Boxing Picks: Mayweather vs. Maidana

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, March 11, 2014 5:58 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 11, 2014 5:58 PM UTC

Floyd Mayweather looks to extend his 45-fight unbeaten streak on May 3rd when he mixes it up with Marcos Maidana but is there any value in the offshore boxing odds with the underdog in this bout?
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Marcos Maidana (35-3, 31 KO’s)

Marcos Maidana is the most recent fighter in what seems to be a never ending series of challengers in line to earn a big payday by climbing into the squared circle (never really got that reference but I’ll go with it) with Floyd “I’ll Make You Money” Mayweather. Maidana came away with a unanimous decision victory on December 14th over Adrien Broner when he overpowered the former champ with a relentless attack and brute strength. It was a stunning victory for Maidana who was roughly a +350 underdog on the boxing odds board in most offshore books. It also proved that once the bell sounds all that “on paper” stuff goes right out the window. Maidana not only earned a decent paycheck but seized the WBA Welterweight title and an opportunity to fight a legend in Floyd Mayweather.

Maidana is now fresh off the biggest win of his career with the only blemishes on his mark coming courtesy of former WBC and IBF Light Welterweight champ Devon Alexander, former WBA and IBF Light Welterweight king Amir Khan (both by unanimous decision) and former WBA Light Welterweight champion Andreas Kotelnik via split decision. But the 30-year-old Argentinian now has the spotlight firmly affixed to him and the betting public is questioning whether he is a viable underdog or just another notch on the ever expanding holster of Floyd Mayweather.

Floyd Mayweather (45-0, 26 KO’s)

Floyd Mayweather needs no introduction. If you have run out of superlatives for his legendary boxing prowess then just ask the man himself - I’m sure he will think of a few more. Yes, his insatiable ego and prodigious spending habits loom as large as the monumental legacy he has carved out in the world of professional boxing. He has only a few fights left in him (or so he says) but regardless of what happens going forward his name will be firmly etched amongst the greatest who ever practiced the sweet science.

So enough of the accolades and genuflection at the altar of Floyd Mayweather, we have a fight to analyze. Mayweather last fought on September 14th when he captured a majority decision over Saul “El Canelo” Alvarez.  While one judge, C.J. Ross, did declare the fight to be a draw the numbers don’t lie. It was clear to all except Ross, and perhaps Alvarez’s immediate family, that Mayweather dominated the fight. Mayweather landed 46 percent of his punches and 53 percent of his power punches while Alvarez connected on only 22 percent of his punches and was out-landed 232-117 when the final bell sounded.

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Free Boxing Pick:

Mayweather has four fights left on a six-fight megadeal with Showtime and there will come a time when Mayweather meets Father Time but nobody knows when. However, we do know the 2014 version of Floyd Mayweather is a slightly diminished model of his peak. Yet he is still the fastest and most complete boxer on the planet. 

However, the man in front of him on May 3rd poses a serious threat. He will not be worn down and possesses devastating knockout power. Maidana may not be able to outpoint Mayweather because it’s proven nobody can, however he has the arsenal to ring Money’s bell. That bell has not been rung in a good long time and Mayweather has only one KO in his last six fights. He is a laser-locked sniper who deftly weaves like a phantom avoiding casualties. But Maidana has never been knocked out and will try to impose his physicality on Mayweather. If you want a big underdog to cash a ticket in your boxing picks, you could do much worse than Marcos Maidana.

Boxing Picks: Maidana +700 at

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