It will be the first time Fury has returned to the squared circle since battling Deontay Wilder to a thrilling split draw last December. He has a new promotional outfit (Top Rank) and a new network (ESPN) backing him. His first showcase on the network isn’t exactly a scintillating one as The Gypsy King will square off against the relatively unknown Schwarz.
If you are thinking potential mismatch, you’re right. Oddsmakers aren’t giving the unbeaten Schwarz much of a chance. Fury sits as a massive favorite at between -2075 and -5000 while the 25-year-old Schwarz can be had somewhere around +1400.
The odds are virtually unbettable considering Fury has an iron chin, deft boxing skills, and great ring IQ while Schwarz is unproven on this level. Just like in previous weeks, going for a prop bet is the way to bet if you feel inclined on wagering.
What makes this challenging is that Fury isn’t exactly a finisher. Although he has 19 stoppages in 27 fights, he has never really been one to lay out quality opponents with one punch. Instead, he’s more of a volume puncher who wears his opponents down as the fight progresses.
The key word here is “quality.’
We’re not sure exactly where Schwarz stands when it comes to being a quality opponent for Fury. He’s been down before against lesser opposition as Ilja Mezencev sent him to the canvas back in 2015. He was also repeatedly rattled against Senad Gashi last April before he won via DQ. It goes without saying that Fury is light years better than both.
Considering what happened to Anthony Joshua two weeks ago against Andy Ruiz, Fury shouldn’t plan on dragging this out longer than he should for his Las Vegas debut. Also, considering that he hasn’t scored a stoppage against a true heavyweight in over three years (Sefer Seferi was a cruiserweight moonlighting as a heavyweight), it’s likely that Fury will want to put on a show and secure the stoppage. Given that Schwarz has been down before and beaten up by lesser opposition, Fury should be able to keep the judges from having a say on the scorecards.
Tyson Fury inside the distance can be found at -205 over at 5Dimes and truly is the only logical bet. Not enough is known about Schwarz to decide what round it will end, but you can be confident that Fury will look to stop him at some point in the fight. Schwarz isn’t terribly outsized (6’5′ to Fury’s 6’8′) but Fury is simply too good to make this remotely competitive.
Of course, anything can happen in a heavyweight fight. But Fury rose from the dead against Deontay Wilder and Schwarz certainly doesn’t pack that kind of wallop in his punches.
Free Pick: Fury inside the distance
Best Odds: 5Dimes (-205)