Bundesliga Soccer Pick: Bayer Leverkusen vs. Werder Bremen

Nila Amerova

Friday, May 9, 2014 1:42 PM UTC

Friday, May. 9, 2014 1:42 PM UTC

Bayer Leverkusen eye a fourth place finish in Bundesliga as German top-flight comes to a close this weekend. Will Leverkusen accomplish the feat or will the visitors turn the odds in their favour. Here’s our prediction complete with soccer free picks.

Bayer Leverkusen on the Verge of Top 4
Although the Bundesliga title has already been decided, there is plenty more left to be decided on the final day of Bundesliga – namely which sides will be relegated and which teams will finish in the Top 4.

As things currently stand, it’s a three-horse race for the final spot in the Top 4. Bayer Leverkusen leads that race with an 18-4-11 mark and 58 points and favourable -800 future odds at Bet365. But with hopefuls Wolfsburg and Borussia M’gladbach – a point and three points adrift, respectively – it’s still up in the air, which way the cards should fall. Thus, a win will definitely ensure Bayer Leverkusen mathematically clinch the spot.

Werder Bremen are sat pretty in 12th place in Bundesliga on the back of a 10-9-14 mark and 39 points. With just one match left on the schedule and 12 points separating them from the drop, Werder Bremen have nothing to worry about. They also have little to play for save for a possible top ten finish on the back of a win, not that it would do much of anything really except literally put them inside the top half.

Bayer Leverkusen vs. Werder Bremen Match Betting Tips
Since interim coach Sascha Lewandowski assumed the reins, Bayer Leverkusen have shown marked improvement. With two wins and a draw in their last three games, Bayer are sat in fourth place and they are only a match-win away from fulfilling Lewandowski’s mandate to hand over control to new coach Roger Schmidt with Bayer safely qualified for Champions League action next season.

Bayer Leverkusen enter their final date on the season as the runaway favourites at -400 to win outright. A confident market cast underscored by solid home form this season, which stands at 9-3-4 and features 33 goals scored and 22 conceded.

Werder Bremen’s 4-3-9 record on the road leaves much to be desired. Hence, they are rather disadvantaged across sportsbooks with +900 soccer odds to win outright and with +500 soccer odds to force a draw on Bayer. The most worrisome aspect for Werder Bremen is their defence on the road, which has allowed 34 goals against. Of course, offense hasn’t been much help contributing only 20 goals over 16 games.

Soccer Betting Verdict
Whichever way you slice this matchup, it would appear Bayer Leverkusen are deservedly the prohibitive favourites. They have the home advantage and recent form is encouraging, pointing towards renewed confidence and momentum. What’s more, they have a big incentive to win: the promise of Champions League action next season.

Therefore, it’s hard to look past Bayer Leverkusen on your soccer picks. Admittedly, the value soccer picks will be found over and above the -400 soccer odds on the home win. Given the defensive issues Werder Bremen face on the road, we’d assume Bayer Leverkusen have a good chance of netting several goals. Therefore, we quite fancy the 'over' 2.5 at -350. Scoring is also a problem for Werder Bremen, who’ve averaged barely a goal a game so the Bayer Leverkusen to win option with No for both teams to score at +160.

Soccer Free Picks: Bayer Leverkusen to win outright at -400

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":264404, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Bonus Free Picks: 'Over' 2.5 at -350 and Bayer Leverkusen to win and No for both teams to score at +160

comment here