Stampeders Stumble Into a Season-Ending Showdown Against Rival Lions.

David Schwab

Tuesday, October 30, 2018 6:26 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 30, 2018 6:26 PM UTC

All six playoffs spots have been clinched heading into the final weekend of games in the CFL regular season, but the final postseason picture will be complete based on the outcome of a big showdown in the West Division. Calgary goes on the road to face the British Columbia Lions late Saturday night in a 10 p.m. start at BC Place.

CFL Betting Pick of the Week: Stampeders at LionsSaturday, 10 p.m. ETFree Pick: Lions +3Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Betting Overview

I am using that final game of the season for my free betting pick of the week. Calgary is in the midst of a three-game slide and the Lions are coming off a bad loss to Saskatchewan. With quite a bit still on the line for each team’s upcoming run at a Grey Cup title, this will easily be the most entertaining game on the CFL Week 21 slate.

For the second season in a row, Calgary has faltered down the stretch after setting the pace for the entire league. It lost its last three games of the 2017 regular season on its way to another stunning loss in the championship game. With last Saturday’s 29-21 loss to Winnipeg as 3.5-point road underdogs, the Stampeders have lost the last three games SU with a costly 2-6 record ATS over their last eight games. One of those recent losses was a 26-21 setback against BC on Oct. 13 as 10.5-point home favorites.

It is hard to pinpoint was has caused the Stampeders’ slide this time around with Bo Levi Mitchell throwing the ball and Don Jackson running it, but something is missing in what has been one of the more potent attacks in the league this year. The offense has still averaged 22 points during their current slide. They lost those games by a combined 18 points. Calgary’s defense has been a pit more porous than usual with a points-allowed average of 28.0 in those three defeats.

The Lions’ 35-16 loss to Saskatchewan in Week 20 as 4.5-point road underdogs snapped a three-game winning streak that was part of a 6-1 SU (5-2 ATS) run in their previous seven games. The total ended as a PUSH in that loss on a closing line of 51 points and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 10 of BC’s last 12 games.

One of the big reasons why the Lions lost their last time out was the dismal play of Travis Lulay at quarterback. Before giving way to Jonathan Jennings with the game out of hand, he gave up two touchdowns to the Roughriders on a fumble and interception. The week before in a big 42-32 win at home against Edmonton, Lulay threw for 251 yards and four touchdowns. Playing at home this week could be the trick to getting the win.

Head-to-Head Betting Trends

The Stampeders have won eight of their last 10 games against the Lions SU, but the two split a pair of games in Calgary this season SU with BC covering the spread in each contest. The total stayed UNDER the closing line in each game.

Betting Prediction

It would be hard to see Calgary lose for the fourth time in a row to close out the regular season, but I do not have all that much confidence that the Stampeders can beat BC on the road given their current form.

I do see Lulay playing much better this Saturday night in front of the hometown crowd to help the Lions win the season series 2-1 while covering the spread in all three contests.

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CFL Week 21 Picks:
You'll be forgiven for sleeping through Saturday's slate of meaningless games before we get to a slightly more meaningful game...#GoStampsGo #Riders #ForTheW #Esks #Argos #Rnation #BCLions #Ticats #AlsMTL #CFL https://t.co/ZXI7Ihip98

— CFL Power Rankings (@CFLPowerRanking) October 30, 2018
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Other Week 21 CFL Games

Friday, Nov. 2

There is nothing on the line for Ottawa in this East Division clash, but as bad as Toronto is playing, it should still win and cover on Friday.

Saturday, Nov. 3

The Blue Bombers will be on the road for their first playoff game regardless of the outcome of this game, but I have them closing out the regular season with a road win SU and ATS over their bitter rivals in the West,

Hamilton will open the playoffs at home against the crossover team from the West and I still believe the motivation will be there for the Tiger-Cats to win this final regular season game at home both SU and ATS.

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