Bundesliga Futures Odds & Picks

Lee Phelps

Saturday, November 15, 2014 2:17 PM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 15, 2014 2:17 PM UTC

Congratulations Bayern Munich! The new German champions after just 11 games. Okay, so they haven't technically won the trophy yet, but they will, so our capper is looking at the betting on the Bundesliga without Munich and finding some decent odds for his free picks

The Bundesliga is 11 games old and they may as well hand Bayern Munich the title now. Four points clear and the gap will only grow. They even gave the other teams a little head start by starting relatively slowly. So let’s do what the bookmakers have done and forget the European Champions. Where can we find good bets away from Pep Guardiola’s team?


Borussia Dortmund
If ever a team had put its eggs in one basket it’s Dortmund. Their Champions League group record is exemplary, with maximum points and some great performances having scored 14 and conceded 1, albeit against moderate opposition in Galatasaray, Anderlecht and Arsenal. And then there is the Bundesliga!

They have amassed 10 points from their 11 matches, with seven defeats, three wins and one draw, scoring 12 and conceding 17. Their win against Borussia Mönchengladbach was their first domestic victory in eight games and took them off the bottom, THE BOTTOM of the table.

Just to hammer home the difference between the European and domestic form, Dortmund lost their first three games after playing in a Champions League game. While they did beat Monchengladbach, they won 1-0 with an own goal. There are two more game weeks before the European Cup takes a winter break and with qualification guaranteed and top spot more or less a given, maybe we will now start to see an up-turn in form. Add to that the gradual reappearance of injured players like Mats Hummels, Marco Reus and Sokratis and you add an estimated £90 million pounds worth of talent back into your squad.

Dortmund are nine points off the top four and Champions League qualification, which is definitely within their grasp IF they start winning games soon. Interestingly they’re 4/5 to finish in the top three with some bookmakers, yet the same price to finish in the top four with others. I think that is a solid bet once they start motoring and I expect them to be looking much healthier by the winter break in six games’ time.


I was talking to a colleague at William Hill, who also commentates on European football and he is very keen on Wolfsburg winning the league in the ‘without Bayern Munich’ markets. They are already in pole position, sitting in second and have been playing some great football this season, so it all looks like they're a good bet for our soccer picks this season.

Players like Josuha Guilavogui, Kevin de Bruyne and Ricardo Rodriguez (although the Swiss international is injured at the moment) have carried them to one defeat in 12 and eight straight wins in Germany and the Europa League. They are flying and are a bigger price than Dortmund to finish in the top three at 11/13 on the soccer odds, despite having 12 more points.

I think that is a tremendous bet given the goals they are scoring and the lack of quality from Bayer Leverkusen and Schalke at the moment, who of course can improve, but unlike Dortmund they don’t have nearly 100 million pounds worth of talent to bring back.


Free Soccer Pick: Dortmund to finish in the top four 4/5 Wolfsburg to finish in the top three 11/13

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