Bundesliga Soccer Picks for FC Augsburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Back Favorites at Nice Price

Kevin Stott

Friday, March 6, 2015 1:19 PM GMT

Soccer odds favorite of +105, VfL Wolfsburg, has gone unbeaten in its last 11 Fußball-Bundesliga matches. When they face 6th-place FC Augsburg, backing the favorite seems like a very good bet.

FC Augsburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Odds Overview
Saturday 14:30 (TeleClub Sports Live, Sky Go Deutschland, Sky Bundesliga 2/HD (GER); 9:30 a.m. ET/6:30 a.m. PT):
Sixth-place FC Augsburg (11-2-10, 32 GF-30 GA) welcomes now 2nd-place VfL Wolfsburg (15-5-3, 53 GF- 27 GA) to SGL arena in Augsburg on Saturday in this Week 24 Fußball-Bundesliga match which is big for both teams in terms of UEFA European tourney qualification and table positioning and a huge match for Die Wölfe (50 points) who now sit just 8 points behind seemingly perennial league leaders Bayern Munich (58 points).

Bundesliga odds makers have made visitors Wolfsburg +105 favorites (bet365) here, with hosts Augsburg healthy +260 home underdogs and the seldom-bet Draw priced +250 (bet365) in the Three-Way (Winner) marketplace. The Total Goals is in this match is 2½ Over -142 (Under +110, bet365) while the Both Teams To Score odds (Yes) are -175 (No +125, Sky Bet), an extremely high line for this marketplace, and rightfully so with Wolfsburg wiz Bas Dost already scoring a goal (in DfB-Pokal play on Wednesday against 2. Bundesliga side FB Leipzig) during this writing and Wolfsburg’s last Bundesliga outing a 5-3 win and score-fest Sunday at Werder Bremen.

Some First Goalscorer soccer odds for this match: Bas Dost (+350), Kevin Scheidhauer (+600), Kevin De Bruyne (+650), André Schürrle (+700, bet365) and Ivan Perišic (+600, Sky Bet).

 

VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg (5-3-3 Road, 26 GF-19 GA) has been one of the hottest clubs in all of Europe of late, unbeaten in its L11 Fußball-Bundesliga matches (8-3-0) and Die Wölfe (The Wolves) have moved into second place, just 8 points behind aforementioned league leaders Bayern Munich, thanks in great part to the seemingly super-human play of 25-year-old striker Bas Dost (13 goals, -105 Anytime Goalscorer, bet365), who has scored 11 goals in his L6 league games in Germany’s top flight. You read that right. Not 6 goals in 11 games—11 goals in 6 games. Dost’s goal-scoring pace—averaging one every 63 minutes is historic by German standards, and who knows how long he can keep it up. For sports gamblers, knowing that Dost is scoring is a good starting point in making positive bets on Wolfsburg and Overs in Die Wölfe games. Dost is obviously Hungry Like The Wolf and is now feeding. And who are we stop him? I know to never put my hands near the mouths of the feeding wolves. My Mom taught me well. She knows.

Besides Dost— the soccer team from the city founded in 1938 as Stadt des Kdf-Wagen “to house auto-workers building the car which would later become the famous as the Volkswagen Beetle”—Wolfsburg has a number of other extremely talented guys and this should be a team to watch for years to come and its emergence has made this league that much more entertaining and competitive. Guys like Chelsea outcasts Kevin De Bruyne (8 goals, +187) and André Schürrle (+210) as well as Oskar Zawada (+210), Ivan Perišic (+175, Sky Bet), Nicklas Bendtner (+187), Daniel Caligiuri (+260) and Zhang Xizhe (+375), to name a few. This team suddenly seems to have the creativity and firepower of a Real Madrid and the emergence of the Dutch striker Bost and De Bruyne (15 assists) is something bettors need to be aware of as there are still almost three months of play in the Bundesliga season and now is the perfect time to plug in everything learned.

Check out this weekend's top soccer picks in European Leagues.

FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg (7-2-2 Home, 24 GF-16 GA) and Manager Markus Weinzierl apparently prefers, or maybe has to try to play defense in a league with some pretty talented teams these days. For scoring, Die Fuggerstädter—named after the famous Fugger family of Augsburg—will look to strikers Raúl Bobadilla (+240, Anytime Goalscorer, bet365), Ji Dong-won (+260) and Nikola Ðurdic (+330) for some scoring as well as players like Tim Matavž (+240, Sky Bet), Brazilian Caiuby (Francisco da Silva; +240), Halil Altintop (+260) and Tobias Werner (+300) and Shawn Parker, among others. (Be back in a minute, sprained my wrist on those names.) On Sunday, Augsburg lost 1-0 at Hertha Berlin as Salomon Kalou scored the game’s only goal with just 2 minutes to go, giving The Old Lady the win. Gotta love them Old Ladies. And these Fuggers. Or at least the nickname, as once the whistle blows they become bad Fuggers if we bet against them and Fuggers we want to fade here. Bas Dost will surely help us defeat these Fuggers from Augsburg. And so it is written, and so let it be.

 

Best Betting Approaches and Trends
These two haven’t really met that much, and Augsburg is an equator-like 2-3-2 (7 GF-6 GA) lifetime versus Wolfsburg, but have gone winless against Die Wölfe over the L5 (0-3-2) and Wolfsburg Manager Hecking has never lost to Die Fuggerstädter in 9 competitive games as a manager (5-4-0). This should definitely be a clash of styles—one team very offensive and the other very defensive. Augsburg hasn’t allowed a goal from a cross all season, yet Wolfsburg has scored a Bundesliga-high 8 times from crossing passes. In the first meeting this season in Wolfsburg at the VW-Arena, Die Wölfe took a bite out of Augsburg, winning 1-0 as Maldo scored the game’s only goal in Lower Saxony.

When making your soccer picks, keep in mind that Augsburg’s whole game plan here will probably be to clamp down on the prolific Wolfsburg as it knows it can’t outscore this team. Sitting in 6th place with some pressure to remain in the hunt for a possible UEFA Europa League berth (or better), Die Fuggerstädter will be much more nervous than the guests, and with Bas Dost and KdB still firing on all cylinders and breaking or getting ready to break records, this is a Steam Train absolutely nobody should step in front of. Nobody.

In the end, Wolfsburg should dictate the pace and score 2 or 3 goals and stay (somewhat) hot on Bayern’s Bavarian heels. A little bit of hyperbole is allowed, Bubba. This seems like a very good betting opportunity—taking a red-hot team, (unbeaten L11, 8-3-0) with the hottest scorer (Dost) in the galaxy and maybe the hottest passer (De Bruyne) and a game club which hasn’t lost yet in the calendar year 2015, earning a Fußball-Bundesliga-high 16 points over that span. Time to work a little Bas Dost into your diet, brother. Das ist gut. Sehr gut.

PREDICTION: FC Augsburg 1 Wolfsburg 3

BUNDESLIGA PICKS: Wolfsburg +105, Over 2½ -142 (Bet365)

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