Capper Shares ATP Finals London Betting Analysis & Free Picks

João Mourato

Saturday, November 14, 2015 3:26 AM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 14, 2015 3:26 AM UTC

Join us while we provide a thorough betting analysis for ATP London group stage where the eight best players in 2015 will fight for the ATP World Tour Finals title. 

ATP London
The Barclays ATP World Tour Finals takes place in London and will be played on Indoor Hard Court


Stan Smith Group
Novak Djokovic – Djokovic is the undeniable favorite for this competition, the Serbian has a 78 – 5 record this year, won 10 trophies in 2015 and will be looking for his 4th straight title in London. After seeing how Novak dominated the ATP Tour this season, seems quite unlikely that he doesn’t end the season as the ATP World Tour Finals champion.

Roger Federer –This will be Federer’s 14th straight appearance on this tournament with 6 previous titles, but only 2 of those were in London. The Indoor Hard Court conditions suit Roger’s game style and he’s always a very dangerous competitor, but hasn’t been able to overcome Djokovic on the big stages.

Tomas Berdych – Berdych started the year in outstanding shape, not losing a single match against a player outside top 10 until the French Open in May. Despite this terrific start, Tomas hasn’t been able to produce his best tennis in recent months. The Czech will play this event for the 6th time however was only able to reach the semifinals in one occasion.

Kei Nishikori – After retiring from Paris due to an abdominal injury, Nishikori’s management affirmed that Kei will be at 100% for this event. The Japanese is a tremendous talented player but has always struggled with physical problems. After several retirements in recent months is hard to trust in Nishikori for this event.

Despite being the undisputed favorite, there is no value on Djokovic tennis odds to win the group at 1.33 on bet365. It seems quite unlikely that the semifinalists from this group aren’t Djokovic and Federer, however the Suisse has chances to finish in first place. Roger’s serve & volley and backhand slice are always a tough challenge for Novak and those weapons become more effective on Indoor Hard Courts. Both players should win the other two matches against Berdych and Nishikori, which means that the contest between them will just determine who finishes in first and second place. With this in mind, the price on Federer at 4.00 on bet365 seems too high and with good value.


Ilie Nastase Group
Andy Murray – There were some doubts about Murray’s presence on this event, the world no.2 will play Davis Cup final next week on clay and that’s his priority for the rest of the season. Andy has been practicing on clay and said that he’s not expecting to play great tennis at the O2 Arena and if he feels some pain on his back he will withdraw from the competition.

Stan Wawrinka – After reaching semifinals in his previous two appearances, Wawrinka will try to go a step further this year. Stan made a good run in Paris, reaching semifinals and losing only in three sets to Djokovic. The Suisse is known for raising his game level on bigger stages with two Grand Slam titles already on his record.

Rafael Nadal – The two times finalist in London, Nadal, is getting closer to his best level with very good performances in recent weeks. After struggling with lack of confidence due to several physical problems, the Spaniard said he’s feeling much more confident in his tennis. Despite not being on his favorite surface, Nadal is raising the level and can go far on this competition.

David Ferrer – Ferrer reached the final in his first appearance at this event when was still named “Tennis Masters Cup” and was played in Shanghai. The Spaniard hasn’t found the same luck in London, with a 4 – 10 record and only reaching the semifinals one time in previous five years. David is a very hard working player but his consistent tennis isn’t enough against the best on the world.

Murray is the favorite to win the group at 2.75 on bet365, however he’s main goal is the Davis Cup final and for that reason, he cannot be trusted on this event. Ferrer will fight hard as always, but his chances to reach the next stage are very low. Wawrinka and Nadal are in good position to qualify for semifinals, both are extremely motivated and have played at good level in recent tournaments. Is hard to tell which one should win the group and because of that, our suggestion is to split your tennis picks on Wawrinka at 2.87 and Nadal at 3.25 on bet365 to guarantee profit in both scenarios.

Don't forget that we'll provide everyday the Top Play of the Day on this event so keep checking with SBR for more details.

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