Boxing Picks: Mayweather's Plan Facing Maidana

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, April 30, 2014 7:11 PM GMT

Wednesday, Apr. 30, 2014 7:11 PM GMT

Floyd “Money” Mayweather is taking another step towards cementing his legacy as the greatest pound-for-pound fighter in history but as time marches on, is he still worthy of being the prohibitive favorite in boxing’s offshore odds?

Is Mayweather Money in this Fight?
Floyd Mayweather will win if…he shows up. That’s what many boxing aficionados are claiming as his history has proven that’s all he does. He shows up, smiles for the cameras, disrobes and goes to work. An hour or so later he is posing and preening for his adoring audience with one of a number of tastefully elegant belts around his midriff. Okay, so I lied about the belts being tastefully elegant but everything else has gone according to script over his 45 professional fights.

However, Mayweather is no longer a spring chicken and at the ripe old age of 37, he is susceptible to Father Time catching up to him. He keeps in supreme shape and his skills are hardly diminishing but it must be noted that his recent fights have been ending in decisions as opposed to the series of knockouts he strung together earlier in his career. Of course the competition is now world class and there are no more tomato cans that get the opportunity for a big money fight with Mayweather.  He fights the best and he is the best. Yet, we wonder if the prohibitive boxing odds ranging from 10-1 to 18-1 are truly indicative of how lopsided this fight is? 

You can’t argue with success and that’s exactly why the odds are what they are in this welterweight tilt. I’m not sure if this is the slam dunk that all the talking heads are predicting but I do agree that if I were offering odds on this match, I would be wary to dip below 10-1 and allow the chalk eaters to devour my bankroll.

Click here to compare all of the Mayweather vs. Maidana betting odds.

Mayweather Will Win If…
Floyd Mayweather has a strategy and a blueprint that has yet to fail him. He understands the nature of his opponent and all the things that can potentially cause him to fall behind. But Mayweather no longer possesses the staggering punching power that earned him 26 KO’s in a professional career that has spanned almost 20 years. He cannot relax early against Maidana, as this will only empower the physical Argentinian to force the pace and impose his will in the clinch. But it appears that overconfidence in the Mayweather camp is ostensibly not an issue, as exhibited in Mayweather’s press conference when he said the following:

"We cannot overlook the guy. I can't just say he's going to be an easy fight because he's not going to be an easy fight for me, I don't think so. What I have to do is I've got to make sure that I'm at my best. So May 3rd  I've got to go out there and take my time, keep my composure and be me. Everybody thinks he's just going to be a pushover, but I don't think so. That's why I'm training hard and I'm pushing myself to the limit every day."

Now that uncharacteristic dalliance with humility might be the ruse to get people to go out and buy the fight. He is almost urging fans to believe that this fight could be the one where he gets knocked on his ass and all the haters get their money’s worth…finally! But Mayweather should be in good stead as long as he stays long and doesn’t try to beat Maidana at his own game. If he stands flat-footed and goes toe-to-toe, this one could get interesting.  But Mayweather’s no dummy and he knows that his speed kills. He will launch from outside and rat-a-tat-tat his way to another decision. And if he doesn’t, those backing Maidana as a +750 underdog in boxing odds, will be celebrating right along with the new champ.

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