Checking over the different sportsbooks reveals Bayer Leverkusen as a +115 to +120 favorite, with Hamburg quoted at anywhere from +220 to +250 and a draw available in the +250 to +275 range. You can see the updating lines for all of the Bundesliga action at SBRodds.com.
If the season ended today, the Red Shorts would be relegated, a shocking thought considering this is a club that finished seventh in 2012/13 and has quite a few quality players.
As of now Hamburg is on 24 points, two points away from escaping the relegation zone, meaning Friday's match is pivotal.
It's been three matches on the trot that the Red Shorts have failed to win, as they've drawn with Freiburg and lost to Stuttgart and Borussia Monchengladbach. Jacques Zoua had actually put Hamburg ahead against Gladbach, but the floodgates were opened by Flip Daems and the visitors couldn't hold on for the ride.
It was just more of the same for this disappointing Hamburg outfit, who are in very real danger of going down despite having no shortage of talent. Rafael Van der Vaart, Pierre-Michel Lasogga and Hakan Calhanoglu have all been scoring goals for the club, totaling 27 between them so far.
Can Van der Vaart and company pick it up here when it matters most? They've won only four times in 14 home matches, recording 20 goals for and 26 goals against.
Leverkusen is in the fourth spot in the Bundesliga at this minute, but the likes of Wolfsburg, Borussia Monchengladbach and Mainz are all breathing down their necks.
Only four points separate fourth and seventh, so every available point is of the utmost importance as the season draws to an end. Only six league fixtures remain for Bayer, three of which will be at home.
We saw a little of everything out of Leverkusen over the past couple of weeks. They lost at Hoffenheim, responded by beating Augsburg 3-1 away, and were then held by Eintracht in a 1-1 draw at home.
Against Eintracht, it was hardly the performance befitting of a team vying for a top four spot. The Bayer supporters weren't pleased in the slightest with their players and let it be known.
After that disappointing showing, we'll have to see what kind of mentality Leverkusen comes out with in what should be another scrappy affair against Hamburg. So far Bayer has recorded seven wins, one draws and six defeats in 14 away matches.
There have been one or two tremendous results for Hamburg at home, with the highlight coming in a 3-0 victory over Borussia Dortmund. Plus, this is a side that's doing everything in its power to avoid relegation.
Regardless, overall form tells us to stay away from the Red Shorts in this situation.
Of all the teams in the Bundesliga, Hamburg is second-from-bottom defensively, having allowed 59 goals in 28 matches. That includes 26 surrendered goals in 14 fixtures on their own pitch.
Bayer, meanwhile, has excelled defensively away from home and that's going to come in handy against the likes of Van der Vaart, Lasogga and Calhanoglu. We look for Leverkusen to pose danger themselves going forward and, in the end, we think they'll be holding on for the win for our soccer picks.
Soccer Pick: Hamburg 1 Bayer Leverkusen 2