Breaking Down Premier League Week 29 Action

Chelsea FC players celebrating

Thursday, March 16, 2017 8:39 PM GMT

With a full set of fixtures to look forward let’s get right into the games and right into the bets that go with them. Here are my top soccer picks for Premier League week 29.

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Saturday's early game is between West Brom and Arsenal. In betting terms both of these sides have done me some damage this season but I’m not going to let that dissuade me as I have a very strong (value-wise) bet on West Brom to win this one. The timing is good as well as Arsenal are not on top form and the Baggies will smell the blood in the water. I am going with West Brom on this one with soccer odds of +420 with BetOnline.

Crystal Palace vs. Watford will be a closely fought match but I think A. Palace can win this one and B. we will not see two sides get on the scoresheet. Both Teams To Score (No) is the best choice here att -110 with BetVictor.

I was tempted to go for the same bet in the Everton vs. Hull match, but in the end, I’m going for Under 2.5 goals at +104 with BetDSI. Both sides can be dangerous, keeping this game tight will be the key to winning.

Stoke welcome Chelsea for another of the afternoon kick-offs but I doubt the guests will be friendly and even at odds of -164 (Pinnacle). I’m still prepared to back the likely winners of the Premier League this season. Backing Chelsea seems like a no-brainer right now.

I’m staying out of the Sunderland vs Burnley game but two things strike me as likely. Jermaine Defoe will probably celebrate his return to the England fold with a goal and Burnley will never have a better chance to win away from home. It’s a no bet for me but it might be a game I watch, purely out of morbid curiosity.

West Ham welcome a resurgent Leicester to the London Stadium and this one is an away win for me. Great odds as well with Bet365 offering +229. The evening game should be a very good game as two sides with a history of entertaining (and struggles defensively) come up against each other. With goalscorers on both sides and defenses that leak, this one is bound to go Over 2.5 goals and the -127 offered by Pinnacle seems like a gift.

I was going to avoid Middlesbrough vs. Manchester United before Aitor Karanka got the sack. Now I definitely know I will not be betting on this one. The unpredictability of ‘Boro and the possible European hangover for Manchester United makes this too tough to call.

I’m taking -103 with BetVictor for Over 2.5 goals in Sunday's middle game between Tottenham and Southampton. Spurs will miss Harry Kane, Southampton will miss Virgil Van Dyke. I’m not sure who will come out top but I think there will be goals along the way.

The big game of the weekend is held back for the last game of the weekend. Unfortunately, the Manchester City vs. Liverpool match is another one I won’t be betting on. Manchester City has suffered a demoralizing defeat in the Champions League and Liverpool has a great record against the top 6 sides. If you were looking only at the stats then Liverpool should be the bet but I’m not sure about it and can see a bounce back from City so I’m avoiding it.