force the stalemate. Then they went on to their first league defeat of the season and first since October 2012, a 1-0 defeat at Augsburg that marked the end of an undefeated run on 53 games. Sandwiched in between those outcomes was of course the 1-1 draw to Man U.

How much the pressing tie with Man U affected Bayern’s recent run of form is a source of debate. One could argue that those league mishaps are a moot point. Given that the title is wrapped up already and those matches were dead rubbers, it wasn’t worthwhile for Bayern to invest much effort into them. In fact, several key players didn’t even travel to Augsburg – Franck Ribery, Arjen Robben and Philipp Lahm got the weekend off – while others were parked on the bench for most of the match, including Gotze and Muller (to name a few).

Champions League is still alive. Results there matter towards a successful title defence campaign and the club’s history and Pep Guardiola’s reign, which from the start was always going to be measured in the balance of Europe’s top-flight club competition.

No team in the competition’s current format has won the coveted title in back-to-back seasons. When Guardiola inherited the club from Heynckes the question asked by all and sundry: how could he improve on an already great team? What seemed impossible proved possible after all, as Guardiola’s Bayern is widely considered even better than last year’s instalment. And with one down and two to go – Champions League and DFB Pokal – pulling off the Treble is still achievable. 

And you can bet that that is their ultimate focus now, in which case one could argue their recent wobbles in domestic action are a moot point indeed.

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Manchester United long shots
Manchester United are listed as the quintessential long shots at +1100 soccer odds to win at the Allianz Arena and at +600 futures betting odds to advance into the penultimate round. The tie hangs in the balance of a 1-1 draw, which could tip either way. But as far as soccer-betting markets are concerned, it’s highly unlikely that it would tip in favour of the Red Devils.

In manner of speaking, that is just a matter of opinion. Granted, Bayern Munich have all the on paper advantage but the reality is that sports can be unpredictable. Matches aren’t played on paper but on the pitch. Anything can happen really. Even the unthinkable such as David Moyes orchestrating the demise of Pep Guardiola’s enviable Bayern Munich.

Easier said than done especially if Man U are forced to play without Wayne Rooney. Already on the injury list is Van Persie, who is out until April 26th when Man U take on Norwich City. But Rooney, who injured his toe in the first leg, may not be available for the reverse leg, which would be a serious blow to Man U’s chances. He’s reportedly due to travel to Munich but it remains to be seen whether he’ll play and if so how much playing time he’ll receive.

Soccer Betting Verdict: In theory, the way this tie is poised, it could go either way. That being said Bayern Munich have the overwhelming advantage on paper – in quality and depth, not to mention home advantage. It’s not impossible to assume Man U could fashion a remarkable result at the Allianz Arena – which would make them THE soccer pick of the midweek Champions League betting menu –after all, Arsenal beat Bayern last year at the Allianz as did Man City in Champions League group action this season. But without Van Persie and possibly without Wayne Rooney (or even with a less than 100% Wayne Rooney) it’s hard to look beyond the Bundesliga champions on your soccer picks with any conviction.

Soccer Free Picks: Bayern to win outright at -400; Bayern to win both halves at -175; Over 2.5 at -211

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