Capper Likes Jimmie Johnson Again This Week at NASCAR Pocono 400

pocono 400

David Schwab

Wednesday, June 7, 2017 3:37 PM GMT

Pocono Raceway rolls out the welcome mat this week for NASCAR’s Monster Energy Cup Series Pocono 400 on Sunday. This is the 14th point race of the season and will get underway at 3 p.m. (ET) with Fox Sports 1 carrying the national broadcast.

The Monster Mile turned into a monster +500 payday with my top favorite Jimmie Johnson taking the checkered flag last Sunday at Dover to post his third win of the year in a point race. Kyle Larson added another second-place finish to this year’s racing resume and Martin Truex Jr. rounded-out the top three.

The following is a look at my top valued favorite, contender and long shot to win this Sunday's Pocono 400 based on betting odds as provided by 5Dimes.

 

Top Valued Favorite

I am looking for lightning to strike twice for the second time this season with Jimmie Johnson as my top favorite to win again this week at +600 betting odds. Winning one points race event is tough enough in the highly competitive Cup series let alone two in a row, unless you are a seven-time champion. You only have to go back to April to find the last time he pulled off this feat with back-to-back victories at Texas and Bristol. The No. 48 car is back in top form, and the fact that this race is at Pocono adds even more value to his odds. Johnson’s average finishing position here is 10.6 aided by three career victories.

 

Top Valued Contender

It has been a rough stretch of racing for Joey Logano in his last four point-race events with finishes well outside the top 10, but the No. 22 Ford has still been one of the best cars on the track this season with six finishes inside the top five, including a victory at Richmond. His odds to add a second victory to the mix Sunday have been set at +1000, and I like his chances as my top valued contender. Logano’s only career victory at Pocono in a Cup series event was in this race back in 2012, but he has come close to winning again over the past few seasons with three runs inside the top five in his last five trips around this track.

 

Top Valued Long Shot

I have always put a high value on a driver’s previous performance at a certain track when it comes to trying to cash in on a long shot. If they have won there before, there is always a chance they can again. Kurt Busch has been opened at +3300 odds to successfully defend last year’s victory in this race, and that alone is enough reason to go with him as my top valued long shot this week. The No. 41 Ford has struggled since stunning the field at Daytona in the first race of the season, but recent sixth-place runs at Talladega and Charlotte has this team headed in the right direction.

 

Odds For Other Notable Drivers

The top two favorites to win this race at +500 odds are Truex Jr. and Larson. They also happen to be holding down the top two spots in the current point standings with a combined three checkered flags this year. Brad Keselowski’s odds to win for the third time this season have been set at +650 followed by both Kyle Busch and Kevin Harvick at +700, who are each looking to post their first point-race victory of the year. Chase Elliott joins Logano at +1000, with Matt Kenseth and Denny Hamlin rounding out the top 10 at +1200 odds to win.

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