Hamilton Tigers-Cats at Winnipeg Blue Bombers
The Tiger-Cats maintained their 2 ½-game lead in the East Division title race with last week’s big 30-27 road win against Edmonton as slight 1.5-point favorites. They are now 5-1 straight-up in their last six games with a 3-1-1 record against the spread over their last five outings. Hamilton will be looking to sweep the Blue Bombers in the season series after beating them at home 23-15 as a two-point underdog on July 26.
Winnipeg has watched its lead in the West Division slip away with SU losses in two of its last three games. It is now tied with Calgary at 9-4 for first place. Saturday’s stunning 38-37 loss to Montreal as 2.5-point road favorites was the first time the Blue Bombers failed to cover in their last five games. I am looking for them to bounce back this week with the added pressure in the division title race.
Betting Pick: Take Winnipeg -4.5 points with 5Dimes
Edmonton Eskimos at Ottawa RedBlacks
Eskimos’ quarterback Trevor Harris is expected to remain on the bench this week with a hand injury. The results with Logan Kilgore under center have been mixed, but that may not matter given just how bad Ottawa is right now. Edmonton desperately needs a win after losing its last four games both SU and ATS. It is now 6-7 SU (4-9 ATS) and holding onto the final playoff spot as a crossover team from the West.
When you lose back-to-back games by a combined score of 69-12 to a team that had just one win on the year, you officially become the worst team in the CFL. Back-to-back losses to British Columbia the past two weeks have extended Ottawa’s SU losing streak to six games while going 0-5 ATS in its last five outings. There is no real hope for any kind of turn around given all the issues with this team.
Betting Pick: Take Edmonton -5 points with 5Dimes
Saskatchewan Roughriders at Toronto Argonauts
Coming off a bye week, the SU 8-4 Roughriders are just a half game off the pace in the West. They are 7-5 ATS overall with a 3-2 mark ATS on the road. They beat Toronto 32-7 early in the season as heavy 11.5-point home favorites. Saskatchewan has won six of its last seven games against Toronto SU and it is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 road games against the Argonauts.
James Franklin is expected to get the start at quarterback this Saturday night. In last week’s 23-16 loss to Calgary, he replaced McLeod Bethel-Thompson and completed 12-of-16 passes for 147 yards and one touchdown. Running an offense that has averaged 20 points a game is not going to get it done against Saskatchewan no matter who is under center.
Betting Pick: Take Saskatchewan -6 points with 5Dimes
Montreal Alouettes at British Columbia Lions
Montreal will be at a severe disadvantage in the game with quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. out of the lineup serving a one-game league suspension. In last week’s come-from-behind upset over Winnipeg, he threw for 488 yards and four touchdowns. The Alouettes still have a chance to win this game as three-point road underdogs, but it will be a low-scoring battle either way.
BC’s two-game winning streak courtesy of the home-and-home series against Ottawa does not discount the fact that the Lions are a bad team all around. They are averaging 22.3 points per game even with Mike Reilly at quarterback. He has tossed 14 touchdowns and 14 interceptions on the year. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of BC’s last 10 home games against Montreal.
Betting Pick: Take the UNDER 49.5 points with 5Dimes