Capper Calls For Low Scoring Draw: Swansea vs. Manchester United Soccer Picks

Richard Prew

Thursday, August 27, 2015 4:59 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 27, 2015 4:59 PM UTC

Two unbeaten teams meet this Sunday in the Premier League betting action as Swansea City host Manchester United. Let's review the soccer odds and find the best value pick for this matchup.

Swansea City
Swansea had an excellent draw on the opening weekend of the season at Chelsea, and then comfortably beat Newcastle at home before drawing at Sunderland last weekend. A top half team last year, many pundits went into this year questioning whether they could maintain that position, and the early signs are encouraging.

Through successive managers Swansea have become renowned for playing attractive possession soccer with a solid defence to back this up marshalled by captain Ashley Williams. So far this season this has continued and crucially in Bafetimbi Gomis, who has three goals in three games this season, they have a finisher to follow on from both Michu and Bony who Swansea recruited well and then sold on down the line.

The real strength of Swansea is in midfield where the under-rated Jonjo Shelvey pulls the strings. A player with a great range of passing, and who can score goals, he prompts many of the attacks. So far this season Ecuadorian winger Jefferson Montero has been terrific. He struggled to adjust to English soccer in his first half-season at the club but has hit the ground running so far this season.


Manchester United
Manchester United spent heavily in the summer as the rebuilding process under Van Gaal accelerates into his second season. As far they have not conceded a league goal and have two 1-0 wins and a 0-0 draw to place them in the top four of the league early on.

Obviously with three clean sheets, the back four has looked solid and shows good signs for the future with Smalling finally living up to the expectations. Stylistically Van Gaal plays with two holding midfielders, Carrick/ Schweinsteiger plus Schneiderlin and then four from Mata, Janusjaz, Rooney, Depay, Fellaini, Young, Wilson, Valencia, playing three behind a lone striker.

Rooney, Mata and Depay are probably fixtures in a first choice line up when fit and that could mean Fellaini for away games where his physical presence is required and any of Janusjaz/Young/Valencia for home games and some of the less testing away fixtures.

It is early days but initial signs are that this formation makes the team solid but not too prolific going forward especially when having to take the game to the opposition. It could be a team that is suited to playing on the break, especially as Depay settles into English soccer.


Betting Odds
Best prices on the Premier League odds board for this game are as follows

*Swansea +260 Coral
*Manchester United +130 BetVictor
*The Draw +240 SportingBet


Premier League Picks
The temptation has to be to suggest that Swansea are under-rated and an attractive price at well over +200 at home and Manchester United are priced on “name” and potential rather than anything they have shown this season.

What tempers this though is the form of United’s back five, marshaled by the two holding midfielders. They could well cancel out Swansea’s attacking threats and as such I regard the draw as my soccer pick, probably a low scoring draw, as the most attractive price of the three match results.

Soccer Picks: Draw +240

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