Bundesliga Betting: Hoffenheim vs. Augsburg

Mike Richardson

Thursday, April 10, 2014 7:13 PM GMT

Thursday, Apr. 10, 2014 7:13 PM GMT

With the EPL acting all shook up your Humble Handicapper looks to Germany (again) for extra cash. You can pick up some money along with him if you follow his top soccer picks for Hoffenheim V Augsburg.

Augsburg will be utterly full of themselves after their last game where they inflicted the first defeat of Pep Guardiola’s Bundesliga campaign and consigned Bayern Munich to their third winless game on the bounce.  However, Munich have already won the earliest league title in Bundesliga history, successfully defending their crown with seven games to spare, and they had not been beaten domestically in the top flight since October 2012 (when they lost to Bayer Leverkusen).

 
Enough with the league champions…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?
At time of press there’s not much between these two sides as Hoffenheim are on 36 points in the Bundesliga table and sit in 9th place. Just one place (but six points) ahead of them sit FC Augsburg (on 42 ‘natch). Not that it really matters but it’s fun to consider is that the bookies have Augsburg at 14/5 to finish in the top six in Germany while Hoffenheim are at best soccer odds of 33/5.

If you’re wondering what that all means for the two side sin terms of their clash next Sunday it means that the bookies fancy Hoffenheim winning at 7/5, the draw is at best soccer odds of 13/5 and Augsburg winning is at 15/8.

Augsburg’s victory over the champions is the only ray of sunshine in their recent run. In the last five games it’s their only victory. In fact before that win they were on a two game losing run. Having been outscored by the opposition 6-0 that was 3-0 twice and run almost as bad as Newcastle United’s. In fact if you want to do the sums on their last five games, and consider all the goals scored and conceded it’s just 9-3 in the opposition’s favour. That sort of disposition would average out to a 3-1 victory for Hoffenheim. 3-1 to the Hoff is available at best soccer odds of 18/1.

Take a look at our coverage of the Bundesliga Betting Futures

Don’t hassle the Hoff…
Hoffenheim may have drawn their last game (a 3-3 draw with TSG 1899) but the two games before that were steady victories. In fact (at time of press) Hoffenheim have scored three goals in each of their last three games. Therefore you may want to invest (as well as in the aforementioned 3-1) on 3-0 at 28/1 and 3-2 at 14/1. However, make sure it’s just a loose change bet if you back 3-2 as Augsburg haven’t scored more than one goal in any game in their recent run of five.


Over / Under
Your Humble Handicapper has looked into his crystal ball and has seen that we will see goals in this game, and the bookies seem to be in agreement with his top soccer tips as they have 0-0 at 20/1, a fool’s bet if ever there was one. Instead stick your money on ye game going Over 2.5 goals at 7/10, the bookies doubt it as they have the game going Under at best soccer odds of 11/10, but trust your Humble Handicapper.

Prediction: Hoffenheim win 2-1 available at best soccer odds of 10/1 with Ladbrokes.

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