CFL Week 5 Slate Rundown & Games Worthy Of Your Picks

Wednesday, July 20, 2016 10:07 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 20, 2016 10:07 PM UTC

Sports handicapper Ian Cameron provides a betting preview of Week 5 action in the Canadian Football League. Read more and find out where the value is heading for this week's free play. 

CFL Week 5 Rundown
Calgary Stampeders (1-1-1) vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers (1-3)
Winnipeg is now a flat out embarrassing 7-22 SU at home in 29 home games since Investors Group Field opened in 2013 and that includes 0-2 SU and ATS at home this season. Calgary is usually strong off a loss although they are off a tie in this game coming off their bye week after a 26-26 tie against Ottawa in Week 3. Calgary already soundly beat up Winnipeg back in Week 2 by a score of 36-22 at McMahon Stadium. The Stamps may have their entire #1 starting offensive line back on the field together for the first time this season for this game. Winnipeg even in a favorable spot could not hold on to a lead against Edmonton at home last week. Calgary didn't lose a single game off a bye week during the John Hufnagel coaching era and even though Dave Dickenson is at the helm now, Hufnagel is still the GM and the Stamps still have a very solid core of players that know what it takes to be prepared and ready off a bye. If the Stamps are indeed prepared and ready, they could be too much for a beleaguered Winnipeg team that has been flat out burning $$ at home for years.
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Ottawa Redblacks (3-0-1) vs Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-3)
This could be a QB mismatch as the CFL’s best QB in the first month of the season Ottawa’s Trevor Harris faces Mitchell Gale for Saskatchewan who will be making his first official start as a CFL QB in his career for the injured Darian Durant. However, that is fully accounted for in this line with Ottawa a near TD road favorite in Saskatchewan which still needs to be given some respect for being a strong home field for the Roughriders despite the fact they are 0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS so far this season. Saskatchewan’s defense is still a worn in progress with head coach and GM Chris Jones yet to put his imprint on that stop unit and they will be in tough against the league’s most dangerous offense. The spot is a bit dubious for Ottawa playing their 2nd straight road game here but it’s difficult to expect immediate success for Saskatchewan’s starting QB Mitchell Gale in his first ever start in the CFL.
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Montreal Alouettes (1-2) vs Toronto Argonauts (2-2)
This game doesn’t take place until Monday and Montreal has plenty of question marks surrounding their offense to figure out heading into this game. They have injuries to two of their top WR’s Kenny Stafford and S.J. Green and Duron Carter may have to serve his 1 game suspension in this game if the team’s appeal is denied which could leave the Alouettes decimated in terms of targets in the passing game. The good news is that Kevin Glenn has returned to practice this week and could return at QB this week for the Alouettes. Toronto is looking for its first home win after losing their previous two home games this season against Hamilton and Ottawa and will be looking to bounce back on defense after being taken apart by the potent and explosive Ottawa offense in a 30-20 loss last week. Toronto is the healthier team and will be desperate for a home win but it’s well accounted for with the Argos, laying almost a TD in this game despite their 0-2 home record. The total sits very low at 44.5 in response to the Alouettes dismal offensive performance last week in their 31-7 loss to Hamilton. Penalties and miscues in those two losses and QB Jeremiah Masoli had a horrendous game last week incurring 2 INT's. There could be more value in the total here, with the CFL Odds sitting at 50, it's worth looking into an Under bet for this game.
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Play Of The Week
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-2) vs Edmonton Eskimos (2-1)
The Edmonton Eskimos defense was exceptionally bad in their first two games of the season allowing 45 and 36 points respectively against Ottawa and Saskatchewan. They were better last week in Winnipeg holding the Blue Bombers to 16 points in a 20-16 win but the Blue Bombers are right there with the Montreal Alouettes as one of the worst offenses in the CFL so I’m not sure that performance is a true indicator of a defensive uptick and turnaround just yet for this Edmonton defense. Hamilton has more weapons and playmakers and yes QB Jeremiah Masoli can be erratic but there is not much denying Hamilton is a step up offensively from Winnipeg so this will be a better gauge of whether Edmonton’s defense turned a corner last week or just got to tee off on a struggling offense. Edmonton’s offense has been terrific led by QB Mike Reilly with every offensive line starter back and plenty of weapons to throw the football to at WR. Edmonton piled up the points in their first two home games scoring 37 and 39 points and should be able to have some success here against Hamilton’s defense which was awesome against Montreal but now must step up in class to face an Edmonton offense that is light years better than what the injury-riddled Alouettes brought to the table last week. Edmonton’s first two home games soared Over the total with relative ease and the Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between the Ticats and Eskimos here in Edmonton. Expect more of the same on Saturday night, and consider making your CFL Pick on the Over 55 at Bookmaker which offers the best wagering price.

Free CFL Pick: Over 55 -110 
Best Offered Line: 
at Bookmaker

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