Bundesliga Picks: Borussia Dortmund vs. M'gladbach

Nila Amerova

Thursday, March 13, 2014 6:18 PM UTC

Thursday, Mar. 13, 2014 6:18 PM UTC

Bundesliga betting enters week 25 and on the menu is the North-Rhine Westphalia derby between between Borussia Dortmund and Borussia M’gladbach. Find out what odds have been released across sportsbooks and where the value soccer picks are.

Borussia Dortmund favourites

Borussia Dortmund (BVB) enter their clash in Week 25 Bundesliga betting as the hot favourites to win outright at -300 at Bet365, a solid price tag underscored by an upsurge in form since the New Year that has taken them back into second place ahead of Bayer Leverkusen in the table. The highest point they could hope to achieve this season as the title race is already decided, the book on winning the Bundesliga title closed on the back of Bayern Munich’s incredible 20-point lead atop the table.

BVB boast a 15-3-6 mark and 48 points through 24 laps, which includes an impressive 8-1-3 record at home and a solid 7-2-3 record on the road. The Black and Yellow have a four-point edge over Bayer Leverkusen in the table and the market for a Top 4 finish cornered on -5000 futures betting odds.

Since the New Year, Borussia Dortmund have reeled off twelve victories in 14 matches across all competitions – they only leaked points against Augsburg in a 2-2 draw on January 25 and, somewhat surprisingly, succumbed to a 3-0 defeat against bottom-stragglers Hamburger SV on February 22.

Aside from those two hiccups, Jurgen Klopp’s men have been nigh perfect in German top-flight action. As well, his side is up 4-2 in Champions League R16 action against Zenit St. Petersburg and, thus, in pole position to advance into the quarterfinals. All is good in North-Rhine Westphalia.

Borussia M’gladbach at disadvantage

Borussia M’gladbach’s tale is one of declining fortune in Bundesliga lately as they’ve slipped down to eighth place with a 10-6-8 mark and 36 points, putting a bit of a damper on their European aspirations for next season.

Good news is that they are still in play for one of the coveted European spots. A top four finish is matched at +1400 futures betting odds at Bet365, but given that out of eight teams still in contention, they are matched on one of the longest prices (only Hertha Berlin are matched at larger +2500 futures odds), it does seem that the prestige of a top finish is a long shot with just ten games to play and an eight-point gap to close.

Recent form doesn’t bode well for Die Borussen either as they are without a win in their last seven games home and away (0-3-4). On the road alone, they are 2-3-2 in their last seven treks across the Bundesliga track. In fact, their overall road form this season doesn’t provide encouraging reading as they boast an abysmal 2-4-5 record. Woes that have clearly crept into their home form as evinced by their last fixture in Borussia Park which saw them succumbed to a 2-1 defeat to Augsburg. It’s therefore no wonder they are hefty underdogs at +700 soccer odds to win outright at Signal Iduna Park on Saturday or thereabouts across sportsbooks.

Borussia Dortmund vs. Borussia M’gladbach betting tips and picks:

In every sense this is a home banker with Borussia Dortmund the choice soccer pick at -300 to win outright. Nothing about the visitors form at the moment suggests they are a worth considering and, thus, more likely than not, this matchup should fall in line with sportsbook expectations.

Well, nothing tangible about M’gladbach that is. Of course, anything can happen. This is a derby after all and if it lives up to its billing it could deliver a right cracker despite the contrasting form of each side. What’s more, Borussia Dortmund could take things for granted for instance. Or with Champions League commitments approaching next week, Klopp might make certain decisions –such as rest key players – that could directly impact the balance of this matchup and swing the pendulum towards the upset by the visitors or even making the draw bet a sounder option at +425 soccer odds. Either of these scenarios is possible but don’t go betting the farm on it.

Soccer Free Picks: Borussia Dortmund to win outright at -300; Over 2.5 at -188

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