Champions League Bayern Munich vs. Barcelona Leg 2: Odds, Preview, Prediction & Picks

Kevin Stott

Monday, May 11, 2015 3:56 PM GMT

Monday, May. 11, 2015 3:56 PM GMT

Barcelona rolled Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich, 3-0 in Leg 1 of this Semifinal series at Camp Nou a week ago. Is an Over soccer pick the logical play Tuesday in Germany?

Odds Overview
Bayern Munich vs. Barcelona, Tuesday (May 12) 19:45 [20:45 CET, Local Time] (Fox Sports 1 USA, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Soccer 2Go, Fox Sports GO (US); ITV 1 UK, UTV, STV Scotland (UK); 2:45 p.m. ET/11:45 a.m. PT): This UEFA Champions League Semifinal Leg 2 meeting at Allianz Arena in Munich on Tuesday between two of the best perennial teams on the planet—Barcelona and Bayern Munich—just doesn’t have the luster it would had Spanish La Liga giants not scored that late third goal by Neymar in Added Time in their impressive 3-0 romp over Fußball-Bundesliga heavyweights Bayern Munich at Camp Nou last Wednesday in Leg 1, courtesy of two late Lionel Messi goals.

Soccer odds makers here have made hosts Bayern Munich slight +160 favorites over Lionel Messi and visitors Barcelona (+170, bet365) in the Three-Way (Winner) marketplace in this fixture with the Draw priced at +275. The Total Goals in this match has been set at 2½ with the Over juiced at -153 and the Under at +120 (bet365). The Both Teams To Score Prop odds in this second leg sees the ‘Yes’ set at -175 and the No at +125 (Paddy Power) and this is the perfect game to bet the ‘Yes’ and make a bet with Bayern Munich having to force the action and try desperately to score 3 goals somehow while Barcelona and Messi could probably score on accident, the team is in such a major offensive groove. Don't forget to check our SBR's live Champions League odds board to shop for the best prices on the market.

 

FC Barcelona
Barcelona (29-3-4, 107 GF-19 GA in La Liga) and coach Luis Enrique are on the precipice of winning Spain’s La Liga (Barça leads Real Madrid 90-86), and nobody is playing better football in Europe right now than this team, with GK Claudio Bravo actually having more Clean Sheets (22) than Goals Allowed (19) in league play. Pretty amazing. The red-hot Catalans and Bravo—who have not conceded a goal in their L7 competitions—have won 38 of their L42 overall and 17 of the L18 after blanking Real Sociedad on Saturday, 2-0, on scores from Neymar and Pedro Rodríguez. But here in Munich it could be a different story, with the hosts chasing those aforementioned three Barcelona goals, being nearly impossible to beat at Allianz and the Spaniards from Barcelona having never won here. But the Bavarians are in a major scoring drought (as we’ll look at below) and Barcelona (9-10-6 vs. Bundesliga sides) has W4 straight Road games in European Cup play. And with Barcelona—who is looking to reach its eighth Champions League final—attack force Messi (+114 Anytime Goalscorer, Ladbrokes), Neymar and Luis Suárez having already scored a Barcelona club-record 122 goals this season, the word “drought” probably isn’t used much around Camp Nou with that dynamic and history-making troika along with often unheralded Blaugrana players like Pedro, Andrés Iniesta, Xavi, Sergio Busquets, Rafinha and Ivan Rakitic. Four-time tournament champions Barcelona (UEFA Champions League Form Guide—LWWWWWWWWW)—who have been playing some incredible Defense this year with new GK Bravo and Gerard Piqué and others—are ranked No. 2 in the UEFA Rankings behind rivals Real Madrid (but that will be changing soon) and Barcelona heads into this game incredibly Healthy and Happy, especially in comparison to Bayern Munich. And the Blaugrana also have that wonderful 3-goal cushion, although an early Bayern Munich goal would set the tone for some fun and the home Allianz Arena crowd will be backing their boys more than ever, knowing what their club, which won this tournament two years ago, is really up against. And with Bayern’s versatile heart Thomas Müller, anything is possible.

