CFL Week 13 Two Team Parlay - Betting The Over When The Two Teams Have Great Numbers

Mike Reilly under some lights walking and showing off his t-shirt.

David Schwab

Tuesday, September 13, 2016 8:02 PM GMT

Week 13 is upon us and our betting expert analyzes the CFL odds to determine the best-betting angle ahead of the action, and he provides his exclusive pick for a parlay to cash big.

Last week’s parlay came unglued right out of the gate when the Saskatchewan at Winnipeg game stayed UNDER the total, but I did make the right call in the second game when Calgary and Edmonton went OVER. The following are my top two CFL picks in Week 13 that come together perfectly to form this week’s CFL parlay play based on the betting lines at the top online sportsbooks for football north of the border.

 

Toronto Argonauts at Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Pointspread: Winnipeg -7
Total Line: 50.5

 

Betting Preview
Toronto is coming off a much needed 33-21 win at home against Hamilton last week in a game it closed as a 6.5-point home underdog. At 5-6 straight-up on the year, the Argonauts are a game and a half behind Ottawa in the East Division title race. Often, injured quarterback, Ricky Ray is on the shelf again with a fractured rib, so it was up to journeyman Dan LeFevour to lead the way in last Sunday’s game. In his first start in almost two seasons, he delivered with 329 passing yards and one score to help pace the win.

The Blue Bombers extended their current SU winning streak to six games with last week’s 17-10 grinder over Saskatchewan to complete the home-and-home sweep. They failed to cover in both wins against the Roughriders as favorites after closing as underdogs in each of their first four victories in this impressive run. Matt Nichols continues to light things up through the air with a total of 1,695 passing yards and seven touchdown throws in his past seven games and the Blue Bombers’ defense has now allowed an average of just 17.3 points a game during this winning streak.

 

Betting Trends
The Argonauts are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games played in September and they have covered in five of their last seven road games. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six games on the road.

The Blue Bombers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with an SU losing record and they have failed to cover in 10 of their last 12 September games. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games against a team with an SU losing record.

Head-to-head in this inter-division tilt, Toronto has gone 4-1-1 ATS in its last six road games against the Blue Bombers and the total has stayed UNDER in 11 of the last 16 meetings in Winnipeg.

 

Betting Prediction
Toronto is coming off a big win, but it is still hard for me to go against one of the hottest teams in the league right now. Given the Blue Bombers troubles covering as favorites, the better play in this matchup could be the OVER 50.5 on the total line with both offenses lighting up the game.

 

Free CFL Pick: Over 50.5 (-106)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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Edmonton Eskimos at Saskatchewan Roughriders
Pointspread: Edmonton -4.5
Total Line: 55.5

 

Betting Preview
The Eskimos will be going for the three-game season sweep against its rivals SU, but they did fail to cover as heavy favorites at home in those first two meetings. Edmonton has been a tough team to figure out all season long at 5-6 SU (3-7-1 ATS). On one hand, quarterback Mike Reilly leads the CFL in passing yards with 3,747 and his top two targets Adarius Bowman and Derel Walker are also at the top of the list with a combined 2,251 receiving yards.  The downside is a defense is allowing an average of 29.6 points a game.

Saskatchewan’s SU losing streak stands at seven games following those back-to-back losses to Winnipeg, but it has covered ATS in its last three games including a recent 33-25 loss to Edmonton as a 13.5-point road underdog on Aug. 26. With Darian Durant still under center, the Roughriders have scored 25 points in two of their last three games and they did put up 36 points against the Eskimos earlier in the year. This is another team that has been hampered by a defense that has allowed the most points in the CFL this year (364).

 

Betting Trends
The Eskimos have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six road games and they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following an SU loss. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last nine division games.

The Roughriders are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games against a division opponent and they are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 division games.

Edmonton has an 8-3 edge ATS in its last 11 games against Saskatchewan including a 4-1 record ATS in its last five road games against its bitter division rival. The total has gone OVER in the last three meetings.

 

Betting Prediction
You would think that the defending CFL Champs should be giving up more than 4.5 points on the road in this game, but the spread is set that tight for a reason. Where I see a betting edge is with the 55.5-point total line. These two teams combined for 75 points in the first meeting and 58 points a couple of weeks ago, so I am going with the OVER again in Round 3.

 

Free CFL Pick: Over 55.5 (-103)
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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