Bundesliga Soccer Picks for Bayer Leverkusen vs. Hertha BSC

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, April 9, 2014 7:47 PM GMT

Bayer Leverkusen are limping towards the finish line. Can Bayer bounce back in Bundesliga week 30 betting and salvage the season when they host Hertha BSC? Find out as we preview this tilt and deliver our soccer free picks.

Sam Hyppia Sacked
A day after Bayer Leverkusen slumped to a 2-1 defeat to Hamburger SV on the road the club sacked Sami Hyppia. The defeat in week 29 Bundesliga betting marked Bayer’s tenth defeat across all competitions and seventh league defeat since the start of the second half of the season, on the heels of which Bayer Leverkusen slipped out of the Top 4 – an occurrence that was just going too far for the club’s higher-ups obviously.

Leverkusen, who started the season strong and reached the knockout stages of Champions League, looked poised for a strong finish with a complimentary spot in Europe when the second half of the season commenced. But the wheels came undone, somewhat inexplicably. They are now second to fourth place (level on points with M’gladbach but behind on goal difference) and in real danger of dropping even further as Wolfsburg nip at their heels just a point adrift.

A month ago, Bayer Leverkusen were tipped favourably for a Top 4 finish at -400 futures betting odds. That price tag has now been adjusted to +150, marking a significant turnaround in betting opinion. Incidentally, M’gladbach also enjoyed a dramatic price adjustment; they are down from +1400 to +200 futures odds. Finally, Wolfsburg have seen their price tag shaved down marginally in comparison from +200 to +188.

 

So Where Does Bayer Go From Here? Up or down?
Sunday will be the first of five games under interim coach Sascha Lewandowski that will reveal Leverkusen’s destiny. Sascha is a familiar face at the Rhineland club having shared managerial duties with Sami Hyppia two years ago before stepping aside to focus his attention on the club’s youth arm. And he’s already undertaken his coaching role by holding a training session on Monday.

It’s not a lot of time that Sascha has with the team to exact many changes but sportsbooks are tipping Leverkusen favourably nonetheless for their upcoming clash with Hertha BSC at -150 to win outright at home.

Home advantage and a new coach probably have had a hand in the favourable market stance. Partly though it’s also a reflection of the perceived quality of their opponents Hertha BSC, a side that is mired in a slump and has gone without a win in their last seven league fixtures. A run of form that has seen the team from the nation’s capital slip down to 10th place with a 10-7-12 mark and 37 points.

 Indeed, Hertha BSC are listed at the significant disadvantage at +400 soccer odds at Bet365 to win outright. Heck, even the draw is tipped slightly out of reach at +280 soccer odds. Underscoring both these markets is an away record that stands dubiously at 5-4-5, highlighted by 19 goals scored and 20 conceded over 14 fixtures.

[gameodds]11/262965/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Soccer Betting Verdict
It’s not uncommon to have coaches fired before his team’s season ends, even one that has had on the whole a good season by most standards. Let’s face it, Bayer Leverkusen are still in play for a Top 4 finish and a spot in Europe. It’s also quite possible that Sam Hyppia would have found a way to turn things around. Alas, the organisation wasn’t about to tempt fate in such a way. Opting to go for an injection of fresh perspectives.

So the question is how can we profit from this latest coach firing? Normally, the inclination in soccer betting circles is to panic and fear the worst. Hence, taking a stance against the club in the midst of change. This would mean backing Hertha (hardly a convincing road team, mind) to the outright win at +400 soccer odds.

There are many reasons however why that isn’t the best reaction and particularly in this case. Given Leverkusen’s form lately, the firing cannot have been a surprise to blindside the locker room. There were rumblings heard everywhere about Hyppia’s potential untimely exit that surely many got a whiff of some of it somewhere.

What’s more, poor performance doesn’t go down well. Losing so many matches and watching their hopes for the season slip away must have been frustrating. They probably were desperate for a change. If not, they’ll now appreciate a new perspective surely and look ahead to turning things around under the new coach.

Whatever the case may be, Leverkusen’s bench could (should) take this latest development as a positive building block down the stretch in order to salvage their season and clinch a Top 4 finish. As such, we recommend Bayer Leverkusen to win outright at -150 for our soccer free picks.

Soccer Free Picks: Bayer Leverkusen at -150 to win outright.