Hungry Roughriders Will Try to Keep Rival Stampeders in Mini-Funk

Tuesday, October 16, 2018 1:53 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 16, 2018 1:53 PM UTC

Heading into the final three weeks of the regular season, both division titles remain up for grabs along with the final two spots in the six-team playoff field. Let's look at some of the best Week 19 matchups.

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Game Odds">CFL Betting Pick of the Week: Saskatchewan at Calgary</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Saturday, 7 p.m. ET</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free CFL Pick: Saskatchewan +9</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=5dimes" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">5Dimes</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3478764, "sportsbooksIds":[19,1389,238,169,1275], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>I went against Calgary as a 10.5-point home favorite against British Columbia in last week’s top CFL pick, and the Stampeders lost that game straight-up. They are heavy favorites at home again this week against another division foe and I am counting on lightning striking twice against the CFL’s top team.</p><p> </p><h2>Betting Overview</h2><p>Saskatchewan is coming off its worst loss since the second week of the regular season. It was blanked by Winnipeg 31-0 as a 3.5-point underdog on the road after winning seven of its previous eight games. The Roughriders failed to cover for the fourth time in their last five games to fall to an even 8-8 against the spread verses a 10-6 SU record overall. They are 6-4 ATS in 10 games this season as underdogs.</p><p>It's hard to know what to think about last week’s meltdown given just how well this team has been playing since late August. Saskatchewan gave up all 31 points in the first half as the two teams battled to a 0-0 tie over the final two quarters. Zach Collaros threw for just 69 yards before giving way to Brandon Bridge. I just cannot see him putting up another clunker this Saturday night.</p><p>The Stampeders fell to 12-3 SU with an 8-7 record ATS following the 26-21 loss to BC last Saturday as double-digit favorites. One of their other two losses this season was on the road against Saskatchewan on Aug. 19 in a 40-27 beatdown as 6.5-point favorites. Calgary is just 3-6 ATS over its last nine games and 2-4 ATS in its last six games at home.</p><p>With a SU win this Saturday, the Stampeders would lock up their third straight West Division title. However, I would still question just how motivated this team will really be heading into those final three games. They are unlikely to have any impact on its playoff position as the top seed in the CFL. Going back to the last season, Calgary lost its last three games both SU and ATS in basically the same exact situation as the top playoff seed.</p><p> </p><h2>Head-to-Head Betting Trends</h2><p>Calgary has won 10 of its last 12 home games against Saskatchewan SU and <a href="" title="Live CFL Odds">it has a 4-1 edge ATS</a> in the last five meetings on its home field. The total has stayed "under" in five of the last seven matchups played in Calgary between these West Division rivals.</p><p> </p><h2>Betting Prediction</h2><p>Saskatchewan still has a very slim chance to win the West starting with a SU victory in this game. The Roughriders are a much better team than the one that showed up in Winnipeg last Saturday, and I do think <a href="" title="Free Sports Picks">they will find a way to keep this game closer than nine points</a>.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;CFL: Playoff scenarios - A close Western race is now even tighter in Week 19 &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Roger Kelly (@RogerKelly18) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;October 16, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2 style="text-align:center">Other Week 19 CFL Games</h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Game Odds">Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Ottawa RedBlacks (-1)</a></h2><p><strong>When:</strong> Friday, 7 p.m. <strong>Total Line</strong>: 53.5<br /><strong>Analysis:</strong> This matchup is the first of a crucial home-and-home series with the East Division title on the line between a pair of 8-7 teams. Stick with Ottawa at home to draw first blood.</p><p> </p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Game Odds">Edmonton Eskimos at British Columbia Lions (-1)</a></h2><p><strong>When:</strong> Friday, 10 p.m. <strong>Total Line</strong>: 53<br /><strong>Analysis:</strong> The Eskimos are a half-game in back of BC for the final playoff spot as a crossover team from the West Division. I like the Lions’ chance to keep things rolling SU and ATS following that huge upset against Calgary.</p><p> </p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Game Odds">Montreal Alouettes at Toronto Argonauts (-5)</a></h2><p><strong>When:</strong> Saturday, 4 p.m. <strong>Total Line</strong>: 50<br /><strong>Analysis:</strong> Each of these East Division rivals has just three SU wins, but Montreal has the better record ATS at 8-7. The Alouettes continue to play teams tough so I am taking the five points on the road.</p>
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