 

FC Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich (24-4-4, 77 GF-16 GA in Fußball-Bundesliga), which recently wrapped up its third straight Fußball-Bundesliga championship, is just not themselves lately. First of all, this team isn’t scoring. The mighty Bavarians have now gone 361 consecutive minutes without scoring a goal, which amounts to Bayern Munich’s longest dry spell in the the L17 years. Secondly, and almost just as odd, the Bavarians have gone 4 straight games in all competitions without winning, the last a 1-0 loss to FC Augsburg here at Home at the Allianz Arena on Saturday in league play. And, third, and definitely the most important reality for this second leg, the UEFA website has Bayern Munich reporting a number of Injured players for this game including talented wingers Arjen Robben (calf, out for season) and Franck Ribéry (ankle), Holger Badstuber (thigh), David Alaba (knee), Sebastian Rode (hamstring) and backup GK David Starke (ankle), all of whom are listed as being sidelined for this game. But in this situation it may be all hands on deck for Bayern Munich, and, as we have written about these Injury Reports here and the reality of what actually often ends up happening (who plays) in the games are often two different things. The website also lists Bayern Munich striker Robert Lewandowski (nose) as Doubtful, but chasing three goals against a team like Barcelona, especially the way they’re playing now, means that Bayern manager Pep Guardiola may have to get really creative against his old team. The Germans have recovered from losing a Leg 1 on the Road to win a series 10 times (they’ve lost 11), and bayern Munich are undefeated here at Home in Champions League play, and have put up 13 goals in their L2 games here (Shakhtar Donetsk 7-0, FC Porto 6-0). Also in host Bayern’s mental favor: They did destroy the Blaugrana 4-0 here in leg of their Semifinal series with Barcelona in 2012/2013 (Bayern won 7-0 aggregate) and hosts Bayern München (UEFA Champions League Form Guide—WWWLWDWLWL) do fortunately have the world’s best goalkeeper in Manuel Neuer, some of the best fans in Europe and high expectations. But 0-3 is 0-3.

 

Best Betting Approaches and General Feel For These Two Sides
These two clubs are in two different Headspaces (confident, not confident) and overall Physical Conditions (healthy, not healthy) heading in here on Tuesday in Germany. And with Bayern Munich struggling to score (361 minutes), struggling to win (4 games), chasing goals (3) and now facing the hottest team in Europe in Barça, who have W37 of 39 UEFA competitions series in which it has won Leg 1 at Home at Camp Nou, it looks mighty dark for Guardiola & Company. A perfect storm of Doubt, Mediocrity and Injuries and some, Bad, Bad Math, with that Neymar goal in Injury Time looming very large as well as the 0 Road Goals for Bayern in Leg 1. That’s all. So here, expect the Germans to really push the pace early on and throughout, but without grizzled Old Veterans Robben and Ribéry, the miracle comeback and trip to June 6ths UEFA Champions League final over at the Olympiastadion in Berlin will be that much harder. Bayern Munich always has a deep roster, but this team looks like they haven’t looked in some time, and the way GK Claudio Bravo and Barcelona are playing Defense combined with the way the Messi-Neymar-Suárez triumvirate are clicking on Offense means it’s likely that the Blaugrana will get at least one goal against Bayern Munich and Neuer, making the task even harder for the proud German hosts. And with 32-year-old Chilean Bravo now thrusting himself into the ranks of the planet’s best goalkeepers and the Tiki-Taka-ers knowing that The Clock is their friend and that Time of Possession is their forte, this will probably end up being 90+ minutes of frustration for the 2013 Champions League holders, and the type of match and result the home crowd just isn’t used to seeing. So with the pace likely quick from the get-go, Bayern Munich needing goals like a man in the hospital needing blood and Barça always good for a couple of goals of its own, backing both the Over (2½, -153, bet365) and the Both Teams To Score Prop wager (Yes -187, Paddy Power) is the prescription here. And, if you’re feeling strong brother, why not take a crack and add to your soccer picks the magical Messi and Barcelona with the nice plus (+170, bet365) for a nominal amount?

 

Predicted Final Score: Bayern Munich 1 Barcelona 2

UEFA Champions League Free Soccer Pick: Over 2½ -153 (bet365), Both Team To Score ‘Yes’ -187 (Paddy Power)

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837897, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Click Here for MoreChampions League Semifinals Actions! Check Real Madrid vs. Juventus Leg 2 Free Picks.

comment here