Canelo vs. Chavez: An Old-Time Beatdown?

Jason Lake

Tuesday, April 11, 2017 7:47 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 11, 2017 7:47 PM UTC

Next month’s big fight between Canelo Alvarez and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. doesn’t look all that competitive. If you’re willing to eat chalk, Canelo could be your boxing pick.

There won’t be any titles on the line when Canelo Alvarez takes on Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. next month in Las Vegas. This is about something much more important: Cinco de Mayo. The WBC even created a special commemorative belt that will be handed out each year to the winner of the holiday weekend’s most important fight. It’s a celebration!

Good thing Alvarez-Chavez isn’t a title fight because this looks like a big mismatch on paper. Chavez (50-2-1, 1 NC, 32 KO) is part of boxing royalty, a former WBC middleweight champion, but he’s a +475 underdog on the boxing odds board as we go to press. Canelo (48-1-1, 34 KO) is priced as high as –800 at Bovada for this bout. We’ll be taking a closer look at this all-Mexican contest as we get closer to May 6; for now, let’s set the stage by telling you how it all came together.

Yo Tengo Dinero

Cinco de Mayo is lovely, but the larger context here is money. This will be a Golden Boy Promotions event, and Canelo is their biggest star; he’s the lineal middleweight champ, and the No. 8 pound-for-pound fighter in the world according to The Ring. The only blemish on his record is a 2013 majority decision loss to Floyd Mayweather (–300). Everyone loves Canelo.

They love Chavez, too. He hasn’t reached the same heights as his father, but he’s done the family name proud. A lot of people are going to pay a lot of money to see this fight, which will be on HBO PPV in the States – and most of them are paying to see Canelo. The Chavez team acknowledged this during negotiations and demanded no less than 30 percent of the revenues. Reports have them signing for $6 million plus a percentage.

Canelo: I'm always happy. I won't have to drop so much weight for this fight. I'm just happy. I ;like what I'm doing. #boxing #CaneloChavez

— Raging Babe (@RagingBabe) April 11, 2017

One other thing: they’ll be fighting at a catchweight limit of 164.5 pounds. The most recent fights for Chavez have been at super middleweight (168 pounds), while Canelo has been competing at super welterweight (154 pounds). This will be a significant disadvantage for Chavez, the naturally larger man in this fight, but it’s the kind of thing you have to sign up for if you want to make the really big money. Keep these contract terms in mind when you’re putting together your betting picks, and may the squared circle be with you.

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